66239 CIDIE WORKSHOP ON ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS I OF ECONOMYWIDE POLICIES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ,World Bank. Washington. D.C. 23-25 February 1993 THE EVOLUTION OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS IN ADJUSTMENT LENDING: A REVIEW Prepared by The Pollution and Environmental Economics Division, World Bank THE EVOLUTION OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS IN ADJUSTMENT LENDING: A REVIEW! J. Warford, A. Schwab, W. Cruz, and S. Hansen2 I. Introduction 1. The World Bank's third annual report on the environment, issued shortly after the UNCED meetings in Brazil, identified the need to integrate environmental concerns in economic reforms as a key priority, for which there is growing consensus in the international community. 3 The goal of this review is to evaluate how adjustment lending operations, a major category of Bank activities, have started to incorporate environmental considerations in their reform programs. The review also specifically responds to questions frequently raised by World Bank Board members and the development community at large about the relationships between the adjustment process and environment and, in particular, about the extent to which World Bank adjustment lending activities adequately address environmental issues. 2. In addressing the linkages between adjustment lending and the environment, it is important to bear in mind that such lending operations often incorporate specific, fairly short-run objectives, and the loans are intended for rapid disbursement. The following review indicates that while environmental objectives can, and increasingly are, built into loan conditions, there are many other environmental objectives that require long-term institutional and capacity reform and for which adjustment lending is a singularly inappropriate instrument. 3. The adjustment process is facilitated not merely by adjustment lending operations, but also by the whole range of sector and project activities in which the Bank, other development agencies and, of course, the countries themselves are engaged. In fact, many of the policy reforms contained in the adjustment process -- particularly in sector adjustment lending -- are far from new. Reforms, such as rationalization of electricity pricing or removal of subsidies for pesticides, have been standard elements of project and sector lending for many years. Whether they have been related or not to adjustment lending, macroeconomic dialogue as well as lending and policy work in a variety of sectors -- ranging from energy to popUlation -- may have IPresented at the CIDIE Workshop on Environmental Impacts of Economywide Policies in Developing Countries, 23-25 February 1993, The World Bank, Washington, D.C. 2The authors are Consultants, Pollution and Environmental Economics Division, World Bank Environment Department. 3See World Bank 1992b, pp. 10-12. 1 profound impacts not only upon the adjustment process but also on the environment. 4. The review is therefore limited in scope, and does not shed much light on the lessons that can be derived as to the overall impact of World Bank operations on the environment. However, stated Bank policy toward the environment rests heavily upon the integration of environment into the mainstream of its lending operations. Thus, trends in incorporating environment into adjustment lending operations, as described in this paper, provide some indication of the degree to which the process of integration is actually taking place. It also suggests some areas in which further progress is required. Origins of Structural Adjustment Programs 5. Since the mid-1970s, many developing countries have suffered from macroeconomic problems of aggregate demand-supply imbalances, rapid inflation, high unemployment, and shortage of foreign exchange. Often resulting from long-running domestic policy distortions, these macroeconomic problems were aggravated by adverse international economic conditions (e.g., oil shocks, world recession, deteriorating terms of trade, debt crises). Adverse external conditions were also often compounded by domestic policies (e.g., budgetary deficits, price distortions, inefficiencies in the public sector). 6. In recent years, structural adjustment and stabilization programs have been implemented in several developing countries to cope with these macroeconomic problems. The programs are often carried out through collaboration among international lenders (e.g. ,the World Bank and International Monetary Fund), and usually have a mixture of objectives. Short-term macroeconomic objectives generally include reductions in balance-of-payments deficits, inflation, and government budgetary deficits. The long-term goals may include the diversification of the production base, a shift towards a market-oriented system, and rapid economic growth. Policy measures typically include currency devaluation, reductions in government spending, monetary restrictions, trade liberalization, reform of pricing policies, privatization of public enterprises, and wage restraints. 7. Except for a few studies -- e.g., Hansen (1988); Sebastian and Alicbusan (1989) -­ relatively little work has been done to address the relationship between adjustment lending and the environment. The following section revisits the work done by Sebastian and Alicbusan, which analyzed the environmental implications of the World Bank's Structural (SALs) and Sectoral Adjustment Lending (SECALs) operations over the period FY79-FY87. The current review starts in Part II, which evaluates recent Bank SALs and SECALs to determine changes in the extent of the effort devoted to environmental objectives in adjustment operations. Part III then looks at three country examples to illustrate how adjustment operations have evolved for particular countries and how adjustment has increasingly addressed environmental concerns. Part IV focuses on the need to address poverty and other social dimensions of adjustment and the growing recognition of the link between social conditions and pressure for exploitation of marginal resources. This demonstrates an important aspect of the evolving integration between 2 environment and development goals. Adjustment Lending FY79 - FY87 8. The 1989 study of World Bank adjustment lending operations was based on a review of SALs and SECALs in 43 countries, which altogether accounted for about 83% of the Bank's total adjustment loans during the period FY79 - FY87. Its overall objective was to investigate whether adjustment lending operations caused environmental degradation in developing countries, as critics had maintained. Much of this criticism was centered on the claim that while adjustment programs emphasized restoring macroeconomic equilibrium in poor countries -- largely through contraction of aggregate demand and promotion of growth-oriented objectives -- there was an apparent disregard for potential adverse impacts of adjustment policies on social well-being and the environment. 9. However, the study found that there was no conclusive evidence that policy changes associated with adjustment lending were necessarily related to environmental degradation in developing countries. Contrary to the above criticism, it concluded that adjustment programs appeared, on balance, to have a positive effect on the environment. Using a partial equilibrium approach, it demonstrated that there were many potential complementarities between major adjustment policies and environmental goals -- primarily through measures designed to improve efficiency and reduce wasteful use of resources. It identified the following range of adjustment policies -­ involving the agriculture/forestry, energy, and industry sectors -­ which had ./ potentially traceable impacts on natural resource use4: - Adjustments in agricultural producer prices (23) - Removal/reduction of agricultural input subsidies (28) - Tax adjustments on agricultural exports (12) - Improved terms of trade on agricultural products (16) - Adjustments in energy prices (15) - Trade and industry policy reforms (29) - Public expenditure changes in agriculture/forestry (19) - Public expenditure changes in energy (8) - Public expenditure changes in industry (8) - Institutional reforms in agriculture/forestry (29) - Institutional reforms in energy (13) - Institutional reforms in industry (22) to. The 1989 paper provided illustrative examples of how adjustment policies might have impacts upon the environment. For example, changes in producer prices for agricultural outputs 4The figures in parentheses refer to the number of countries to which such policies were applied. 