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Lower volatility, stronger financial systems help growth (English)

Do countries more exposed to macroeconomic volatility grow less than more stable nations? Are profligate governments more likely to exacerbate volatility? ... See More +

Brief 103454 FEB 01, 2016

Carneiro,Francisco Galrao; Nguyen, Ha; Odawara,Rei Disclosed

Business cycles in the eastern Caribbean economies: the role of fiscal policy and interest rates (English)

This paper analyzes the business cycle characteristics of the economies of the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States using a model of a small open economy subject to interest rate and fiscal expenditure shocks and financial frictions. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7545 JAN 27, 2016

Carneiro,Francisco Galrao; Hnatkovska,Viktoria Disclosed

The World Bank's classification of countries by income (English)

The World Bank has used an income classification to group countries for analytical purposes for many years. Since the present income classification was first introduced 25 years ago there has been significant change in the global economic landscape. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7528 JAN 04, 2016

Fantom,Neil James; Serajuddin,Umar Disclosed

The effects of volatility, fiscal policy cyclicality and financial development on growth : evidence for the Eastern Caribbean (English)

This paper presents estimates of the effects that terms of trade volatility has on growth of real gross domestic product per capita. Based on five-year non-overlapping panel data comprising 175 countries during 1980–2010, the paper finds that: (i) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has a significant negative average effect on economic growth; (ii) once country fixed effects are included in the model, the average effect of terms of trade volatility on economic growth is not significantly different from zero; (iii) robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has significantly adverse effects on economic growth in countries with pro-cyclical fiscal policy; and (iv) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, financial development is a significant mediating factor with regard to the effect that terms of trade volatility has on economic growth, however, the significance of this effect vanishes once country fixed effects are included in the model. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7507 DEC 03, 2015

Brüeckner,Markus; Carneiro,Francisco Galrao Disclosed

Egypt, Arab Republic of - Country partnership framework for the period FY2015-19 (Arabic)

The World Bank Group (WBG) Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Egypt for FY15-19 has been prepared at an important juncture in Egypt’s history to support transformational changes to the economic and social space. ... See More +

Working Paper 94554 NOV 01, 2015

Disclosed

Ending extreme poverty and sharing prosperity : progress and policies (English)

With 2015 marking the transition from the Millennium to the Sustainable Development Goals, the international community can celebrate many development successes since 2000. ... See More +

Working Paper (Numbered Series) 101740 OCT 01, 2015

Vargas Da Cruz,Marcio Jose; Foster,James E.-000062952; Quillin,Bryce Ramsey; Schellekens,Philip Disclosed

Sources of volatility during four oil price crashes (English)

Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7425 SEP 28, 2015

Baffes,John; Kshirsagar,Varun Disclosed

Latent trade diversification and its relevance for macroeconomic stability (English)

Traditional measures of trade diversification only take into account contemporaneous export baskets. These measures fail to capture a country’s ability to respond to shocks by allocating factors of production into activities for which it has already paid the fixed costs associated with exporting. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7332 JUN 23, 2015

Lederman,Daniel; Pienknagura,Samuel Jaime; Rojas,Diego Disclosed

New evidence on the cyclicality of fiscal policy (English)

This paper presents new evidence on the patterns of cyclicality in the fiscal policy stance of developing and industrialized countries over a period of more than three decades covering 180 countries during 1980–2012. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7293 JUN 08, 2015

Carneiro,Francisco Galrao; Garrido,Leonardo Disclosed

Financial inclusion, productivity shocks, and consumption volatility in emerging economies (English)

How does access to finance impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7288 JUN 03, 2015

Bhattacharya,Rudrani; Patnaik,Ila Disclosed

Business cycles accounting for Paraguay (English)

This study investigates the role of domestic and external shocks in business cycle fluctuations in Paraguay during 1991–2012. Time-series methods and a structural model-based approach are used to conduct an integrated analysis of business cycles. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7284 JUN 02, 2015

Koehler-Geib,Fritzi; Hnatkovska,Viktoria Disclosed

Beyond commodities : the growth challenge of Latin America and the Caribbean (English)

The Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region has seen a decade of remarkable growth and income convergence. Growth has been a key driver for reducing poverty and boosting shared prosperity. ... See More +

General Economy, Macroeconomics and Growth Study 91015 DEC 01, 2014

Araujo,Jorge A. De Thompson R.; Brueckner, Markus; Clavijo,Mateo; Vostroknutova,Ekaterina; Wacker,Konstantin M. Disclosed

How significant is Africa's demographic dividend for its future growth and poverty reduction ? (English)

Africa will be undergoing substantial demographic changes in the coming decades with the rising working age share of its population. The opportunity of African countries to convert these changes into demographic dividends for growth and poverty reduction will depend on several factors. ... See More +

Policy Research Working Paper WPS7134 DEC 01, 2014

Ahmed, S. Amer; Cruz, Marcio; Go, Delfin S.; Maliszewska, Maryla; Osorio-Rodarte, Israel Disclosed

Africa's Pulse (English)

This issue is an analysis of issues shaping Africa's economic future. Growth remains stable in Sub-Saharan Africa. Some countries are seeing a slowdown, but the region's economic prospects remain broadly favorable. ... See More +

Working Paper 91207 OCT 01, 2014

Disclosed

DECPG weekly global economic (English)

Some of the headings included in this issues of the Development Economics Prospects Group (DECPG) weekly global economic newsletter are as follows: additional easing by the European Central Bank (ECB) and speculation that U.S. interest rates might stabilize at a low level in the medium-term have helped reduce bond yields and volatility worldwide; declining current account deficits has strengthened resilience to fickle capital flows, but vulnerabilities remain; and while the outcome of the World Cup remains uncertain, past evidence suggests that winning the tournament is likely to boost confidence and exports. ... See More +

