Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Russian Federation | Environment & Natural Resources Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2014 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 29-Jun-2018 | ISR32550 | Implementing Agencies: RosHydromet, Government of the Russian Federation Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:17-Sep-2013 Effectiveness Date:08-May-2014 Planned Mid Term Review Date:05-Dec-2016 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:07-Dec-2016 Original Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2021 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective of the proposed Second National Hydromet System Modernization Project (RU-Hydromet-2) is to further enhance the national capacity to deliver reliable and timely weather, hydrological and climate information to the Russian public and economic sector and enhance Russia's capacity to integrate into the global system of meteorological services. As a result of the projectRoshydromet will further modernize its services and improve the accuracy of information necessary to protect society and economy from a wide range of hydrometeorological and climate related hazards. The project will also support Russia's public institutions to make informed economic decisions related to climate information (both negative and positive impacts) based on comprehensive climate models and assessment capacity. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component A. Strengthening Information Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure and systems delivering weather, climate and hyd rological data and information:(Cost $64.14 M) Component B. Modernization of observation networks:(Cost $90.16 M) Component C. Institutional and regulatory strengthening, improvement of service delivery to clients and better preparedness for emer gencies:(Cost $17.28 M) Component D: Project Management:(Cost $7.78 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 6/29/2018 Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project implementation progress over the past six months has been sustained but not significantly accelerated. Most of the on-going activities are on schedule, some others, primarily related to broader policy issues and decision making at Government level have been postponed. The High- Performing Computer (supercomputer) has been delivered and mounted in Roshydromet's premises in Moscow, Khabarovsk and Novosibirsk. It is now undergoing different tests and will be fully operational as of August. Evaluation is underway for the modernization of hydrological network, improvement of reliability of hydrological forecast and flooding on Volga River. It is expected that actual activities for this specific task would commence in fall. New activities, added as a result of project restructuring in February are commencing at a slower than anticipated pace. More specifically, improvement of performance and sustainability of the land-based meteorological network including expansion of automatic systems is a bit delayed, because it needs to be aligned with Roshydromet's overall development strategy, currently under preparation. On the other hand, test are underway for modernization of remote meteorological stations, primarily in the northern and eastern regions. Should they be successful, the roll-out can start in late 2019-2020. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Substantial  Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Increased lead times of basic weather forecasts for major Russian administrative centers with reliability over 70% (Hours, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/29/2018 Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Value 120.00 120.00 120.00 168.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments This indicator should in principle show progress towards the end of 2019, when HPC is fully operational. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased reliability of forecasts of seasonal water inflow to reservoirs in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 75.00 78.00 78.00 85.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments Due to delays with deployment of the package and activities linked to modernization of hydrological network on Volga River basin, the progress can be expected not earlier than about 18 months from now. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased number of RHM sectoral data users (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 116.00 116.00 123.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDPDOTBL  Increased satisfaction of users with RHM services (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 6/29/2018 Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Overall Comments Due to extension of the project, an additional (third) wave of monitoring will be conducted in June-December 2021 under the package. The second wave in the meantime has been postponed till June-December 2019. Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  A.1 Accuracy of warnings on natural hazards (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 88.00 93.60 93.60 93.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  A.2 Increased level of spatial resolution of weather forecasts with the lead time of up to three days (for large cities) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15.00 15.00 15.00 5.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  A.3 Number of oblast and territorial Roshydromet Centers providing remote client access to archived data (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 7.00 7.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 6/29/2018 Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  A.4 Number of Roshydromet centers providing operational access to observational data and products for internal and external RHM clients (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10.00 10.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  B.1 Increased number of automated observation sites in pilot regions of the North-West of Russia (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 83.00 84.00 84.00 92.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  B.2 Availability of modern devices for measurement of soil moisture and heat regime of agricultural lands in the pilot regions (North Caucasus, West Siberia) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments Measurement devices have been delivered to pilot regions already. However, they are currently undergoing testing and rectification of shortcomings in equipment that needs to be fixed. Until the shortcomings are not addressed the progress on this indicator will not be possible to report. PHINDIRITBL  B.3 Modernization of upper air observation network (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 64.00 78.00 78.00 87.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 6/29/2018 Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  B.4 Reduction of error of water flow data in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  B.5 Percentage of the Volga River basin territory corresponding to the minimum required number of hydrological observation sites (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 81.00 81.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments This indicator will not change until the hydrological network modernization activities are completed. The launch is expected in fall 2018. PHINDIRITBL C.4 Accuracy of warnings on hazardous hydrometeorological events delivered to regional authorities and the Ministry of Emergency Situations (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 84.00 84.00 89.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL  C.5 Number of Roshydromet institutions where situation centers are deployed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 25.00 96.00 96.00 102.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 6/29/2018 Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  C.2 Re-training and professional upgrading of specialists from the Roshydromet’s organizations (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 169.00 1,614.00 2,325.00 9,300.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 PHINDIRITBL C.1 Developed/updated regulatory, organizational and administrative documents aimed at improving the organizational, methodological, financial and economic activities of Roshydromet (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 4.00 9.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments Over reporting period following two guidelines/recommendations have been prepared and endorsed: (i) methodological recommendations for the use of additional sensors for the automated meteorological complex AMK on the ground meteorological observation network; (ii) guidelines for conducting comparative measurements of water levels and temperatures using standard and automated measuring instruments and processing the results. PHINDIRITBL  C.3 Number of scientists and specialists participating in internships in leading universities and agencies outside Russia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 2.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2017 18-May-2018 31-Dec-2021 Comments The mission noted earlier as well that this target would be difficult to reach due to difficulties for Russians to obtain internships in leading universities and agencies abroad. Overall Comments 6/29/2018 Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective USD 60.00 60.00 0.00 25.69 34.31 43% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective 17-Sep-2013 17-Jan-2014 08-May-2014 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 21-Feb-2018 6/29/2018 Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/29/2018 Page 9 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy