Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2016 | Seq No: 4 | ARCHIVED on 04-Jan-2018 | ISR30948 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Devolution and Planning Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program-for-Results Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P149718 IDA-57170 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 17.99 30.16 36% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149718 IDA-57170 Effective 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 10-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2020 -- 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Substantial  Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Substantial  Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLI) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 1.1 was achieved, verified and disbursed against. DLR 1.2 National Accounts source is almost fully achieved (pending Value data incomplete and partly -- is on-line publication of the outdated report) and verification will commence in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 4 DLRs under DLI 1 are: (1.1) Micro and small enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, report produced and available on-line; (1.2) Establishment census conducted, report produced and available on-line; (1.3) Integrated Survey of Services (ISS) conducted, report produced and available on-line; and (1.4) 2018 Survey of Industrial Production (SIP) conducted, report produced and available on-line PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Labor force, poverty and other The first two DLRs (2.0 DLRs 2.0 and 2.1 were achieved, Value key socio-economic data and 2.1) have been verified and disbursement 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) outdated achieved as planned and against. DLR 2.2 is almost fully will be assessed as per achieved (pending is on-line the verification protocol in publication of the reports) and January 2016 the verification process will commence in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 2 are: (2.0) Design the 2015/16 Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey (KIHBS) instruments, conduct pilot, and start fieldwork by September 2015; (2.1) KIHBS 2015/16 fieldwork partly conducted and progress report produced and available on-line; (2.2) KIHBS 2015/16 poverty report and labor indicators reports produced and available on-line; (2.3) Kenya Continuous Household Survey (KCHS) 2017 fieldwork conducted and quarterly labor indicators report produced and available on- line; and (2.4) KCHS 2018 fieldwork conducted and County poverty report produced and available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) The first two DLRs (3.0 DLR 3.0 and DLR 3.1 were Insufficient capacity to meet and 3.1) have been achieved, verified and SDDS criteria in all real and achieved as planned and disbursement against. Work on Value external sector data will be assessed as per DLR 3.2 has commenced categories the verification protocol in following the collection of the January 2016 establishment census. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 3 are: (3.0) Revised National Accounts with base year updated to 2009 produced and published; (3.1) Foreign Investment Survey (FIS) conducted and report produced and available on-line; (3.2) Business register upgraded and updated; (3.3) Rebased Consumer Price Index (CPI) series produced and available on-line; and (3.4) Rebased Producer Price Index (PPI) series produced and available on-line PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Compilation of the first DLR 4.1 was achieved, verified DQAF not compiled for any of DQAF is scheduled to and disbursed against. DLR 4.2 Value the seven macro-economic commence in March 2016 is complete and will be verified in datasets with TA by the Bank and Q1 of FY18. IMF Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 4 are: 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) (4.1) DQAF compiled and published for 1 macro-economic dataset; (4.2) DQAF compiled and published for 2 macro-economic datasets; (4.3) DQAF compiled and published for 3 macro-economic datasets; (4.4) DQAF compiled and published for 4 macro-economic datasets; and (4.5) DQAF compiled and published for 5 macro-economic datasets. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 5.0, DLR 5.1 and DLR 5.2 ARC not used and Economic were achieved, verified and Value Surveys not digitized and not -- disbursement against. Work freely available towards achieving DLR 5.3 has commenced and is on track. Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 6 DLRs under DLI 5 are: (5.0) All past Economic Survey Reports digitized and made freely available on-line; (5.1) An ARC covering up 2 data categories of the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) developed and published; (5.2) An ARC covering up 4 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.3) An ARC covering up 6 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.4) An ARC covering up 8 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; and (5.5) An ARC covering up 10 data categories of the SDDS developed and published. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 6.0 and DLR 6.1 were Microdata files not available achieved, verified and Value on-line and not freely -- disbursement against. DLR 6.2 obtainable was achieved and verification is in progress. Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 6 DLRs under DLI 6 are: (6.0) Kenya National Data Archive (KeNADA) with microdata from at least 30 surveys launched; (6.1) Revised microdata dissemination policy produced, adopted and published; (6.2) Micro and Small Enterprise (MSE) survey microdata available on-line; (6.3) KIHBS 2015/16 microdata available on-line; (6.4) KCHS 2017 microdata available on-line; and (6.5) KCHS 2018 microdata available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Text) 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 7.0 was verified to be partially (25 percent) achieved and full achievement and CRA conducted and endorsed verification by the EACC is Value action plan prepared by KNBS -- expected during FY18. DLR 7.1 and fully implemented was achieved and verification is in progress. Date 30-Dec-2015 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 3 DLRs under DLI 7 are: (7.0) CRA conducted and endorsed action plan prepared by KNBS and implementation completed; (7.1) A FMIS with multi-dimensional chart of accounts and capability to generate key reports designed and operationalized; and (7.2) An ISO 15489 certified RM system established. Results Results Area Intermediate Results Area Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved Management systems strengthened Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Outdated poverty statistics and household survey data All three (2005/06) being used to intermediate Value -- -- infrom poverty reduction targets targeting and resource achieved allocations Date 30-Jun-2014 -- -- 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is slightly (2 Progress is slightly (2 months) off-track. The months) off-track. The Kenya Integrated Kenya Integrated Household Budget Household Budget Survey KIHBS 2015/16 Survey KIHBS 2015/16 was conducted and was conducted and Poverty statistics are reports on poverty and reports on poverty and All five outdated (2005/06) and labor statistics have labor statistics have intermediate Value there is insufficient been produced but been produced but targets capacity to monitor poverty these are currently still these are currently still achieved at least once every 3 years undergoing peer review undergoing peer review before being made before being made publically available on- publically available on- line in Q1 of FY18 line in Q1 of FY18 (instead of by June (instead of by June 2017 2017 as planned). as planned). Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is slightly (2 months) off-track. The Progress is slightly (2 first intermediate target months) off-track. The (Foreign Investment first intermediate target Survey (FIS) (Foreign Investment conducted and report Survey (FIS) conducted produced and available and report produced and on-line) was been available on-line) was Insufficient capacity to achieved, but the been achieved, but the All five meet SDDS criteria in all updating of the updating of the business intermediate Value real and external sector business register is 2 register is 2 months targets data categories months behind behind schedule (due to achieved schedule (due to a a delay in the collection delay in the collection and processing of the and processing of the establishment census). establishment census). This will be achieved This will be achieved and back on track in Q1 and back on track in of FY18. Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Microdata files not Progress is on track Progress is on track and All five Value available on-line and not and both the June both the June 2016 and intermediate 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) freely obtainable 2016 and June 2017 June 2017 targets were targets targets were achieved. achieved. achieved Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The first intermediate The first intermediate target was achieved target was achieved (Micro and small (Micro and small enterprises (MSE) enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, All four National Accounts source survey conducted, report report produced and intermediate Value data incomplete and partly produced and available available on-line) and targets outdated on-line) and the second the second achieved intermediate target will intermediate target will be achieved (with a 2 be achieved (with a 2 month delay) in Q1 of month delay) in Q1 of FY18. FY18. Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 56.00 56.00 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Compilation of the first Compilation of the first DQAF compiled DQAF not compiled for any DQAF completed and DQAF completed and and published Value of the seven macro- compilation of the compilation of the for 5 macro- economic datasets second DQAF was second DQAF was peer economic 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) peer reviewed and is reviewed and is datasets currently being finalized currently being finalized for publication. for publication. Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 72.00 72.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 06-Jun-2016 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Develop and publish an ARC covering 10 Progress is on track Progress is on track and data categories and the intermediate the intermediate target Value ARC not used of the Special target set for June set for June 2017 was Data 2017 was achieved. achieved. Dissemination Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The first target was The first target was partially achieved: The partially achieved: The CRA was conducted CRA was conducted and and the recently the recently released released EACC report EACC report on the on the status of status of implementation implementation for for compliance indicates CRA conducted and compliance indicates that about 25 percent of Both of the 2 endorsed action plan that about 25 percent the actions have been intermediate Value prepared by KNBS and of the actions have fully achieved, 40 targets fully implemented been fully achieved, 40 percent are partially achieved percent are partially achieved, and 35 achieved, and 35 percent are not yet percent are not yet achieved. achieved. The second target was The second target was fully achieved: an FMIS fully achieved: an FMIS with multi-dimensional 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) with multi-dimensional chart of accounts and chart of accounts and capability to generate capability to generate key reports was key reports was designed and designed and operationalized. operationalized. Date 31-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments 1/4/2018 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 9