3 or adjustments in agricultural export taxes may have important consequences for soil productivity and erosion. Differential output pricing or agricultural taxation can result in substantial changes in cropping patterns and land uses and consequently could lead to varying degrees of soil erosion. Tree crops (e.g., coffee, cocoa, cashew) are usually associated with relatively low rates of soil erosion, even when planted in sloping terrain because of continuous root systems that help improve soil structure and permeability. By contrast, other commercial crops (e.g., groundnut, cotton) can exhaust soil fertility under inadequate cultivation practices, leaving the soil quite prone to erosion. Even worse are staple food crops, such as cassava, yams, sorghum, and millet, which reportedly cause two to three times more soil erosion than most tree crops. Thus, while increases in producer prices or reduction in export taxes may generally encourage investments for land improvements, higher prices for tree crops would appear to have a beneficial environmental effect. However, increases in the prices of other commercial crops or subsistence food crops may be associated with land degradation. 11. The other potential complementarities in agriculture and forestry noted in the 1989 study were based on (a) expected improvements in health and ecological risks as agricultural chemical subsidies were reduced; (b) improved groundwater conservation and cost recovery for irrigation water; (c) reduced distortions in the allocation of productive resources as credit subsidies were removed; and (d) increased incentives for soil conservation and land/forest management due to reforms in forest policy, land tenure systems, and provision of research and extension services. 12. In the energy sector, adjustment policies centered on pncmg reforms, institutional strengthening and adjustments in public expenditure programs. Their beneficial implications for energy generation efficiency, development of alternative energy sources, and conservation in energy use were emphasized. Increased consumption of fossil fuels and development of dams for hydropower generation were associated with the need for devising complementary regulatory measures in order to mitigate adverse environmental effects that may arise from these activities. 13. Finally, adjustment policy reforms concerning trade and industry emphasized export promotion and import liberalization in the manufacturing sector. Specific instruments included the following: exchange rate devaluation, changes in relative prices of manufactures, simplification of trade licensing procedures, tariff reforms, restructuring of public enterprises, facilitating market entry, and attracting private sector and foreign investment. Given the complex nature of these instruments and their far-reaching influence on a country's general economic conditions, the impacts of trade and industrial adjustments on the environment are particularly difficult to evaluate. Industrial reforms may be associated with long-term environmental benefits through increased efficiency, but mitigation of the environmental effects of growth in industrial output may require institutional and regulatory measures to ensure that the environmental costs of industrialization are adequately internalized. 14. The complementarities cited above are merely assumed environmental impacts of adjustment programs. The study recognized that many variables are at work. Long-term impacts are difficult to predict in the best of circumstances, and in the environmental area there are 4 special problems -- behavioral and physical linkages are poorly understood; many of the effects are long term; market failure and institutional weaknesses are endemic. Thus, too much reliance should not be placed upon the conventional components of adjustment lending to achieve environmental objectives. Instead, complementary programs, or supplementary measures within an adjustment lending operation, are typically required to address specific social and environmental consequences of adjustment or to achieve specific objectives. The 1989 study found that although environmental problems were recognized, it was in fact rare to fwd policy reforms in adjustment lending that targeted them specifically. 5 II. Environmental Aspects of Adjustment Lending Operations Since 1988 15. This part reviews World Bank adjustment lending operations over the period FY88-FY92, in light of their treatment of or implications for the environment. A total of 114 adjustment loans were approved by the Bank during this period, involving 64 countries (Table 1). Only 81 (or 71 %) of these lending operations, involving 47 SALs and 34 SECALs and covering 58 countries, were used in this review. The rest of the adjustment loans were excluded because they were mostly financial sector adjustment programs considered to have no direct -- or traceable ­ - implications for the environment. The sampled loans represent 65 % of total adjustment lending for the FY88 -FY92 period. 16. SALs and SECALs since 1988 have continued to have the same overall objectives and involve basically the same set of macroeconomic policy instruments as in the previous period, as described in Part I. The general observations referred to in the earlier review, regarding the essential complementarity between the adjustment process and environmental improvement. as well as the role and limitations of adjustment operations in achieving environmental objectives, still remain valid. 17. This updated review identifies adjustment lending policy measures which influence incentives relating to resource use and environmental management. The analysis of lending activities is made with respect to the following: regional classification and major policy areas in Table 2; changes in agricultural output prices (producer prices and export tax adjustments) by country and crop type (including livestock) in Table 3; changes in agricultural input prices (input subsidy changes and reduction in import duties) by input type and country in Table 4; an array of energy sector policy restructuring measures by country in Table 5; trade and industry sector reforms in Table 6; and a disaggregation of institutional reforms by country and sector in Table 7. (The tables are compiled at the back of the paper.) 18. These analytical components are discussed in the following sections. In addition to these tables, the next part provides illustrative material, describing how adjustment lending has evolved in three countries, namely Jamaica, Philippines, and Tunisia. (Detailed descriptions of these loan programs are presented in the annex.) Finally, social considerations are also addressed at some length in this review because of the assumed (but not necessarily well understood) impacts on the environment via adjustment induced changes in many social conditions. 6 Explicit Environment Considerations in Adjustment Lending Programs 19. Of the 58 countries used in the review of recent SALs and SECALs, 27 of the countries were in Africa, 15 in Latin America & the Caribbean (LAC), 10 in Europe and the Middle East (EMENA), and only 6 in Asia. The adjustment operations were either follow-up loans for countries included in the FY79 - FY87 review or were new operations in additional countries. The distribution by regions suggests where Bank activities have been most preoccupied with economic distortions and inefficiencies. The regional distribution of adjustment policy measures with assumed environmental impacts or complementarities, as well as the incidence of explicit environmental and social considerations in adjustment lending, also reflect country structural characteristics. 20. What appears to be a new trend since 1988 is the incidence of explicit environmental and . social components of adjustment lending operations. About 60% of the sampled countries (35 out of 58) have adjustment programs which include environmental goals or loan conditionalities addressing environmental concerns in agriculture, forestry, energy or trade and industry. In Asia and Africa, environmental policies included in adjustment programs are largely related to agriculture and forestry (Table 8). In Europe and the Middle East region, trade, industry and energy dominate. In Latin America agriculture has the highest incidence, but the sectoral concentration is less pronounced. For agriculture, environmental components were included in 31 % of the countries; the incidence was 24% of the countries for forestry, 22 % for trade and industry, and 16% for the energy sector. 