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Commodity Markets Outlook

January 2009 - present

 

The World Bank monitors major commodity markets important to the developing countries. Price forecasts for the next 10 years are published on a quarterly basis. A comprehensive review of commodity markets is published four times a year, January, April, July, and October.

This series is part of: Global Economic Prospects.

 

Otherwise known as:

Global Commodity Markets (2009 - 2010)

Prospects for the Global Economy (published as part of Global Development Prospects)

Frequency:    Quarterly



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From energy prices to food prices : moving in tandem? (English)

Most commodity price indexes rebounded in the second quarter of 2016, continuing their upward climb from January lows on improved market sentiment and tapering supplies. ... See More +

Working Paper 107237 JUL 22, 2016

Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, April 2015 (English)

The decline in commodity prices that began with metals and agriculture four years ago, joined by crude oil in mid-2014, continued in 2015 Q1. Energy, metals, and agricultural prices were down 28, 11, and 5 percent, respectively, from the previous quarter. ... See More +

Working Paper 96001 APR 01, 2015

Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, January 2015 (English)

This quarterly publication includes a detailed market analysis of most primary commodities with a focus on oil prices. Broad-based commodity price declines occurred in the second half of 2014. ... See More +

Working Paper 93835 JAN 01, 2015

Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, January 2015 (English)

Broad-based commodity price declines occurred in the second half of 2014. Crude oil prices declined the most, down 55 percent to $47/ bbl (barrel) in early January, from a high of $115/bbl in late-June 2014, bringing an end to a four-year period of high and stable prices. ... See More +

Board Report 93951 JAN 01, 2015

Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, October 2014 (English)

Commodity prices are expected to remain weak for the remainder of 2014 and, perhaps through much of 2015. Crude oil has seen one of the sharpest declines, down more than 20 percent to $83/barrel (bbl) on October 15 from this year’s high of $108/bbl in mid-June. ... See More +

Working Paper 93312 OCT 01, 2014

Baffes, John; Cosic, Damir Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, April 2014 (English)

The key commodity price indices were broadly stable during 2014. Energy prices changed little, only 0.4 higher than 2013; agricultural prices increased 1.8 percent on weather-related concerns and metal prices declined 3.2 percent on Chinese demand weakness. ... See More +

Working Paper 87728 APR 01, 2014

Baffes, John; Cosic, Damir Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, January 2014 (English)

With the exception of energy, all the key commodity price indices declined significantly in 2013. Fertilizer prices led the decline, down 17.4 percent from 2012, followed by precious metals (down almost 17 percent), agriculture (-7.2 percent), and metals (-5.5 percent). ... See More +

Working Paper 88364 JAN 01, 2014

Baffes, John; Cosic, Damir Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, October 2013 (English)

Crude oil prices averaged $107/bbl during 2013Q3, up 2 percent since 2013Q2 and 4 percent higher than a year ago. Spillover fears of Syria's conflict to the Gulf and large output reductions by Iraq and Libya weighed in. ... See More +

Working Paper 83732 OCT 01, 2013

Baffes, John; Cosic, Damir Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, July 2013 (English)

After strengthening in early 2013 due to an improved economic outlook, most industrial commodity prices have now retreated below their end- 2012 levels. ... See More +

Working Paper (Numbered Series) 80537 JUL 01, 2013

Baffes, John; Cosic, Damir Disclosed

Commodity market outlook, January 2013 (English)

Commodity prices ended 2012 close to where they began, but major global events created significant upward and downward price movements through the course of the year. ... See More +

Working Paper 75059 JAN 01, 2013

Baffes, John Disclosed

Global commodity markets : review and price forecast - a companion to global economic prospects 2010 (English)

This is a companion to the Global Economic Prospects 2010. Most commodity prices reached historical highs in mid-2008, giving rise to the longest and broadest commodity boom of the post-WWII period. ... See More +

Working Paper 77782 JAN 01, 2010

Disclosed

Global commodity markets : review and price forecast - a companion to global development finance 2009 (English)

The slowing of global growth, which preceded the financial crisis by several months, prompted commodity prices to start falling in mid-2008. The eruption of the full-blown crisis and the rapid drop-off in economic activity since September of that year accelerated this process markedly. ... See More +

Working Paper 93892

World Bank Disclosed

Commodity markets outlook, July 2014 (English)

Geopolitical concerns in Iraq and Ukraine/Russia earlier in the year put upward pressure on oil prices during the second quarter. As tensions moderate, oil prices are expected to decline in 2015. ... See More +

Working Paper 90429

Disclosed