Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Electricity Expansion (P103037) AFRICA | Kenya | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2010 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 30-Jun-2017 | ISR28496 | Implementing Agencies: KenGen, KENYA POWER AND LIGHTING COMPANY, Rural Electrification Authority, Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, KENGEN, Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, The National Treasury, The National Treasury Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:27-May-2010 Effectiveness Date:01-Oct-2010 Planned Mid Term Review Date:01-May-2013 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:01-May-2015 Original Closing Date:30-Sep-2016 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2017 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project has two development objectives: (a) increase the capacity, efficiency, and quality of electricity supply; and (b) expand access to electricity in urban, peri-urban, and rural areas Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Name Geothermal Generation:(Cost $171.02 M) Transmission:(Cost $59.00 M) Distribution:(Cost $160.50 M) Sector Institutional Development and Operational Support:(Cost $10.48 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions Additional geothermal generation capacity (280MW) - The 140MW Olkaria IV and 140MW Olkaria I power plants were commissioned into operation in September 2, 2014 and January 2015, respectively. The Bank financed steam gathering system, the access road between Olkaria I and IV power plants, and geothermal laboratories and offices have all been completed. Transmission: Two transmission lines (132kV Garissa – Mwingi – Kindaruma; and 132kV Kitale- Eldoret) and associated substations were completed in April 2016. 35 kms, out of 41kms of the 132kV Kisii- Awendo line is completed. The two substations associated with the line have been completed. The remaining 9 kms is being delayed by right of way challenges. KETRACO is negotiating with the land owners and the same time, is discussing with the Bank on the opening of an escrow account to deposit the compensation assessed as payable to the land owners, it considers due to the land owners. The line is estimated to be completed by September 2017. Tata India is the contractor of the transmission lines. Distribution: This component is completed. 24 distribution substations fully financed under the Project have been completed, while 28 others constructed with materials procured under the Project and installed using counterpart funding have also been completed. A total of 10,529 km of distribution lines have been constructed or rehabilitated. Rural Electrification Component (Priority Loads): This component is being implemented by REA and has been substantially completed, except for commissioning of some few lines which has been delayed by lack of auto- reclosers, which are being prrocured. Institutional Development Component (D): Five studies have so far been carried out and completed, namely options for development of a power market in Kenya, cost of service study, technical & economic study for the development of small scale grid connected renewable energy in Kenya, materials and supply chain management study and feasibility study for the 400MW Menengai Phase 1 Geothermal Project. Three consultancy studies and related services are ongoing (risk management study and implementation support for KPLC, development of regulation, revenue arrangements, and technical requirement for private sector renewable energy mini-grids and feasibility studies for some mini-grid sites and are expected to be completed by July 2017. The project (including the additional financing) is expected to be completed by the December 31, 2017 closing date. 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Risks 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Substantial  Substantial Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  People provided with access to electricity by KPLC (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 17,843,785.00 20,120,345.00 11,000,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments This indicator captures the number of people connected to the grid by KPLC during the project period; assumes 5 people per household PHINDPDOTBL  New slum consumers connected to the grid (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 120,000.00 120,000.00 177,895.00 174,000.00 Date 30-Apr-2016 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDPDOTBL  Electricity losses per year in the project area (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 16.30 19.40 19.40 15.90 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Jun-2016 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2017 Comments End target updated. The sub-indicators on non-technical and technical losses are not separately measured due to the lack of appropriate metering system. PHINDPDOTBL  Electricity losses per year in the project area- Non-Technical (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PHINDPDOTBL  Electricity losses per year in the project area- Technical (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PHINDPDOTBL  Total net injected generation (Megawatt hour(MWh), Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,548.00 2,300.00 2,020.00 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDPDOTBL  1. Electricity generation from renewable generation capacity constructed under the project, net (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,548.00 2,300.00 2,020.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments End target date updated PHINDPDOTBL  3. Interruptions per 1,000 customers (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9.74 4.38 3.99 8.50 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments Baseline and annual targets restated to include the supply interruption incidences which, prior to July 2012, were excluded from the reported incidences and to normalize with growth in number of customers. The Number of incidences per 1,000 customers in March 2017 was above target due to enhanced maintenance on the LV network. The above figure is based on the average annual incidences to date. End target restated to include the supply interruption incidences which, prior to July 2012, were excluded from the reported incidences and to normalize with growth in number of customers. End target date updated PHINDPDOTBL  5. Direct project beneficiaries (CORE) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 17,843,785.00 4,024,069.00 2,200,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments End target updated in line with the indicator on number of people provided with access to electricity by KPLC, divided by 5. The reported actual as at September 2016 was error. 