21. Explicit components to secure land tenure or titling as an incentive for soil conservation, was identified in 9 countries (of which 7 were in Africa) out of the 58 (Table 9), or in half of the countries having explicit agricultural sector environment components. Land taxation, rent appropriation, and lease duration measures were adopted in 4 countries for land management purposes. Five categories of land protection measures have been identified: Le., safe use of agrochemicals is a loan component in 6 countries, improved cultivation practices to prevent soil erosion or watershed protection in 3, agropastoral development in 6, rangeland management and desertification control in 3, and better irrigation management and flood control in 3 countries. 22. Various measures for sustainable forestry management have also been included in recent adjustment lending programs (Table 9). Competitive bidding and long-term concession reforms were found in 4 countries with a history of unsustainable logging practices. In addition pricing, taxation, royalty, or concession rent policies were seen in 7 countries; agroforestry development in 7; wildlife conservation in 7; participatory approaches and institutional strengthening in 6; preparation of national or master forestry plans in 5; and formulation or implementation of Tropical Forests Action Plans in 4 countries. In 5 countries in Africa the adjustment program has included a separate component for the preparation of an Environmental Action Plan. 23. In the energy sector there are explicit environmental components in 9 countries covering a wide range of goals and accompanying measures: regulatory, institutional, as well as 7 economic. In the trade and industry sector there are similar measures in 13 countries (Table 10). 24. Based on the preceding sections, adjustment operations over the FY88-92 period, in comparison with the period covered in the 1989 review, show a considerable increase in the efforts to address environmental concerns. Whereas in the FY88-92 period 60 percent of the sampled loans explicitly included environmental objectives or loan conditions, a comparable figure for the earlier period would only have been 37 percent. Furthermore, while the environmental components of the FY88-FY92 adjustment operations encompassed a wide range of policy instruments or sectoral strategies (as shown in Tables 9 and 10), those of the FY79­ FY87 review were focused largely on agriculture/forestry and energy sectors, with only four major strategies being used: forest conservation and renewal; land use policies; control of soil erosion; and energy conservation programs. 25. In addition to the trend for environmental components to be directly incorporated in adjustment lending, there have also been a number of stand-alone environmental projects that have gained from on-going adjustment operations. Environmental policies in SALs and SECALs can provide a basis for the preparation of free-standing environmental projects, or they may complement ongoing lending for environment. Recent examples are the following: Benin, Natural Resource Management Project; Burkina-Faso, Environment Management Project; Central African Republic, Natural Resource Management Project; Mali, Natural Resource Management Project; Somalia, Rangeland Management Project; Zimbabwe, Forest Conservation and Management Project; Poland, Environment Management Project. 8 HI. Environment in the Evolution of Adjustment Lending in Three Countries 26. A recent OED review (OED 1992) has shown that evaluating the direct and indirect impacts of adjustment operations is inadequate without a long view of how adjustment lending has evolved within a country. 5 From the experience of 42 countries from the mid-1980s to FY89, the review concludes that there has been continuing evolution and progress in adjustment lending design and implementation, with "greater awareness of differences among countries, clearer policy frameworks, more flexible strategies to address the social dimensions of adjustment and poverty, and more importance given to the quality and timing of economic and sector work and country policy dialogue. 116 27. A growing role for the environment has been part of this process. While environmental considerations were limited in early lending, adjustment reforms or conditionalities explicitly addressing resource use and environmental management have increased. At the same time, the manner in which adjustment operations have included environment also exhibits substantial variation. This can best be illustrated by examining specific cases. This section looks at just three country examples, to demonstrate varying patterns of how environmental considerations were incorporated in adjustment operations, in terms of program evolution and scope. 28. Adjustment lending in Jamaica is one case where environmental components had entered even during the first round of adjustment. (See Annex 1 for loan descriptions.) Environmental considerations were addressed in the series of adjustment operations as they were linked to specific economic problems identified at different points of the adjustment process. SAL I in 1982 and SAL II in 1983 addressed a broad set of economic problems that ranged from macroeconomic concerns, such as the balance of payments deficit, to sectoral problems with economy-wide implications. 29. The sectoral problems included the sluggish performance of the industrial and agricultural sectors of the economy. Within the agricultural sector the key environmental components focused on land use policy and institutional reforms. Because many small farmers cultivated land on hillsides, soil erosion was a major concern. Thus, the land use component focused on improving the tenurial status of farmers to encourage investment in soil conservation. At the same time, low-cost methods for controlling erosion were promoted. 30. In 1984, energy conservation through fuel and electricity pricing reforms was the focus of a third SAL. Jamaica's energy requirements had been met through imports of petroleum products. In 1983, a cross-subsidy was introduced between gasoline and electricity, and this had resulted in substantial inefficiency. Thus, the reforms in SAL III were targeted at eliminating 5Operations Evaluation Department, "World Bank Structural Adjustment Operations, II Report No. 10870, 30 June 1992, World Bank, Washington D.C. 6World Bank, OED Precis, June 1992, No.32, p.l. 9 the cross-subsidy. An associated objective was to ensure that changes in the cost of fuel would be reflected in electricity prices. 31. A Trade and Financial Sector Adjustment operation was undertaken in 1987, but this had no specific environmental component. By 1990, the focus of adjustment shifted to more sectoral concerns. The Agricultural Sector Adjustment Loan supported the government's agricultural program -- (a) to improve the incentive framework for agricultural commodities through deregulation of commodity prices (e.g., in cocoa and citrus) and through credit policy reforms, (b) to privatize public lands and government enterprises, and (c) to establish the institutional basis for improving pesticide use. The latter objective, clearly a sectoral vs. economy-wide concern, illustrates how environmental components in adjustment-related reforms have covered the whole range of environmental issues, from the broad land use and energy conservation aspects to specific pesticide problems. 32. In contrast to the experience of Jamaica, adjustment lending in the Philippines started with no environmental goals. (See Annex 2 for details of the Philippine loans.) The context of the Bank's adjustment lending to the Philippines was the problem of severe BOP deficits in the early 1980s. The first loan, SAL I in 1980, supported the government's industrial development program, and was designed to accelerate industrial growth, expand employment, diversify exports, and stimulate local industries. The second adjustment loan in 1983 was partly an extension of SAL I, but this already included an energy component. Energy pricing reforms, the development of domestic energy sources, and the promotion of investment in the natural resource sector were components of SAL II. In 1984, an agriculture sectoral adjustment loan financed the importation of essential agricultural inputs. The reforms associated with this loan initiated the deregulation of agricultural output prices and introduced reforms in input markets and in the credit sector. The pricing of irrigation water and reforms in pesticide and fertilizer use were part of this program. 