The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) National Electrification Project (P152936) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Myanmar | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 20-Jan-2019 | ISR35493 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Electricity and Energy, Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Irrigation, The Republic of the Union of Myanmar Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 16-Sep-2015 Effectiveness Date: 09-Dec-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 30-Apr-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 04-May-2018 Original Closing Date: 30-Sep-2021 Revised Closing Date: 30-Sep-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective is to help increase access to electricity in Myanmar. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? Yes Board Approved Revised Project Development Objective (If project is formally restructured) The objective of the Project is to help increase access to electricity in Myanmar, and to provide immediate and effective response in case of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency. Components Table Name Grid extension:(Cost $321.25 M) Off-grid electrification:(Cost $172.00 M) Technical assistance:(Cost $20.00 M) Contingent emergency response:(Cost $13.75 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating High High Implementation Status and Key Decisions This ISR reflects the findings from the implementation support mission, which took place during November 26 to December 7, 2018. The mission focused on expediting the procurement process of the remaining goods and installation works, and next phase planning of the grid component 1/20/2019 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) whereas the off-grid component emphasized on implementation progress on solar system, mini-grid and the results-based financing (RBF) for private sector-led off-grid solar market development. Overall, the mission concluded that the project is steadily progressing towards achieving its development objectives because over one million people have been electrified by the project to date. Both Project Management Units (PMUs) are putting significant efforts towards delivery of results on the ground by proactively engaging with project affected people and adopting latest technology for effective implementation and monitoring of the project. The missing witnessed considerable progress of the grid component especially in procurement of goods and installation works, enabling grid extension throughout 2019 nation-wide. Under the Off-Grid Component, implementation of the SHS and mini-grid sub-components has been steadily progressing – and in some cases – exceeding annual targeted results. The first round of International Competitive Bidding (ICB1) successfully delivered 141,369 home systems and about 80% of the second round (ICB2) installed and all 143,226 systems are expected to be completed by January 15, 2019. ICB3 is expected to deliver 144,871 systems and was signed on December 12, 2018 with installation expected to be completed in September 2019. Under CfP1 (call for proposals for mini grids), all eight projects have been commissioned and, providing electricity to 1,642 households. Under CfP2, 26 projects have been selected and are expected to benefit 6,738 households. Another 25 projects are under review by DRD with extensive support from GIZ. CfP3 was launched in August 2018, and the first round of proposal submissions is expected by January 2019. Implementation status of the Grid Extension Component has reach a critical milestone, with the first installation works contract signed in December and another two to follow soon. The remaining contracts are planned to be signed by March 31, 2019. 1,300 villages out of planned 5,080 villages under phase-1 of grid extension have already constructed low voltage (400V) distribution network and ready to get connected to the national grid. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High High High Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies High High High Technical Design of Project or Program High High High Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability High High High Fiduciary High Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial High Substantial Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other -- -- -- Overall High High High Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To help increase access to electricity in Myanmar IN00592726 ►People provided with access to electricity by household connections (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1/20/2019 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) Value 0.00 722,790.00 1,096,124.00 5,672,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592759 - Grid (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,100.00 22,924.00 3,212,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592760 – Off-grid / mini-grid – Only renewable sources (SHS, mini-hydro mini-grids) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 706,845.00 1,058,920.00 2,282,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592758 – Off-grid / mini-grid – Any source except only renewable (Hybrid solar mini-grid) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5,845.00 14,280.00 177,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592761 Female Beneficiaries (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 374,870.00 548,052.00 2,836,200.00 IN00592729 ►Community electricity connections. Of which: (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 8,053.00 21,400.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592762 – Grid (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 122.00 10,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592763 – Off-grid / mini-grid – Only renewable sources (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 7,931.00 11,400.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592746 1/20/2019 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) ►Public lighting (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 14,489.00 25,133.00 132,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592770 Grid (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 588.00 2,703.00 113,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592771 Off-grid / mini-grid (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 13,901.00 22,430.00 19,000.00 Date 16-Dec-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Grid extension IN00592650 ►Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 57.00 74.07 17,800.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592727 ►Transformers installed (Kilovolt-Amphere(KVA), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6,200.00 10,150.00 664,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592728 ►Households connected to grid electricity (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 5,731.00 645,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592748 ►Greenhouse gas reductions (grid connections) in ktCO2e (Number, Custom) 1/20/2019 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 2.44 275.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 Off-grid electrification IN00592749 ►Households served with solar (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 344,800.00 211,784.00 456,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592750 ►Households connect to mini-grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 23,100.00 2,856.00 35,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592734 ►Greenhouse gas reductions (solar home systems) -- ktCO2e (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55.00 82.00 190.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 Technical Assistance and Project Management IN00592752 ►National Electrification Executive Secretariat adequately staffed and functional (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 50.00 50.00 100.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592737 ►People trained - grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 576.00 16,500.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Mar-2021 IN00592738 ►People trained- Off-grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1/20/2019 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) Value 0.00 -- 1,439.00 3,900.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 31-Dec-2021 Citizen Engagement IN00592755 ►Villages or wards where at least one public consultation is held – Grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 32.00 68.00 5,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 IN00592756 ►Villages or wards where at least one public consultation is held – Off-grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,708.00 6,874.00 3,800.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 Contingent Emergency Response IN00592757 ►Goods procured and distributed as outlined in the CERIP (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12,000,000.00 12,000,000.00 13,755,000.00 Date 16-Sep-2015 04-Jun-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2021 Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P152936 IDA-57270 Effective USD 400.00 400.00 0.00 78.29 322.10 20% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P152936 IDA-57270 Effective 16-Sep-2015 03-Nov-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Sep-2021 30-Sep-2021 Cumulative Disbursements 1/20/2019 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Electrification Project (P152936) Restructuring History Level 1 Approved on 23-Aug-2017 Related Project(s) P166413-Myanmar RBF for Off-grid Solar 1/20/2019 Page 7 of 7