Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Lao People's Democratic Republic | Macro Economics & Fiscal Management Global Practice | Recipient Executed Activities | Technical Assistance Loan | FY 2013 | Seq No: 6 | ARCHIVED on 22-Feb-2017 | ISR24640 | Implementing Agencies: Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:07-May-2013 Effectiveness Date:05-Jul-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date:-- Actual Mid-Term Review Date:-- Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) 10. The objective of the Project is to improve the capacity of the Recipient’s national statistical system to produce and disseminate reliable and timely macroeconomic and poverty statistics in accordance with international standards and in response to user needs. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name 1. Strengthening Macroeconomic and Poverty Data Development and Management:(Cost $3.13 M) 2. Improving Policies and Strengthening Implementation Capacity:(Cost $1.16 M) 3. Improving Data Sharing and Access:(Cost $2.68 M) 4. Supporting LAOSTAT Project Management:(Cost $0.80 M) Unallocated Budget:(Cost $0.23 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Unsatisfactory 2/22/2017 Page 1 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project has made a notable progress during the last six months (Jun-Dec 2016) as the project has completed the procurement of major ICT packages and achieved good results on development of the institutional capacity building plan, international investment position (IIP) survey for BOP and National accounts, rebasing of GDP and deployment of digital survey solution. The project seems to be on track toward achieving key PDO result indicators assuming major ICT work activities are implemented by the end of the project (though with high risks due to delay of completion of LSB new building). The WB team continues to work very closely with the GoL/LSB and twinning consultants to ensure the project is completed successfully. Key development outcomes contributing to achieving the PDO of the project include (i) the development of macroeconomic framework, (ii) improved country statistical scores (quality, timeliness, access, etc.), and (iii) increased user satisfaction. Results monitoring and evaluation for mid-term indicators is largely based on (i) country statistical scores - a capacity assessment of national statistical system (with regard to data quality, timeliness, access, etc.) which is conducted by WB/DECDG on annual basis, (ii) user surveys (the baseline survey in Laos was done in early 2014 and next one is currently being prepared), and relevant reports. 2/22/2017 Page 2 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) 2/22/2017 Page 3 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) 2/22/2017 Page 4 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) 2/22/2017 Page 5 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Low  Low Macroeconomic  --  Low  Low Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial 2/22/2017 Page 6 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  User satisfaction with macroeconomic and poverty statistical products and services of the NSS (disaggregated by LBS and SMAs) improved. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 49.00 -- -- 78.40 Date 28-Mar-2014 -- -- 30-Jun-2017 Comments The second user satisfaction survey is underway and is expected to be completed by May 2017. The survey will provide the input for this PDO indicator. PHINDPDOTBL  Macroeconomic and poverty related statistical capacity score improved and disaggregated by: (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 61.00 71.11 70.00 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  (a) Methodology (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50.00 50.00 60.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 2/22/2017 Page 7 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDPDOTBL  (b) Source Data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50.00 70.00 65.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  (c) Periodicity & timeliness: (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 74.00 93.30 85.00 85.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  - Survey data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 83.00 -- -- 90.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  - Administrative data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 -- -- 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2015 31-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  A comprehensive macroeconomic framework is developed and used within the GOL for policy making and planning process. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The macroeconomic The macroeconomic The framework Value None is available framework with framework with medium is produced 2/22/2017 Page 8 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) medium term forecasts term forecasts has been and used by has been developed by developed by the GOL GOL the GOL with support with support from from LAOSTAT and LAOSTAT and IMF TA IMF TA and is being and is being used and used and institutionalized. The institutionalized. The macroeconomic macroeconomic monitoring team meet monitoring team meet semiannually to update semiannually to update the framework and the framework and share inputs to MPI and share inputs to MPI the GoL for planning and and the GoL for decision making planning and decision purposes. making purposes. Date 31-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 Comments The macro modeling core group is updating the macro framework regularly with support from IMF and WB. Last working workshop was conducted during Feb 8-9, 2017. Overall Comments The statistical capacity indicators are still tentative for 2016 and several good work done by LSB are not yet reflected in the assessment yet. The final assessment is expected to be available by mid-Jun 2017. Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Macroeconomic statistics are produced in line with internationally accepted standards. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target LSB completed GDP rebase for 2012; BOL work in process finished IIP field survey (completed SUT for and prepared the draft national accounts; IIP IIP baseline report; survey for BOP is launching events are ongoing; trade planned in Mar-2017. statistics are compiled Trade and investment by LSB together with statistics are periodically Improved Value Poor qualiy BoL/MoIC/MoF; price compiled by LSB quality statistics also together with progressing with BoL/MoIC/MoF; Work on deployment of new collection of price digital survey solution statistics by digital and completion of draft survey solution is survey questionnaire). progressing but slowly; the CPI questionnaire for tablet is still being 2/22/2017 Page 9 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) developed. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Social and demographic statistics (particularly household and poverty data including sex-disaggregated data) are produced in line with internationally accepted standards. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target After the completion of LECS 5 survey and After the completion of release of poverty LECS 5 survey and report in 2014/15 the release of poverty report GoL (with support from in 2014/15 the GoL (with WB) has recently support from WB). The Improved Value Poor qualiy prepared a poverty LSB is working on new quality map which will be LECS 6 survey and the disseminated at central questionnaire is being and provincial levels in finalized. The field work coming months. The would begin in Mar- new LECS 6 survey is 2017. planned for 2017. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Internationally accepted standards, classifications and methodologies in macroeconomic and poverty related data collection, compilation, and validation are in place. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Good progress on national accounts, new Ongoing (with support CPI baskets, BoP, Improved Poor standards and from the twinning, WB poverty and other standards and Value methodologies and other donor statistics (with support methodologies agencies). from the twinning, WB used and other donor agencies). Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 2/22/2017 Page 10 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDIRITBL  Interagency coordination mechanism (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The interagency Ongoing (the coordination is interagency periodically carried out coordination is carried through the statistical out through the working group (SWG), statistical working the PSC and the annual Well group (SWG), the Value Not clearly defined user-producer forum as established and macro monitoring team well as the functional (on macroeconomic macroeconomic statistics and policies), monitoring and modeling the PSC and the team (on annual user-producer macroeconomic forum. statistics and policies). Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Human resource management strategy is in place and LBS and SMA staff trained and maintained their skills. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The draft HR strategy was prepared pending final approval from The HR strategy was LSB. The long term finalized and approved institutional capacity by LSB. The draft long HR strategy No HR strategy and build plan is being term institutional and training Value training program is in place prepared by the capacity build plan will program is in twinning's consultant be finalized by Mar-2017 place. team. The plan is with support from the expected to be twinning's consultant. completed by Sep- 2016. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Data user-producer dialog established and functional (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (data user- Data user-producer Regular The dialog is random and Value producer forum is forum is organized dialogue in infrequent organized annually) annually. place Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 2/22/2017 Page 11 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDIRITBL  Dissemination strategy is developed and implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The draft of the dissemination strategy and the implementation The dissemination plan were submitted for strategy and comments to LSB/DDS dissemination plan were first round in Apr-2016 Dissemination prepared and would be Value No strategy. and second round in strategy in officially launched by early Jun-2016. The place May-2017 after approval documents are of the revised Statistical expected to be Law in April. finalized by twinning experts in their next mission in Jul-2016. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  IT plan for LBS and SMAs is developed and implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The ICT strategy and The ICT strategy and action plans were action plans were prepared and Good plans in Value No plan prepared and implementation is place and implementation is underway but slowly due implemented underway. to the delay of new LSB building. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  LSB web portal improved with increased number of data available. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (with support Ongoing (with support Needs significant The web portal Value from the twinning, WB from the twinning, WB improvement improved and other donors). and other donors). Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 2/22/2017 Page 12 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDIRITBL  IT staff trained and retained their skills. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (several IT training workshops on Ongoing (several IT data software (STATA) training workshops on and data dissemination data software (STATA) Skills learned Value Limited skills were conducted during and data dissemination and applied the last six months. during the last six More IT training in the months. coming months as key ICT activities kick off. Date 28-Dec-2012 15-Jun-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P129825 TF-14613 Effective USD 8.00 8.00 0.00 4.94 3.06 62% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P129825 TF-14613 Effective 17-May-2013 17-May-2013 05-Jul-2013 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Cumulative Disbursements 2/22/2017 Page 13 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 2/22/2017 Page 14 of 14 Public Disclosure Copy