33. To assess the environmental implications of SAL I and II, simulation exercises were undertaken by Cruz and Repetto (1992), using a computable general equilibrium model that incorporated key resource-based production sectors and explicitly included agricultural land as an input. The results showed that although the program would have contributed, as designed, to growth, BOP, and income distribution goals, the implications for the environment would have been negative due to increased logging, mining, and upland agriculture. Indeed, as the program was actually implemented by the Marcos administration, tariffs were cut but real devaluation was undermined by inflation, suggesting that the positive wage and employment effects from this adjustment component were also undermined. 34. By contrast, the same simulation model demonstrated that conventional economic goals could also have conservation benefits, an example of the "win-win" reform possibilities described by the World Development Report (1992). The computable general equilibrium simulation showed that energy price increases, associated with the energy reform component of SAL II," promoted conservation not only in the energy sector itself but also in the resource degradation-prone sectors (Cruz and Repetto 1992). The assessment concluded with suggested 10 resource taxation, pricing, and institutional refonns that could reduce the resource exploitation effects associated with the trade-related refonns, while promoting environmental as well as fiscal and distributional objectives. 35. With the demise of the Marcos administration in 1986, the World Bank supported the change of government with an economic recovery loan in 1987. Although there were no explicit environmental components in this loan, it included poverty alleviation as a key component. Since unemployment and poverty has been associated with the excessive exploitation of the country's marginal resources, poverty reduction efforts would have contributed indirectly to reducing resource exploitation pressures. Subsequently a separate adjustment lending operation was initiated that was primarily environmental. In 1991 the Philippines became the recipient of one (of only two) stand-alone environmental adjustment loans. This loan supported a hybrid operation that consisted of a policy refonn and institutional strengthening program together with an investment component for community-based resource management and the establishment of a viable protected areas system. 36. Adjustment lending in Tunisia started much later than in the preceding countries, and focused on sectoral adjustment. (Refer to Annex 3 for loan descriptions.) In Tunisia, the economy faced severe BOP and debt problems, associated with the decline of hydrocarbon-based exports. High investment levels in the public sector up to the mid-1980s emphasized large, capital-intensive projects that generated few jobs and yielded low economic returns. Part of the effect of government policies in the 1970s and early 1980s was a continuous decline of the agricultural sector's relative importance in the economy. Domestic food production had failed to keep pace with increased demand brought about by rapid population growth and urbanization. 37. Thus an agricultural sector adjustment operation was started in 1986 in support of the government's medium-tenn adjustment program. Though primarily an agricultural loan, its scope included resource management components in land, forests, and fisheries, that were deemed important for sustainable growth. In 1989, a second SECAL was approved to support the refonns started in 1987. Among other things, the second agricultural sector adjustment loan focused on alignment of output prices with international prices, phased elimination of subsidies for inputs such as irrigation, fertilizer, and herbicides, and reduction of lending subsidies to the agricultural sector. 38. These three country examples illustrate how the integration of environmental concerns, though clearly increasing based on the analysis of Part II, has substantially varied from country to country. Thus, while surveys of lending operations do show a trend for more environmental considerations in adjustment loans, specific country studies are needed to distill lessons for future work. 11 IV. Social Dimensions of Adjustment and Their Environmental Implications 39. Aside from the explicit resource management or environmental components of adjustment operations, reform programs will have an impact through unanticipated output or resource use effects that follow the resource allocation effects of changes in economic incentives. Some of these effects may be substantial (e.g., removing raw material subsidies may both reduce resource extraction and the pollution component of manufacturing), and the interested reader is referred to a review of Bank work on these types of effects in Cruz and Munasinghe (1992). In this section, we focus on a second category of indirect effects, that work primarily through changes in the poverty and employment factors that are linked to excessive exploitation of marginal resources. 40. Poverty has important environmental dimensions. But the linkages are complex, poorly understood, and work in both directions. For one, short time horizons lead individuals to mine environmental resources at a more rapid rate than may be socially desirable, and can be a disincentive to invest in land resources that yield returns only after a number of years. However, short time horizons are not an innate or exclusive characteristic of the poor. Rather, they are often times the consequence of market, policy, and institutional failures, some of which, in fact, contribute to the initial causes of poverty. For example, with little access to credit markets, the poor often have few options, and may have no other recourse than the more intensive extraction of their own or open-access resources. 41. A number of characteristics of poor households also contribute to high fertility. For example, minimal education and limited income earning possibilities of poor women lower the costs of foregone economic opportunities while the women bear and raise children. A third characteristic is that poor parents are less likely to have access to markets or mechanisms that provide old-age security. Thus, they rely on having many children to ensure that some will survive to adulthood to support their parents. Thirdly, children in poor households can provide labor that has an economic value to the household, while limited access to education and health reduces the costs of raising them. 42. Environmental degradation appears to reinforce several of these links between poverty and high fertility, and contributes to the risk of impoverishment. Because the poor tend to have access only to the more environmentally fragile resources, they more often face higher levels of resource productivity decline through soil degradation, loss of tree cover, and so on. Soil degradation not only reduces income, but it can also increase income variability because soil moisture retention capacity and drought resistance will be affected. Or the poor may switch to crop residue and animal dung for fuel, thus depriving their fields of organic material needed to retain soil fertility and prevent soil degradation. In the case of tree cover decline, the poor's labor productivity is affected by ever-increasing time spent collecting fuelwood for household needs. Environmental degradation may therefore reinforce some of the links between poverty and rapid population growth. 12 43. Adjustment operations are directed at removing market-, policy-, and institutional failures. To the extent one identifies such failures as underlying the observed environmentally destructive behavior of the poor, adjustment operations components aimed at addressing these failures or directly alleviating poverty are likely to be environmentally benign. 44. Since FY88 the social dimensions of adjustment lending operations have taken on an explicit position in the form of various social sector strategies. These include three main categories of action, all of which indirectly bear on the ability to manage the environment: a) Strengthening of institutional capability for design/implementation of poverty alleviation programs, b) Employment generation in the short run, and c) Increased budgetary support for basic social services. 