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Meters installed under the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 255,000.00 255,000.00 255,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments Number of meters installed by KPLC at consumers’ premises under the project PHINDIRITBL  KPLC conducts an annual customer satisfaction survey for slum consumers (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N N N Y Date 30-Apr-2016 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  Community electricity connections constructed under the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,050.00 1,058.00 450.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments Target exceeded. This has been attributed to the large number of primary schools and other public facilities connected. End target date updated PHINDIRITBL  Community electricity connections constructed –Grid (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,050.00 1,058.00 450.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,529.00 11,057.00 2,280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments Target exceeded. 3,996 km with IDA funding, 7,061 with counterpart funding and with materials financed under the project. Includes both new and rehabilitated lines End target date updated 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  Distribution lines constructed under the project (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,529.00 11,057.00 2,280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Distribution lines rehabilitated under the project (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,529.00 11,057.00 2,280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Transmission lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 304.00 328.00 334.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Transmission lines rehabilitated under the project (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  Transmission lines constructed under the project (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 304.00 328.00 334.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Generation Capacity of Renewable Energy (other than hydropower) constructed (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 30-Jun-2015 30-Sep-2016 Comments Achieved PHINDIRITBL  Generation Capacity of Renewable Energy constructed - Other (Megawatt, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 30-Jun-2015 30-Sep-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Generation Capacity of Renewable Energy constructed-Geo-thermal (Megawatt, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 10 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL 6. Generation capacity of renewable energy (geothermal) constructed or rehabilitated under the project (CORE) (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 30-Jun-2015 30-Sep-2016 PHINDIRITBL  7. Transmission lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project (CORE) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 304.00 328.00 334.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  8. Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project (CORE) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,529.00 11,057.00 2,280.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments End Target date updated PHINDIRITBL  9. Substations constructed or rehabilitated by KPLC under the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 59.00 62.00 26.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments Target exceeded. 30 s/stns with IDA funding (6 transmission s/stns and 24 distn s/stns), and 32 s/stns with counterpart funding. One transmission s/stn substantially completed. End target date updated 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 11 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  12. Community (public facilities) electricity connections provided under the project (CORE) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,050.00 1,058.00 450.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 30-Jun-2015 31-Dec-2017 Comments End Target date updated. PHINDIRITBL  Community Center (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,050.00 6,471.00 450.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 PHINDIRITBL  13. Business electricity connections provided under the project (CORE) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 15,502.00 15,511.00 15,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 31-Dec-2017 Comments End Target date updated 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 12 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  14. Roadmap for implementation of the wholesale electricity market is adopted by MoE (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N Y Y Y Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 30-Sep-2016 Comments Achieved PHINDIRITBL  15. Rural Electrification Master Plan (REMP) annually updated (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N Y Y Y Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 30-Sep-2016 Comments Achieved 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 13 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) PHINDIRITBL  16. Cost of service study completed one year before 2014 tariff review is launched (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N Y Y Y Date 30-Jun-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Mar-2017 30-Sep-2016 Comments Achieved Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P103037 IDA-47430 Effective USD 330.00 330.00 0.00 315.50 6.18 96% P103037 IDA-58440 Effective USD 68.00 68.00 0.00 63.15 2.08 93% P103037 TF-10097 Effective USD 5.15 5.15 0.00 5.15 0.00 100% P103037 TF-A2191 Effective USD 3.00 3.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P103037 IDA-47430 Effective 27-May-2010 05-Jul-2010 01-Oct-2010 30-Sep-2016 31-Dec-2017 P103037 IDA-58440 Effective 15-Jun-2016 29-Jun-2016 28-Sep-2016 31-Dec-2017 31-Dec-2017 P103037 TF-10097 Effective 20-Feb-2012 20-Feb-2012 21-May-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2017 P103037 TF-A2191 Effective 15-Jun-2016 29-Jun-2016 28-Sep-2016 31-Dec-2017 31-Dec-2017 Cumulative Disbursements 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 14 of 15 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Expansion (P103037) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 22-May-2013 ,Level 2 Approved on 30-May-2014 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Apr-2016 Related Project(s) P125388-GPOBA W3: Kenya Electricity ,P153179-Additional Financing: Kenya Electricity Expansion Project 6/30/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 15 of 15