V7ff 80 [EYYTW Bank June 1994 Strategies to attract new investment for African mining John Strongman M NM- Industry and Energy Department 0 -hiD Vice Presidency for Finance and Private Sector Development Africa is well endowed with mineral tures of US$400-500 million a year by the RETROSPECTIVE resources. The continent is a major producer end of the 1990s are feasible if African of bauxite, cobalt, copper, diamonds, man- countries establish an attractive investment ganese, rutile, and uranium. The region's environment. This expenditure level would mining potential is much greater than real- be close to current levels in Canada and ized, and new exploration and mining devel- Australia. opment have lagged behind that in other parts of the world. But Africa is now begin- Attracting private capital ning to mobilize the risk capital and invest- African mineral growth has been achieved ment funds needed for sound and orderly mainly by the private sector. Future growth mining development. will depend on attracting high-risk capital Mining companies spend an average of from foreign mining companies with the US$2.5 billion a year on exploration and technical and managerial capability to find US$40 billion a year in capital investment. new deposits and develop new operations. But during the 1970s and 1980s Africa Mining investments are capital-intensive, attracted less than 5 percent of such funds. usually involving time horizons of ten to Consequently, Africa is relatively unex- twenty years or more. Investors require plored. competitive terms and conditions, and solid Large, well-established private mining assurances that the investment environment operations in such countries as Botswana, will be stable and that the "rules of the Gabon, Ghana, Guinea, Namibia, Sierra game" will not change. Leone, and Zimbabwe have contributed to An exploration agenda requires a clear the economies of those countries for mining development policy, a reduced role decades. And in the past five years new pri- for state mining companies, and attractive vate mining operations have started up in conditions for private investors. As long as Ghana, Mali, and Zimbabwe. International state companies dominate the local mining mining companies will invest in African industry and control large tracts of prospec- countries that have good mineral potential tive land, new exploration investment will and that match the investment conditions in be severely limited. the rest of the world. Investors consider country risk to be African countries can attract a substan- much lower where there is an explicit com- tially increased share of world mining mitment to and a demonstrated track record investment. Greater investment is the neces- of support for private investment. They sary condition for revitalizing mining in believe that countries with such characteris- Africa and returning to strong sustained tics better appreciate the concerns of growth. But because of the long neglect of investors and are more motivated to respond exploration, the number of viable projects to them. Investors perceive country risk to ready for development is small. The few be greatest where there is no commercial advanced projects are in countries that per- mining tradition. formed well in the past. Most African countrics with mining Role of government potential should substantially increase Efficient and rapid mineral development exploration expenditures to attract major requires governments to allow private com- new mining projects. Exploration expendi- panies to take the lead in operating, manag- ing, and owning mineral enterprises. or output-related taxes). Governments can encourage mineral devel- Accounting rules along the lines of those opment by restricting their role to regulator used in industrial countries must be adopted. and promoter, leaving operations and man- Investors should act responsibly, ensuring agement to private enterprise. arm's-length transactions consistent with Countries wishing to attract high-risk accepted international practice. private exploration and mineral develop- Country assessments prepared by World ment funds should support or develop: Bank staff indicate that at least twenty-five * A legal framework that adequately African countries have attractive mineral defines the investor's rights and obliga- potential warranting increased exploration tions expenditures by the private sector (see list * Security of tenure to give the investor below and map on page 3). In Category I assurance of the fruits of success countries, the geological potential extends * A fiscal package that shares the rent of across large areas. Each of these countries profitable production equitably between has sufficient geological potential to warrant the government and the investor expenditures of US$10-20 million a year by * Guarantees of access to foreign exchange private companies. Countries in Category 2 at market rates for repayment of debts, warrant slightly lower expenditures- repatriation of capital and profits, and US$5-9 million a year each. In Category 3 purchase of essential inputs. countries, good geological potential is limit- Without these essential conditions, new ed to one or two specific regions. Category investment is unlikely. 3 countries warrant private exploration expenditures of US$2-4 million a year each. Benefits to African countries Even in these countries, world-class mineral Mining generates more than 20 percent of deposits can be found. More countries will merchandise exports and more than a third undoubtedly be added to the list in the next of non-oil exports for Sub-Saharan Africa. several years. For nineteen countries, each with mineral production exceeding US$25 million a year, Countries warranting private sector it accounts for about half of exports and a exploration third of taxes. Governments can obtain a fair share of Category i Category 2 Category 3 economic rent from mining through stable Angola Botswana Burundi fiscal arrangements that are fair to both par- Ethiopia Burkina Faso Central African ties. They can increase their share by mak- Ghana Gabon Republic ing the investment environment safer and Namibia Guinea C6te d'lvoire thereby lowering the risk premium and Tanzania Madagascar Kenya returns required by investors and lenders. Zaire Mali Liberia This requires clear mining development Zambia Mozambique Niger strategies and sound institutional structures. Zimbabwe Sudan Nigeria Governments should emphasize earnings- Rwanda related taxes rather than royalties (or input- Sierra Leone 2 Priority zones for mineral development: precious metals, base metals and diamonds ;/Tnisic I I > I ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Arab Republic of gypt\ Former Sp( nlhScc \ ur noigr $ >\ <, g Ghed g ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Sudan (- The Gambica!9 S-i--Xn, Guinea-Biss _ uitic t,