45. It is of particular interest to note that whereas general adjustment operations tend to involve cuts in overall public spending, an important short-term strategy in recent years (in 26 of 58 countries) has been to increase the budgetary allocation to health, education and social services (Table 11). Better provision of such basic social infrastructure services is known to be an effective means to stimulate reduced population growth through improved livelihood and survival outlook. In countries affected by budget deficits, this will reduce the financial need to bridge the gap between supply and demand for basic social and income enhancing services. 46. Nutrition intervention programs in 13 countries complement these efforts. In 7 countries such programs are supplemented with infrastructure construction and rehabilitation programs for improved delivery of social services. Such action will facilitate the implementation of measures designed to improve the environmental quality and reduce environmental health hazards around settlements. 47. Population, nutrition and health (PHN) issues may thus be included in structural adjustment lending programs to expand the sectoral (PHN) dialogue and protect the vulnerable sectoral programs (e.g., nutrition status protection in the structural adjustment programs in Venezuela (1989), and in the EI Salvador Structural Adjustment Loan (1991». In Malawi the structural adjustment reforms are supported with an Entrepreneurship and Capital Market Adjustment Credit (1992) aimed in a multifaceted way at helping the poor, as producers, through the adjustment process. 48. The same can be achieved in free-standing sectoral adjustment lending operations with policy reforms to upgrade institutional capacities of key ministries for planning, programming, mobilization and management of human and financial resources. Examples include the Education Sector Adjustment Credits to Ghana, (1986-90) and the Ghana Agricultural Sector Credit (1992). In Mexico, Agricultural Sector Loan II (1991) was designed to help protect nutritional status during adjustment. 49. In education, sectoral reforms might include the elimination of special subsidies for 13 universities coupled with the introduction of a student loan program. The resulting savings might be spent on basic education. Given the direct expected returns to improved basic education plus the indirect environmental benefits related to these returns -- i.e., those resulting from reduced population growth, less resource pressures and better soil conservation -- adjustment operations may contribute to both poverty alleviation and a better scope for sound environmental management. 50. In agriculture, sectoral operations usually support the elimination of price distortions and government regulations. The net effect of these adjustment measures would typically benefit the rural poor. However, this could be at the expense of the urban poor unless the reforms are combined with programs for improved food distribution and for protection of nutritional status of target groups. Another alternative is to do this as hybrid operations whereby quick-disbursing policy-based loan components are combined with investment components designed to improve the efficiency of the sectoral activities (e.g., the 1989 Education Sector Consolidation Project , in Mali). 51. The general conclusion from a review of Bank adjustment operations is that compensatory interventions are needed to reduce the transitory social costs of adjustment on readily identifiable groups. In fact, as Table 11 shows, 23 countries have incorporated employment generation strategies and 14 countries have instituted work compensatory programs to help establish social safety nets and create a better balance in the labor market. Increased labor force absorption is essential to reduce uncontrolled migration to, and settlement on, marginal and fragile lands, urban as well as rural. 52. The medium-term strategies incorporated in the adjustment lending operations reviewed above reinforce the short-term measures just described, and thus contribute to the structural transformation initiated by the short-term measures. In 27 countries these include strengthening institutional capacities to design and execute poverty alleviation programs. Job retraining programs are incorporated in 12 country adjustment operations, and complementary activities, such as skill development, job search, placement assistance, and counseling are found in 5 countries. Ten countries have strategies for improved management or creation of social security systems and pension plans, which have been proved important incentives for reduced fertility and thus reduced environmental pressures. Seventeen countries are restructuring their health care systems, urban services, and financing. Food security programs are found in 11 countries. 53. In the long term -- more recent adjustment operations, particularly in the Africa region, are focussing on human resources development programs. This has been done through public expenditure restructuring or investment planning in 4 countries, and through explicit social dimensions of adjustment (SDA) projects in 12 countries. In Africa, the longer the adjustment time horizon, the more dominant is the incidence of such programs. 54. Finally, the Bank has a special SDA Program for Sub-Saharan Africa which incorporates a wide range of analytic and operational activities designed to integrate social and poverty concerns into structural adjustments. The first major component of the program is the 14 development of a conceptual framework for analyzing the effects of macroeconomic policies on welfare at the household level. The second component is development of analytic and methodological tools for data collection and analysis. Clearly, the effectiveness and appropriateness of the second component depends on a successful completion of the first component. The third component is strengthening of national institutional capacities to use these tools for poverty monitoring and analysis. The Bank's SDA Program is supporting such programs in more than 30 African countries. 15 V. Conclusion 55. In the early to mid-1980s, environmental issues were limited considerations in SALs and SECALs. Consequently the review of environmental considerations in adjustment in the 1989 paper was only able to point out the potential complementarities between adjustment policies and environmental objectives. The current review indicates that, by contrast, recent adjustment programs include more than just a nominal treatment of the environment. Environmental issues have become an important aspect in adjustment lending by the Bank. There are now more SALs with loan components or conditionalities that are openly environmentally motivated. Indeed, environmental programs have in some cases been the subject of stand-alone SECALs. 56. This assessment of the evolution of adjustment is at odds with the criticism that adjustment operations ignore environmental concerns. On the contrary, adjustment is a necessary, if not sufficient, condition for sound environmental management. Certainly stability, "getting prices right," and public sector reform have virtually unambiguous -- and beneficial -­ impacts on environment. Trade reform, in enhancing efficiency and employing the principle of comparative advantage, will also tend to do so. In each case, however, there may be unanticipated effects, which require complementary or compensatory interventions. This might be especially apparent in the case of trade policy: encouraging exports, if not accompanied by adequate pricing or institutional policies in the country concerned, could lead to over-exploitation of a natural resource, such as forest products. However, freer trade itself would not be the culprit, but failure to address the "second best" conditions prevailing elsewhere in the economy would be. 57. One constructive suggestion that has been proposed refers to the desirability of the World Bank issuing an instruction to its staff on how the linkages between structural adjustment, macroeconomic policy, and environment should be addressed. Indeed this is an important recommendation and is in fact consistent with an ongoing effort in the Bank. It is recognized that policies at the macroeconomic or sector level may have profound effects on the environment. High on the list of priorities is the need to refine our understanding of the linkages between poverty and environment. To this end, work is in progress on a series of case studies, each of which addresses the relationships between economic or sectoral policies and particular environmental problem. Examples are deforestation in the Philippines, urban air quality in Mexico, and threatened wildlife in Zimbabwe. The intention is to illustrate the nature of the impacts of economic policy on environment, to use as background for a revised Environmental Assessment Operational Directive. This will focus on the environmental consequences of economic policies -- particularly adjustment policies -- rather than, at present, just on the environmental impact of individual projects. 