The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) AFRICA | Kenya | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2019 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 04-Apr-2019 | ISR36417 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Labour and Social Protection, Republic of Kenya, National Drought Managemnet Authority Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 27-Nov-2018 Effectiveness Date: 20-Mar-2019 Planned Mid Term Review Date: -- Actual Mid-Term Review Date: -- Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To strengthen delivery systems for enhanced access to social and economic inclusion services and shock-responsive safety nets for poor and vulnerable households. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1 - Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems:(Cost $719.87 M) Component 2 - Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions:(Cost $303.08 M) Component 3 - Improving the Shock Responsiveness of Safety Net System:(Cost $323.27 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating -- Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The implementing agencies for Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (KSEIP), the State Department for Social Protection (SDSP) and the National Drought Management Authority (NDMA) are making considerable progress on various preparatory activities and have already achieved a couple of results such as substantial migration of National Safety Net Program (NSNP) cash transfer beneficiaries to the new and more effective payment system. The Project was declared effective on March 20, 2019 and will soon start making disbursements. 4/4/2019 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate -- Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate -- Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate -- Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate -- Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial -- Substantial Fiduciary Substantial -- Substantial Environment and Social Moderate -- Moderate Stakeholders Moderate -- Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial -- Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthening social protection delivery systems IN00683635 ►Number of counties where the roll out of enhanced Single Registry covers at least 75 percent of targeted households (Text, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target An SR, linked to the MIS The rollout of the of four cash transfer Roll out completed in Value -- Enhanced Single programs, is functional 39 non HSNP counties Registry is not yet due. with links to the IPRS Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 This indicator measures the gradual expansion and enhancement of the existing SR to include a social registry. The HSNP is also in the process of re-registering households in its four original counties and will register new households in four expansion counties. This will be tracked under a separate indicator under Component 3. In Year 1, SPS will finalize the design and implementation arrangements for the social Comments: registry rollout. Year 2 to Year 5 will measure progress in data collection across all non-HSNP counties. Completed data collection is defined as: data for at least 75 percent of the estimated targeted households in the counties (covered per year) is collected, verified and entered into the SR MIS as per arrangements defined in implementation plan and operational manual. Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions IN00683641 ►Number of households receiving nutrition-sensitive cash transfer (Number, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 4/4/2019 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Value 600.00 -- 0.00 23,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The number of households receiving nutrition sensitive cash transfers through the NICHE program across five counties. Beneficiaries must meet the following criteria: (i) must be enrolled in the NSNP with children Comments: under 2 years of age and/or a Pregnant and Lactating Woman (PLW) in accordance with the operational manual; and (ii) they must have been paid for a minimum of one NSNP and NICHE top-up payment (top up payment: Ksh 500 per month per beneficiary). IN00683643 ►Number of sub-counties where economic inclusion model is initiated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 9.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The number of sub-counties where enhanced economic inclusion activities under the KSEIP have been initiated. For the model to have been initiated following the provisions of the operational manual: (i) beneficiaries must have been identified; (ii) the relevant package of services must be identified; and (iii) beneficiaries must have been provided at least one benefit package. The operational manual will outline Comments: the mix of recommended services per beneficiary and may include the following: enrollment in savings group, coaching, skills training, and a cash-based asset transfer (amount to be defined in operational manual), and consumption support for non-NSNP beneficiaries (also to be defined in operational manual). Beneficiaries must be a member of a NSNP beneficiary household or a registered member of a community self-help group, to be selected using transparent poverty targeting criteria. Improving the shock-responsiveness of the Safety Net System IN00683642 ►Number of new regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for through the GoK’s budget in expansion counties (Number, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 32,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2019 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The HSNP is currently providing regular cash transfers to approximately 100,000 beneficiaries across four counties (Marsabit, Mandera, Turkana and Wajir). The NDMA will expand the geographical coverage of Comments: the regular HSNP cash transfers. This indicator measures the number of new regular HSNP cash transfer beneficiaries in the expansion counties. Beneficiaries are those that have been: (i) enrolled in the HSNP expansion counties; and (ii) are receiving regular benefit payments paid for through the GoK budget. IN00683644 ►Enhanced financing mechanism for HSNP scalability is implemented (Text, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Financing plan for HSNP scalability plan Emergency payments No formal financing plan has been adopted by made for 100% of Value -- in place NDMA and submitted households triggered to National Treasury in HSNP 8 counties for approval. Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 HSNP has a successful record of financing transfers in the case of a drought. However, there is no formal financing plan in place. The GoK will develop and implement a financing plan for how it will pay for shock Comments: responsive payments in eight counties. The plan should contain, at minimum: the financial instrument which will be used to mobilize resources for different severities of drought to make shock responsive payments; how financial instruments will be layered to ensure there are no financing gaps; the amount of 4/4/2019 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) resources the NDMA estimates it will require in each year of the project to pay for the financing plan; the role of the NDEF in financing HSNP scalability; and the financial management arrangements to channel this budget to the HSNP. The indicator will also track the performance of the GoK in implementing this plan to fully finance HSNP emergency transfers to triggered households. For a household to be counted as having received an emergency payment, they must: (i) be identified through the HSNP scalability mechanism and have an active bank account; (ii) be on the HSNP payroll submitted to the PSP for each payment period they are triggered; and (iii) have received funds within 2 months of emergency triggers and in accordance with the HSNP scalability financing strategy. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems IN00683646 ►IRI 1: Percentage of beneficiaries receiving payments through the new Inua Jamii Payment Mechanism for the Consolidated Cash Transfer Program (Percentage, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 60.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The SDSP is developing a new payment mechanism under which beneficiary payments will be made to new Inua Jamii beneficiary accounts. This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries paid through the new payment mechanism. Beneficiaries include those in the CCTP receiving payments through the SDSP cash transfer programs (the CT-OVC,2 OPCT, and PWSD-CT) (excluding the program Comments: beneficiaries of the 70+ program). An NSNP payment is defined as a per beneficiary transaction for which both funds and payroll documentation have been sent to the PSP. The percentage of payments is calculated as the number of beneficiaries whose funds are sent to the PSPs for payment through the new payment mechanism, divided by the total number of beneficiaries on the payroll for the payment cycle. IN00683649 ►IRI 2: Integrated G&CM mechanism is strengthened and rolled out at decentralized level (Text, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target G&CM system for all four Enhanced G&CM Value NSNP programs piloted -- No progress yet. functional in all KSEIP in 20 sub-counties counties Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The Government is developing and will implement a decentralized G&CM system for the CCTP. It is estimated that by the December 2018 baseline, the decentralized G&CM system will be implemented in 20 sub-counties. Under the KSEIP, the Government will enhance the scope of the G&CM to cover KSEIP activities with subsequent decentralized expansion of the G&CM to all 47 counties. This will entail: (i) revised G&CM procedures in the CCTP and HSNP operational manual detailing the procedures for Comments: receiving, recording and responding to cases; (ii) revised design and update of CCTP-MIS and HSNP MIS modules to record KSEIP and NSNP cases, and action taken; and (iii) the development of clear institutional roles and responsibilities for the intake and resolution of all cases. Year one will measure nationwide rollout of the decentralized G&CM system to all 47 counties. Years 2-5 will measure the development and roll out of the enhanced G&CM system across all KSEIP counties. IN00683651 ►IRI 3: Beneficiary Outreach Strategy for NSNP and KSEIP rolled out (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target BOS for NSNP BOS for the CCTP rolled- Enhanced BOS rolled Value -- implemented in 20 out in 20 sub- counties out in all 47 counties sub-counties. Date 31-Dec-2019 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 4/4/2019 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Under the NSNP, MLSP is designing and implementing a BOS which will be rolled out in 20 sub-counties by December 2018. To move forward on the safety net consolidation agenda, the beneficiary outreach Comments: strategy will be revised, and an accompanying action plan will be developed to incorporate KSEIP specific beneficiary outreach for all counties. This indicator will track the roll out and implementation of the strategy across all 47 counties IN00683653 ►Beneficiaries of social safety net programs (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 341,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 IN00683655 Beneficiaries of social safety net programs - Female (Number, Corporate Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 170,750.00 Component 2: Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions IN00683647 ►IRI 5: Establishment and implementation of referral mechanism for the NHIF (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 30 percent of NSNP households enrolled in 90 percent of NSNP No expansion yet Value the NHIF but no -- beneficiaries enrolled made. systematic referral in the NHIF system in place Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 A sub-set of NSNP beneficiaries are already enrolled in the NHIF. A system for systematic referrals for beneficiaries needs to be established. In Year 1, the MLSP will develop the management tools to operate a referral mechanism and enter into a formal agreement with the NHIF. Tools include the development of an MIS module in the SR. The formal agreement will include: (i) articulation of the respective roles of each Comments: institution; (ii) joint targets for enrollment and payment of NSNP beneficiaries; (iii) agreed arrangements for monitoring and reporting progress and discussion of any difficulties; and (iv) agreed protocols for the sharing of information on enrollment and payment of premiums. Years 2-5 will track the proportion of NSNP beneficiaries enrolled in the NHIF with corresponding enrolment information available in the SR, as per agreement. IN00683650 ►IRI 6: Number of households receiving package of nutrition-sensitive social protection services (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 600.00 -- 0.00 23,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The number of households accessing the full NICHE program package across five counties which includes both the top up payments and complementary intensive nutritional counseling sessions. Beneficiaries must meet the following criteria: (i) must be enrolled in the NSNP with children under 2 years Comments: of age and/or a PLW; (ii) they must have been paid for a minimum of one NSNP and NICHE top-up payment (top up of KSH 500 / month / beneficiary); and (iii) they must be receiving regular nutritional counselling as defined in the NICHE operational manual. Component 3: Improving the Shock-Responsiveness of the Safety Net System IN00683645 4/4/2019 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) ►IRI 7: Percentage of payments that are made on time to Payment Service Providers for transfer to regular HSNP beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.00 -- 100.00 95.