Newsletter 90010 JUN 17, 2014

Disclosed

DECPG weekly global economic (English)

Some of the headings included in this issues of the Development Economics Prospects Group (DECPG) weekly global economic newsletter are as follows: despite weak activity in the first quarter, global growth is expected to accelerate during the second half of the year and into 2015 and 2016 - supported by strengthening demand from high-income countries; prospects vary across developing regions but capacity constraints in many countries and rebalancing in others will preclude a stronger pickup in growth; and a significant easing of global financing conditions should support activity in the short-term, but adds to medium-term risks. ... See More +

Newsletter 90009 JUN 12, 2014

Disclosed

Growth Volatility in Paraguay : Sources, effects, and options (English)

Education Sector Review 78318 JUN 05, 2014

Koehler-Geib, Fritzi; Mustafaoglu, Zafer; Caballero Cabrera, Elida; Blanco Cossio, Fernando; Cabral, Guillermo; Araujo, Jorge; Villarroel, Miriam Beatriz; Echague, Marcelo; Holt, Patricia Chacon; Siegenthaler, Peter; Odawara, Rei; Gulino, Silvia; Mossi, Dante; Lachy, Diana; Dure, Gloria; Arestivo de Cuentas Zavala, Rosa; Polastri, Rossana; Theis, Sophie Storm; Arias Carballo, Diego; Berument, Hakan; Ramirez, Julio; Hnatkovska, Viktoria; Lajer Baron, Andres; Saizar, Carolina; Nielsen, Hannah; Picarelli, Nathalie; Zanetti, Pia Maria; Varma, Sona; Calvo-Gonzalez, Oscar; Lampietti, Julian; Gould, David Disclosed

Global economics prospects : shifting priorities building for the future (English)

This edition of the Global Economic Prospects, a World Bank flagship report, describes the developments in the global economy, with particular emphasis on developing countries. ... See More +

Board Report 88628 JUN 01, 2014

Disclosed

Global economic prospects, June 2014 : shifting priorities, building for the future (English)

The global economy got off to a bumpy start this year, but is expected to pick up speed more or less in line with earlier expectations. Global growth is projected to pick up from [2.4] percent growth in 2013 to [2.9] percent in 2014, before gradually accelerating to about [3.4] percent by 2016 (2.9, 3.3 and 3.9 percent when expressed in 2010 purchasing power parity terms). ... See More +

Board Report 88300 JUN 01, 2014

Disclosed

DECPG weekly global economic (English)

Some of the headings included in this issues of the Development Economics Prospects Group (DECPG) weekly global economic newsletter are as follows: developing-country central banks have put policy tightening on hold as global financing conditions eased; industrial production growth accelerated during Q1 in many developing countries, often in tandem with rising export growth; and euro area inflation ticked up in April and inflation expectations increased in May. ... See More +

Newsletter 89998 MAY 30, 2014

Disclosed

Title Document Date Report No. Document Type Also available in
Lower volatility, stronger financial systems help growth (English)
See More +
FEB 01, 2016 103454 Brief
Business cycles in the eastern Caribbean economies: the role of fiscal policy and interest rates (English)
See More +
JAN 27, 2016 WPS7545 Policy Research Working Paper
The World Bank's classification of countries by income (English)
See More +
JAN 04, 2016 WPS7528 Policy Research Working Paper
The effects of volatility, fiscal policy cyclicality and financial development on growth : evidence for the Eastern Caribbean (English)
See More +
DEC 03, 2015 WPS7507 Policy Research Working Paper
Egypt, Arab Republic of - Country partnership framework for the period FY2015-19 (Arabic)
See More +
NOV 01, 2015 94554 Working Paper
Ending extreme poverty and sharing prosperity : progress and policies (English)
See More +
OCT 01, 2015 101740 Working Paper (Numbered Series)
Sources of volatility during four oil price crashes (English)
See More +
SEP 28, 2015 WPS7425 Policy Research Working Paper
Latent trade diversification and its relevance for macroeconomic stability (English)
See More +
JUN 23, 2015 WPS7332 Policy Research Working Paper
New evidence on the cyclicality of fiscal policy (English)
See More +
JUN 08, 2015 WPS7293 Policy Research Working Paper
Financial inclusion, productivity shocks, and consumption volatility in emerging economies (English)
See More +
JUN 03, 2015 WPS7288 Policy Research Working Paper
Business cycles accounting for Paraguay (English)
See More +
JUN 02, 2015 WPS7284 Policy Research Working Paper
Beyond commodities : the growth challenge of Latin America and the Caribbean (English)
See More +
DEC 01, 2014 91015 General Economy, Macroeconomics and Growth Study
How significant is Africa's demographic dividend for its future growth and poverty reduction ? (English)
See More +
DEC 01, 2014 WPS7134 Policy Research Working Paper
Africa's Pulse (English)
See More +
OCT 01, 2014 91207 Working Paper
DECPG weekly global economic (English)
See More +
JUN 17, 2014 90010 Newsletter
DECPG weekly global economic (English)
See More +
JUN 12, 2014 90009 Newsletter
Growth Volatility in Paraguay : Sources, effects, and options (English)
See More +
JUN 05, 2014 78318 Education Sector Review
Global economics prospects : shifting priorities building for the future (English)
See More +
JUN 01, 2014 88628 Board Report
Global economic prospects, June 2014 : shifting priorities, building for the future (English)
See More +
JUN 01, 2014 88300 Board Report
DECPG weekly global economic (English)
See More +
MAY 30, 2014 89998 Newsletter