58. It is recognized that environmental problems and their solution tend to be location-specific and heavily dependent upon the prevailing culture and physical environment. However, it is important that those responsible for economic and sectoral management should be aware of the nature of the linkages between these variables. They should be prepared to take appropriate measures either to use the leverage of such policies to bring about pervasive environmental 16 improvement, or at least be prepared to take compensatory measures to avoid potentially adverse social or environmental consequences of those policies. 59. In conclusion, while critics may have been correct in the past about how environment was not being systematically integrated in Bank adjustment lending, that is certainly not true now. Even in the past, when there was limited concern over environment, the resulting neglect was not necessarily bad. On the contrary, good economics, particularly as it emphasizes efficient use of resources, is often good for the environment too. There remain, due in large part to government policy failure, many opportunities for "no regrets" policies -- i.e., those which satisfy both economic and environmental objectives. It should continue to be a primary strategic objective of the Bank to search out such opportunities, and to give them priority in its project and policy work. 17 REFERENCES Addison, T. and Demery, L. 1985. Macro-economic Stabilization. Income Distribution and Poverty: A Preliminary Survey. London: Overseas Development Institute. Cruz, W. and Repetto, R. 1992. The Environmental Effects of Stabilization and Adjustment Progrems: The Philippines Case. Washington, D.C.: World Resources Institute. Demery, L. and Addison, T. 1987. The Alleviation of Poverty Under Structural Adjustment. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Hansen, S. 1988. "Structural Adjustment Programs and Sustainable Development." Paper prepared for the annual session of CIDIE, June 1988, Washington, D.C. Operations Evaluation Department. 1992. OED Precis. June 1992. No. 32. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. Operations Evaluation Department. 1992b. "World Bank Structural Adjustment Operations. Report No. II 10870, 30 June 1992, World Bank, Washington, D.C. Repetto, R. 1988. "Economic Policy Reform for Natural Resource Conservation." Environment Department Working Paper No.4, World Bank, Washington, D.C. Sebastian,1. and Alicbusan, A. 1989. "Sustainable Development: Issues in Adjustment Lending Policies." Environment Department Divisional Paper No. 1989-6, World Bank, Washington D.C. World Bank. 1992. Poverty Reduction Handbook. Washington, D.C. World Bank. 1992b. The World Bank and the Environment. Fiscal 1992. Washington, D.C. 18 Table 1. SampUne Coveraee or Adiustment Lendine Operations, (FV88 - FY92) ASIA LAC EMENA AFRICA TOTAL No. of countries which 7 16 12 29 64 received adjustment loans No. of countries reviewed 6 15 10 27 58 (%)" (86) (94) (83) (93) (91) No. of adjustment loans 9 29 18 58 114 approved No. of adjustment loans reviewed 6 21 13 41 8P' (%) (86) (72) (72) (71) (71) ~ Loans excluded from the review are mostly financial sector adjustment programs and others which do not have direct implications. for environmental issues. Table 2. Adjustment Lending l-oUdes with Effects on the System of Incentives in the Economy (FY88 - FY92l ASIA % LAC % EMENA % AFRICA % TOTAL % Countries Reviewed 6 15 10 27 58 Relative Price Changes Adjustment in agricultural 0 0 3 20 2 20 19 70 24 41 producer prices Subsidy removal/reduction in prices 2 33 8 53 4 40 10 37 24 41 of agricultural inputs Tax adjustments on agricultural exports 0 0 2 13 0 0 8 30 10 17 Improve terms of trade on agricultural 1 17 5 33 0 0 7 26 13 22 products Adjustments in energy prices 3 50 6 40 6 60 11 41 26 45 Trade & Industrv Policv Reforms 4 67 14 93 10 100 24 89 52 90 Public Expenditure Program Changes AgriculturelForestry 2 33 7 47 2 20 18 67 29 50 Energy 2 33 4 27 1 10 6 22 13 22 Industry 2 33 4 27 6 60 8 30 20 34 Institutional Reforms AgriculturelForestry 4 67 8 53 5 50 24 89 41 71 Energy 1 17 3 20 1 10 3 11 8 14 Industry 3 50 10 67 8 80 24 89 45 78 Source: World Bank Reports Table 3. Changes in Prices of Agricultural Outputs: Distriblltion by I'rodnct & COllntry (FY88 • FY92) Number of Countries Output Producer Price Export Tax Countries!!' Adjustments Adjustments Food crops (e.g., rice, maize, 9 1 Costa Rica; Mexico. wheat, sorghum, and other Tunisia food grains) Burkina-Faso; Ivory Coast; Mali; Mauritania; Somalia: . ~ price decrease; Zambia. (Mali) . Cash crops (e.g., cotton, tobacco, 11 5 Mexico. (Mexico). sugarcane, groundnut, oil Egypt crops, etc.) Benin; Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Cameroon: price decrease; Ivory Coast; Malawi; Mali; Gambia: price decrease; Tanzania. (Burkina-Faso; Cameroon; Guinea; Mali). Tree crops (e.g., coffee, cocoa, 13 8 Jamaica; Mexico. (EI Salvador; Mexico). palmoil, cashew, tea, etc.) Burundi; Cameroon: price decrease; Central African Republic; Ghana; Guinea-Bissau; Ivory Coast; Rwanda; Sierra Leone; Tanzania; Togo; Uganda. (Cameroon; Central African Republic; Guinea; Guinea­ Bissau; Rwanda; Sao Tome & Principe). Livestock 2 2 Ivory Coast; Somalia: price decrease. (Mexico; Burkina-Faso). Source: World Bank Reports ~I Countries in parenthesis are those with export tax adjustments; those not in parenthesis are the ones with producer price adjustments. Except when specified, adjustments typically include a reduction/removal of export taxes or direct increase in producer price. Table 4. Cbanges in Prices of Agricultural Inputs: Distribution by Type of Inputs & Country (FY88 • (1Y92) Number of Countries Input ReductionlRemoval Reduction in Countries~ of Input Import Duties Subsidies Fertilizers 14 2 Nepal. Mexico; Venezuela. (Uruguay). Algeria; Egypt; Tunisia . ~ Benin; Burkina~Faso; Cameroon; Ghana; Malawi; Tanzania; Togo; Zambia. (Kenya). Agricultural chemicals (e.g., pesti~ 7 1 Mexico. (Uruguay). cides, herbicides and insecticides) Algeria; Egypt; Tunisia. Benin; Ivory Coast; Togo. Agricultural equipment, spare parts, 2 2 Mexico. (Mexico). and implements Algeria. (Tunisia: elimination of import bans). Interest on agricultural credit 13 Nepal; Papua New Guinea. Costa Rica; EI Salvador; Honduras; Jamaica; Peru; Uruguay; Venezuela. Hungary; Tunisia. Uganda; Zambia. Seeds and planting materials 1 o Tunisia. Land rental rates 1 Malawi. Animal feedsllivestock services 3 o Mexico. Egypt; Tunisia. Irrigation water 3 Nepal. Algeria; Tunisia. Source: World Bank Reports f! Countries in parenthesis are those with policies to reduce the import duties on agricultural inputs. Table S. Restructllrinc the Energy Sector: Distribution by Type or Measures & Country (FY88 - liY92) Objectives n-n------n-----------Policy Mcasurcs-----------------­ n -­ Countries I. Energy Pricina Policies: Conservation (a) Production Costs: (1) Adjustments in prices for petroleum products; e.g., Argentina; Costa Rica; Guyana; Venezuela; import parity pricing: to rationalize pricing of Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Hungary; Poland; Romania; petroleum and gas. Burundi; Burkina-Faso; Guinea; Mali; Rwanda; Sao Tome & Principe; Senegal; Sierra Leone. (2) Revise pricing of coal: e.g., import parity pricing; Bulgaria; Czechoslovakia, Hungary; pricing according to mining costs; etc. Poland; Romania. I;': (b) Consumer Prices: (1) Reduction or elimination of subsidy. Bangladesh; Bulgaria; Hungary; Romania. (2) Adjustments of electricity tariffs: e.g., according Bangladesh; Laos; Papua New Guinea; Guyana; to LRMC; to achieve targetted rates of return; Honduras; Panama; Venezuela; Bulgaria; full cost recovery pricing. Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Hungary; Poland; Romania; Benin; Burundi; Ivory Coast; Rwanda; Senegal; Zimbabwe. (3) Adjustments in diesel-gasoline price differentials. Poland. (4) Raise fuelwood prices. Hungary. Introduction of Energy-Saving Technologies: e.g., efficient wood-burning stoves: modern kilns Bangladesh; Togo. for charcoal production. Institutional Measures (a) Creation of an institutional body for the Honduras; Bulgaria. coordination of energy conservation activities. (b) Public education and training services to promote Zimbabwe. awareness on energy conservation. II. Develop alter­ (a) Exploration for oil, gas and fossil Argentina; Honduras; Bulgaria; Benin; Ivory Coast; native energy fuels/coal. Bangladesh. sources and (b) Investments in hydroelectric and geothermal Benin; Ivory Coast; Madagascar; Togo. enlarge the power generation energy produc­ (c) Investments in fuelwood production; e.g., Tunisia; Malawi; Mauritania; Togo; tion base establishment of plantations and seedling Zimbabwe. nurseries; afforestation/reforestation programs. (d) Solar energy research Togo. Source: World Bank Reports Table 6. Restnleturine the Trade & Industry Seeton Distribution by Type or Measures & Country (FY88 - FY92) Objectives ------------------------Policv Measures---------------------­ Countries A Price Incentives I. Import liberal­ Lower consumer (a) Elimination or reduction in India; Nepal; Papua New Guinea; El Salvador; ization prices of imported quantitative restrictions Jamaica; Nicaragua; Panama; Peru; Bulgaria; loadS: and import prohibitions Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Morocco; Tunisia; Yugoslavia; Benin; Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Cameroon; Central African Republic; Gabon; Ivory Coast; Madagascar; Rwanda; Tanzania; Togo. (b) Reform of tariff system to India; Nepal; Papua New Guinea; Costa Rica; reduce effective protection Honduras; Jamaica; Nicaragua; Panama; Peru; on domestic manufacturers Trinidad & Tobago; Uruguay; Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Hungary; Morocco; Poland; Romania; Benin; Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Cameroon; Gabon; Ghana; Guinea-Bissau; Ivory Coast; Madagascar; Mali; Sierra Leone; Tanzania; Togo; Zambia. Lower transaction Simplification of import proce­ India; Nepal; El Salvador; Guyana; Honduras; costs on imported dures; e.g., abolish or Jamaica; Mexico; Nicaragua; Peru; Trinidad & goods: liberalize import licensing Tobago; Algeria; Bulgaria; Hungary; Morocco; system; simplify customs rates Poland; Romania; Tunisia; Benin; Cameroon; and clearance procedures; etc. Central African Republic; Ghana; Ivory Coast; Malawi; Mali; Sao Tome & Principe; Senegal; Sierra Leone; Tanzania; Togo; Zimbabwe. II. Export promotion Change in the terms Exchange rate adjustments Papua New Guinea; Chile; Costa Rica; El of trade: Salvador; Honduras; Jamaica; Nicaragua; Uruguay; Algeria; Czechoslovakia; Poland; Romania; Yugoslavia; Burundi; Gambia; Ghana; Guinea­ Bissau; Madagascar; Malawi; Mozambique; Rwanda; Sao Tome & Principe; Sierra Leone; Tanzania; Uganda; Zambia; Zimbabwe. Objectives ------------nu--------Policy Measures---------------------- Countries Lower transaction (a) Simplification of export India; Nepal; Bolivia; Costa Rica; El Salvador; costs on exported procedures; e.g., elimination Honduras; Jamaica; Mexico; Nicaragua; Panama; goods: of export licenses and/or Peru; Trinidad & Tobago; Bulgaria; Czechoslovakia; export taxes; removal of Egypt; Hungary; Morocco; Poland; Romania; Benin; export bans; etc. Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Cameroon; Central African Republic; Gabon; Ivory Coast; Madagascar; Malawi; Mali; Mozambique; Sao Tome & Principe; Sierra .. Leone; Tanzania; Togo; Uganda . (b) Provisions to retain parts Nicaragua; Peru; Romania; Ghana; Mozambique. of foreign exchange earnings (c) Export insurance, financing Chile; Morocco; Guinea-Bissau; Ivory Coast; Togo. and/or credit schemes. Lower production costs: (a) Provision of tax incentives: Chile; Honduras; Trinidad & Tobago; Uruguay; e.g., rebates of duties on Hungary; Burundi; Ivory Coast; Malawi; Senegal. imported inputs or income taxes; accelerated depreciation; etc. (b) Improved access to imported Nepal; Bolivia; Peru; Algeria; Egypt; Poland; inputs; e.g., open-bonded ware­ Yugoslavia; Gabon; Ivory Coast; Malawi; Rwanda; houses; duty-free inputs; Tanzania; Senegal; Zimbabwe. automatic access to foreign exchange or provision of revolving foreign exchange funds; etc. B. Other export promotion Jamaica; Trinidad & Tobago; Algeria; Central incentives: e.g., technical African Republic; Gaboh; Ghana; Guinea; Malawi; assistance to export Mali. industries; equity capital assistance; preferential tax regime; etc. Objectives ------------------------Policy Meas ures---------------------­ Countries C. Institutional measures: e.g., India; Laos; Papua New Guinea; Bolivia; EI restructuring of public enter­ Salvador; Guyana; Honduras; Mexico; Panama; prises; reform of investment Trinidad & Tobago; Venezuela; Bulgaria; codes to attract domestic Egypt; Hungary; Moroccoj Poland; Romania; private/foreign investment. Yugoslaviaj Benin; Burkina-Faso; Burundi; . ;: Cameroon; Central Mrican Republic; Gabonj Gambia; Ghana; Guinea; Guinea-Bissau; Madagascar; Malawi; Mali; Mozambiquej Rwandaj Sao Tome & Principe; Senegal; Sierra Leone; Togo; Uganda; Zambiaj Zimbabwe. Source: World Bank Reports Table 7. Changes in Institutional Policies: Distribution by Type of Sectoral l'olicies & COllntry (11'\,88 - FY92) No. of Percent of Institutional Measures Countries Total Sample Countries A,riculture/Forestry . Reform of marketing arrangements 31 53 Nepal; Costa Rica; El Salvador; Honduras; Mexico; Peru; ·for agricultural inputs/outputs Algeria; Egypt; Romania; Tunisia; Benin; Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Cameroon; Central Mrican Republic; Gabon; Gambia; Ghana; Ivory Coast; Kenya; Madagascar; Mali; Mauritania; Rwanda; Sao Tome & Principe; Sierra Leone; Somalia; Tanzania; Togo; Uganda; Zambia. Agricultural extension and research 16 28 Philippines; Honduras; Jamaica; Uruguay; Algeria; Tunisia; Benin; Burkina-Faso; Ivory Coast; Ghana; Malawi; Mali; Mauritania; Togo; Uganda; Zambia. Land tenure, land reform, land use, 20 34 Philippines, Jamaica; Peru; Algeria; Hungary; Romania; and other land-related issues Benin; Burkina-Faso; Gabon; Ghana; Ivory Coast; Kenya; (11 countries reported soil erosion, Malawi; Mali; Mauritania; Mozambique; Sao Tome & and other land degradation problems) Principe; Somalia; Uganda; Zimbabwe. Forestry regulatory policies (12 12 21 Laos; Nepal; Papua New Guinea; Philippines; Uruguay; countries reported deforestation Cameroon; Central Mrican Republic; Gabon; Ghana; problems) Guinea-Bissau; Ivory Coast; Malawi. Livestock regulatory policies, 6 10 Tunisia; Burkina-Faso; Ghana; Mali; Mauritania; including Iivestock-crop integra­ Somalia. tion/agropastorat development (4 countries reported overgrazing and desertification problems) No. of Percent of Institutional Measures Countries Total Sample Countries Agricultural credit policies 18 31 Papua New Guinea; Bolivia; Costa Rica; Jamaica; Mexico; Peru; Algeria; Romania; Tunisia; Burkina­ Faso; Cameroon; Ghana; Ivory ' . Coast; Malawi; Mauritania; Sao Tome & Principe; Togo; Zambia. Industry Restructuring or divestiture/ 29 50 Laos; Bolivia; EI Salvador; Guyana; Honduras; Mexico; privatization of public Nicaragua; Panama; Peru; Venezuela; Bulgaria; enterprises Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Poland; Romania; Yugoslavia; Benin, Burkina-Faso; Burundi; Central African Republic; Gambia; Guinea; Guinea-Bissau; Madagascar; Mali; Mozambique; Rwanda; Senegal; Sierra Leone; Togo; Zambia. Encourage domestic private 30 52 India; Laos; Papua New Guinea; Bolivia; EI Salvador; investment in industry Honduras; Mexico; Peru; Venezuela; Bulgaria; Czechoslovakia; Egypt; Hungary; Poland; Romania; Yugoslavia; Burundi; Cameroon; Gabon; Gambia; Malawi; Rwanda; Sao Tome & Principe; Senegal; Sierra Leone; Tanzania; Togo; Uganda; Zambia; Zimbabwe. Attract foreign investment 15 26 India; Laos; Papua New Guinea; Guyana; Trinidad & Tobago; Venezuela; Bulgaria; Hungary; Morocco; Benin; Burundi; Gambia; Sao Tome & Principe; Sierra Leone; Uganda. No. of Percent of Institutional Measures Countries Total Sample Countries Energy Energy conservation programs 4 7 Honduras; Bulgaria; Cameroon; Zimbabwe. 