The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) SOUTH ASIA | India | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 11-Sep-2019 | ISR36211 | Implementing Agencies: Department of Economic Affairs, Maharashtra: Department of Relief and Rehabilitation, West Bengal: Department of Disaster Management, Gujarat: Gujarat State Disaster Management Authority, Kerala: Department of Revenue and Disaster Management, Karnataka: Department of Revenue and Disaster Management, Goa: Water Resources Department, National Disaster Management Agency Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 28-May-2015 Effectiveness Date: 09-Nov-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 17-Sep-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 04-Jun-2018 Original Closing Date: 15-Mar-2021 Revised Closing Date: 15-Mar-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to reduce vulnerability to cyclone and other hydro-meteorological hazards of coastal communities in project States, and increase the capacity of the State entities to effectively plan for and respond to disasters. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Early Warning Dissemination Systems:(Cost $18.10 M) Cyclone Risk Mitigation Infrastructure:(Cost $314.80 M) Technical Assistance for Multi-Hazard Risk Management:(Cost $29.50 M) Project Management and Implementation Support:(Cost $24.60 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Substantial progress has been made with respect to commitment of investments under all three components.  Component A: Five of six states have floated tenders for EWDS.  Component B: Almost all pending works (including MPCSs in Maharashtra and Kerala; bridges in Karnataka; saline embankments in Karnataka and Maharashtra and UGC works in Goa) have been committed. The only remaining un-tendered works include 3 MPCSs in Goa and 3 MPCSs in Gujarat. 9/11/2019 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Saline Embankments in Goa have been dropped.  Component C: Planned activities under this component are progressing, including the Hazard Risk & Vulnerability Assessment (HRVA) and the execution of respective training plans by the States. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other -- -- -- Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Reduce vulnerability to cyclone and hydro-meterological hazards of coastal communities IN00676642 ►Proportion of the targeted coastal population covered by the EWDS (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 All states, barring one (West Bengal) have tendered EWDS works and have communicated their Comments: commitment towards awarding works by September, 2019. IN00676644 ►Proportion of vulnerable coastal population with access to emergency shelters (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 9/11/2019 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Construction of MPCS and Access Roads to Shelters is underway (except in Maharashtra where works have recently been tendered). 65 MPCS have been completed, and formation of Cyclone Shelter Management Committee (CSMMC) and Shelter Management Guidelines is under process in participating States. On successful completion of the following activities: Comments: 1. Construction of MPCS and handing over to Departments / CSMMC, and transfer of Corpus Funds 2. Training of CSMMC members 3. Training of Community and conduct of mock drills the indicator value will be updated. Increase State capacity to efectively plan and respond to disaster events IN00676643 ►Results of the vulnerability assessment presented to officials of NDMA for investment planning (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT is under progress. The key components of the risk modelling effort is to bring in a real time surge modeling for the cyclone event. The Comments: first phase of development was shared with comments provided by PMU-NDMA and World Bank and the experimental phase will be spread over one/two cyclone seasons, followed by Operational Phase. IN00676645 ►Results of the comprehensive multi-hazard risk financing strategy for policy making (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 The study ToR is under discussion with PMU-NDMA. Comments: Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Early Warning Dissemination Systems IN00676651 ►Number of R-PACS (Remote Public Alarm & Communication System) installed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 750.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 All states, barring one (West Bengal) have tendered EWDS works and have communicated their commitment towards awarding works by September, 2019. The indicators will be updated once the Comments: installation is complete. With PMU-NDMA’s approval to the States towards an expansive coverage under Component A, the number of R-PACS will be finalized 9/11/2019 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Cyclone Risk Mitigation Infrastructure IN00676652 ►Number of multi-purpose cyclone and flood shelters completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 65.00 340.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Given the revisions in commitments by States, total 289 MPCSs have been planned for construction across 6 States as on July 2019. Of these, 65 have been completed. Only 6 MPCSs are pending to be Comments: tendered (3 in Goa and 3 in Gujarat) and the rest have been tendered or awarded. IN00676655 Number of people with access to multi-purpose cyclone and flood shelters built or rehabilitated under the Project (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 500,000.00 IN00676656 ►Roads rehabilitated, Rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 167.00 310.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Access roads are targeted in Gujarat and Karnataka. All road works under the project have been awarded and are expected to be complete in 2019. Goa has reallocated the financial outlay of roads to other Risk Comments: Mitigation Infrastructure works making the total planned construction of roads under the project a total of 205 kms as on July 2019. IN00676658 ►Number of bridges completed under the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Karnataka has proposed to construct two bridges under the project – both these have been tendered. Comments: IN00676660 ►Kilometers of embankments rehabilitated under the Project (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Jul-2019 15-Mar-2021 Saline Embankments were proposed to be taken up in Karnataka, Maharashtra and Goa. Karnataka and Maharashtra have tendered the embankments and the embankments in Goa have been dropped due to Comments: persistent land availability issues. As such, the total planned embankments is 36.55km as on July 2019. IN00676662 Square kilometers protected by embankments rehabilitated by the Project (Square kilometer(km2), Custom Supplement) 9/11/2019 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,600.00 IN00676663 ►Kilometers of HT and LT lines moved undergroud (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 280.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 UGC works is proposed in Maharashtra, West Bengal and Gujarat (total planned: 1514 kms as on July 2019). All UGC works have been awarded barring Gujarat where works have been tendered but the Comments: award of contract has been delayed. Technical Assistance for Multi-Hazard Risk Management IN00676653 ►Multi-hazard risk assessment for selected areas completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT is under progress. The key components of the risk modelling effort is to bring in a real time surge modeling for the cyclone event. The Comments: first phase of development was shared with comments provided by PMU-NDMA and World Bank and the experimental phase will be spread over one/two cyclone seasons, followed by Operational Phase. IN00676654 ►Physical structural assessment of lifeline infrastructure completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 This sub-component will get absorbed into the Design of the National Seismic Risk Mitigation Program Comments: (Sub Component C5). IN00676657 ►Probabilistic risk model for selected areas completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 Multi-hazard risk modelling and assessment for all coastal states and UT is under progress. The key components of the risk modelling effort is to bring in a real time surge modeling for the cyclone event. The Comments: first phase of development was shared with comments provided by PMU-NDMA and World Bank and the experimental phase will be spread over one/two cyclone seasons, followed by Operational Phase. IN00676659 ►Hydro-meteorological Resilience Action Plans completed (Yes/No, Custom) 9/11/2019 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 15-Dec-2014 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 PMU-NDMA has opened bids and undertaken selection of the Consultant to carry out this work. Works Comments: are likely to begin shortly. IN00676661 ►Number of training modules on disaster damage assessment implemented (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 14.00 8.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2018 03-Sep-2019 15-Mar-2021 States have developed training plan in consultation with PMU-NDMA. States have also identified potential training institutions at the state level for delivering of the training modules. Training to stakeholders is under implementation. Additionally, 5404 participants have been trained till date on shelter and DRM Comments: through120 modules. National Institute of Disaster Management (NIDM) has submitted training scheme/proposal to PMU-NDMA wherein modules developed under NCRMP Phase I will be used for delivering the Training programme. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P144726 IDA-56930 Effective USD 308.40 308.40 0.00 97.40 211.00 32% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P144726 IDA-56930 Effective 28-May-2015 11-Aug-2015 09-Nov-2015 15-Mar-2021 15-Mar-2021 Cumulative Disbursements 9/11/2019 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project-II (P144726) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 9/11/2019 Page 7 of 7