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 The indicator monitors the timeliness of regular HSNP cash transfers that are financed directly by the GoK, and to ensure that an increasing proportion of regular HSNP payments are made within the scheduled window. An HSNP payment is defined as a per beneficiary transaction for which both funds and payroll documentation have been sent to the PSP. The percentage of on time payments is calculated Comments: as the number of beneficiaries whose funds are sent to the PSP within 15 calendar days before the start of the transfer window divided by the total number of beneficiaries on the payroll for each payment cycle. Indicator target will be met if the percentage achieved meets the required level for three consecutive payment cycles. IN00683648 ►IRI 8: Percentage of regular HSNP cash transfers financed by the GoK in the original four HSNP counties (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 64.00 -- 64.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 31-Dec-2024 This indicator measures the GoK’s commitment to take over financing of the regular HSNP cash transfers. As of December 2018, the GoK is expected to take over a minimum of 64 percent of all HSNP financing. Comments: Under the KSEIP, the GoK will increase its share of regular HSNP cash transfer financing to 100%. This indicator will be measured as a percentage of all GoK financing of the regular HSNP cash transfers in the original four HSNP counties. IN00683652 ►IRI 9: HSNP registration exercise in original and expansion counties completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target HSNP registry updated and linked HSNP re-registration in 40 percent of HSNP with enhanced SR Value four original counties has -- re-registration according to design commenced finalized. and operating procedures Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 31-Dec-2024 This indicator tracks progress in the re-registration of households in the four original HSNP counties and registration of new households in four expansion counties. This includes: (i) data is collected, verified and entered into the HSNP MIS according to arrangements defined in the HSNP registration implementation plan and operational manual; (ii) the HTM has been applied to the collected household data; (iii) HSNP Comments: beneficiary lists and accompanying payrolls have been updated for existing and new beneficiaries; and (iv) the HSNP registry is fully integrated with the enhanced SR. Progress will be reported by proportion of the estimated caseload covered, where the caseload refers to the total of all households expected to be covered by the exercise. IN00683654 ►IRI 10: HSNP scalability strategy updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target NDMA has adopted the scalability strategy, Updated HSNP HSNP scalability strategy Value -- but National Treasury scalability strategy in in place still needs to approve place it. Date 31-Dec-2018 -- 22-Mar-2019 29-Dec-2023 4/4/2019 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) This indicator tracks the consistent review, update and implementation of the HSNP scalability strategy. This will include: (i) a review of the triggering mechanism along with the relevant analysis of operational, fiscal and financial implications of any suggested changes; (ii) revisions to triggering mechanism guidelines and strategy; and (iii) agreement on recommended changes and adoption by the NDMA Board of Management. Changes to the strategy should result in an average cost of scalability in the existing four Comments: HSNP counties which is in-line with and comparable to the current average cost of scalability, as per the HSNP Scalability Policy Paper dated February 2016 and Scalability Guidelines dated January 2016. The average annual emergency transfer amount for each county and each set of rules will be calculated as the historical average emergency transfer amount that would be paid in previous years had the rules been in effect in those years, using historical trigger data. A mid-term review will include, in addition, an external audit to confirm integration of scalability parameters in the HSNP MIS. Overall Comments IR For the last three payment cycles (Nov/Dec 2018, Jan/Feb 2019 and March/Apr 2019) 100 percent of the cash transfers were paid on time. Disbursement Linked Indicators IN00683656 ►DLI 1 Number of counties where the roll out of enhanced Single Registry covers at least 75 percent of targeted households (Text, Outcome, 57,900,000.00, 4.30%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 An SR, linked to the MIS of The rollout of the four cash transfer Value -- Enhanced Single Registry -- programs, is functional with is not yet due. links to the IPRS Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- IN00683657 ►DLI 2 IRI 1: Percentage of beneficiaries receiving payments through the new Inua Jamii Payment Mechanism for the Consolidated Cash Transfer Program (Percentage, Intermediate Outcome, 14,000,000.00, 1.04%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Value 0.00 -- 60.00 -- Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- IN00683658 ►DLI 3 IRI 2: Integrated G&CM mechanism is strengthened and rolled out at decentralized level (Text, Intermediate Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 1.49%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 G&CM system for all four Value NSNP programs piloted in -- No progress yet. -- 20 sub-counties Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- IN00683659 ►DLI 4 Number of households receiving nutrition-sensitive cash transfer (Number, Intermediate Outcome, 34,000,000.00, 2.53%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 4/4/2019 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Value 600.00 -- 0.00 -- Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- IN00683660 ►DLI 5 Number of new regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for through the GoK’s budget in expansion counties (Number, Outcome, 58,300,000.00, 4.33%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Value 0.00 -- 0.00 -- Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- IN00683661 ►DLI 6 Enhanced financing mechanism for HSNP scalability is implemented (Text, Outcome, 71,500,000.00, 5.31%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Financing plan for HSNP scalability plan has been No formal financing plan in Value -- adopted by NDMA and -- place submitted to National Treasury for approval. Date -- -- 22-Mar-2019 -- Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P164654 IDA-63480 Effective USD 250.00 250.00 0.00 0.00 245.07 0% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P164654 IDA-63480 Effective 27-Nov-2018 31-Jan-2019 20-Mar-2019 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 4/4/2019 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 4/4/2019 Page 9 of 9