'Studies of alternative energy 7 ~ 12 Honduras; Peru; Trinidad & Tobago; Bulgaria; Cameroon; 'sources/programs for energy Togo; Bangladesh. diversification Source: World Bank Reports Table 8. Distribution of Environmental Components of Adiustment Loans by Sector & Region (FY 88 - FY92) SECTOR ASIA % LAC % EMENA % AFRICA % TOTAL % Countries reviewed 6 15 10 27 58 Agriculture 2 33 3 20 1 10 12 44 18 31 .Forestry 3 50 1 7 o o 10 37 14 24 Energy 1 17 2 13 3 30 3 11 9 16 Trade and Industry o 0 1 7 4 40 8 30 13 22 Source: World Bank Reports Table 9. Agriculture & Forestry Sector: Environmental Components of Adjustment Loans (FY88 • (11'92) No. of Percent of Environmental Components Countries Total Sample Countries Land Management Strategies a) Security of land tenurelland titling, as 9 16 Philippines; Jamaica; Benin; Burkina-Faso; Ivory incentive for soil conservation Coast; Kenya; Mali; Mauritania; Somalia. b) Land protection measures: • Promote environmentally safe use of 6 10 Jamaica; Mexico; Tunisia; Ghana; Kenya; Uganda. , ;; fertilizers and pesticides (e.g., through research and extension, etc.) • Improved cultivation practices for soil 3 5 Jamaica; Ghana; Mali. erosion prevention/watershed protection (e.g., terracing, cropping patterns, etc.) • Agropastoral development or integration of 6 10 Uruguay; Burkina-Faso; Ghana; Mali; Mauritania; livestock and crop production Somalia. • Desertification control and rangeland 3 5 Burkina-Faso; Mauritania; Somalia. management • Irrigation development (including improved 3 5 Nepal; Tunisia; Mauritania. O&M) and flood control c) Land tax or rents/duration of land leases 4 7 Philippines; Tunisia; Malawi; Zimbabwe. forest Management Strategies a) Competitive biddingllong-term concession 4 7 Philippines; Cameroon; Ivory Coast; Gabon. arrangements as incentive for sustainable operations b) Forestry taxation/royalty fees, concession 7 12 Philippines; Papua New Guinea; Uruguay; rents, user charges to promote sustainable Cameroon; Central African Republic; Ivory Coast; exploitation of resources Ghana. No. of Percent of Environmental Components Countries Total Sample Countries c) Agroforestry development 7 12 Nepal; Uruguay; Cameroon; Central African Republic; Gabon; Ghana; Mali. d) Wildlife conservation (e.g., protection of 7 12 Philippines; Cameroon; Central African Republic; national parks, delineation of nature reserves, Ivory Coast; Gabon; Mati; Uganda. etc.) e) Community participation or private sector 6 10 Philippines; Nepal; Cameroon: Central African involvement in forest management Republic; Ivory Coast; Mali. . f) Institutional strengthening (e.g., to improve 6 10 Benin; Central African Republic; Ivory Coast; f managerial capability; create agency to ;:­ Gabon; Ghana; Malawi. coordinate environmental programs, etc.) g) Preparation of a national or master forestry 5 9 Nepal; Central African Republic; Ivory Coast; plan Guinea-Bissau. h) Formulation of a TFAP/or implementation of 4 7 Papua New Guinea; Cameroon; Central Afri<;an TFAP's recommendations Republic; Sierra Leone. Prenaration of an Environmental Action Plan (e.g., 5 9 Benin; Burkina-Faso; Ghana; Sierra Leone; Somalia. to define 8 national environmental policy) Source: World Bank Reports Table 10. Enerey & Industry Sectors: Environmental Components of Adjustment Loans (FY88 - FY92) Countries Energy Trade and Industry Bangladesh Interfuel substitution study to address steady decline in biomass/fuelwood supplies; program for imprOVed biomass recovery and conversion (e.g., in cooking stoves and charcoal kilns) and for coordinated traditional energy assessments. Argentina EAP to establish normative standards and ,~ regulations to adequately control the environmental impacts of energy production. Honduras Interfuel substitution study to address deforesta­ tion problems; environmental safeguard provisions in contracts awarded for oil exploration activities; EIA requirements for hydropower projects. Trinidad and Tobago EIA requirements for industrial projects. Algeria Action plan for addressing toxic wastes disposal; medium-term program for controlling water pollution; institutional framework for management of water resources. Czechoslovakia Plan of action for establishing regulations on Institutional framework for establishing activities of public utilities (power, heat and emission standards and pollution charges. gas), in terms of protection of public health and safety, and the environment. . Medium-term environmental action program: (a) establish emission standards and system of pollution charges -- e.g., environmental taxes on coal, gasoline and diesel, and revenues to be generated will be used to finance environmental projects; (b) pilot projects to identity decen- Countries Energy Trade and Industry tralized management of air and water quality at regional level; and (c) means for greater public participation in environmental decisionmaking. Hungary Elimination of production subsidies for coal System of pollution charges. mining; pollution charges and means to encourage use of environmentally sound products (e.g., lower custom duties on imported automobiles fitted with catalytic converters. . ;. Poland Introduction of air emission standards for Enterprise restructuring to include implementation S02' NO. and particulates for all fuel of more rigid environmental standards concerning combustion processes. air emissions and liquid effluents; pollution charges. Cameroon Environmental standards and regulations on industrial wastes. Gabon Taxation and pricing of forest resources (e.g., timber). Gambia Action program for fisheries resource management and groundwater development (agroindustrial activities). Ivory Coast EIA requirements for electric power investments; assess supply and demand conditions for fuelwoodl charcoal as basis for a rational fuelwood plan. Malawi Export licensing requirements for goods with implications for environmental protection. Sao Tome and Principe Infrastructure development in support of tourism industry (e.g., water supply. sanitation and storm drainage, solid waste management). Countries Energy Trade and Industry Senegal Loan agreement on provision of necessary safeguards for environmental protection, in the course of economic diversification in "industrial free zones." Sierra Leone Establish regulatory environmental guidelines for the mining (e.g., gold, diamond, bauxite) sector; institutional and legislative reforms to t ;; address problems of environmental degradation. Togo Biomass policy which is focused on four areas: official reforestation programs; agroforestry systems; improved cooking stoves/use of butane gas to reduce fuel\\,ood consumption; creation of national parks and state forests. Uganda No issuance of export certificates to goods with implications for environmental protection. Zimbabwe Community afforestation program, and policy for efficient use of wood energy. Source: World Bank Reports Table 11. Social Uimensions of Adilistment Operations (FY88 - FY92) SOCIAL SECfOR STRATEGIES ASIA % LAC % EMENA % AFRICA % TOTAL % Countries reviewed 6 15 10 27 58 Short-term strategies Increased budgetary allocation to 3 50 7 47 3 30 13 48 26 45 health, education and social services Nutrition intervention programs 0 0 7 47 2 20 4 15 13 22 . ;:(e.g., school lunches; food aid for women and children; etc.) Employment generation strategies 1 17 7 47 1 10 14 52 23 40 (e.g., labor-intensive public works; food-for-work program; etc.) Construction/rehabilitation of 2 33 4 27 0 0 1 4 7 12 infrastructure for improved delivery of social services Compensatory programs (e.g., 1 17 0 0 7 70 6 22 14 24 severance pay schemes/un­ employment benefits for laid- off workers; minimum wage or income support for lowest paid civil servants; etc.) Housing assistance 1 17 2 13 2 20 0 0 5 9 SOCIAL SECTOR STRATEGIES ASIA % LAC % EMENA % AFRICA % TOTAL % Medium-term strategies Strengthen institutional capacity 1 17 3 20 4 40 19 70 27 46 to design and execute poverty alleviation programs (e.g., socio..economic sUlVeys to identify vulnerable groups; monitoring living standards and . evolution of social indicators; statistical measurement and . ;.: analysis of social data; etc.) Employment assistance issues: • SME development assistance 1 17 0 0 3 30 4 15 8 14 • Job retraining for retrenched 2 33 1 7 3 30 6 22 12 21 workers • Skill development/training 0 0 ·2 13 0 0 3 11 5 9 (e.g., youth employment generation; WID initiatives) • Job search, placement assist­ 1 17 0 0 4 40 0 0 5 9 ance, and counseling Food security programs or action 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 41 11 19 plans Restructuring of health care system! 2 33 3 20 5 50 7 26 17 29 urban services, and financing Improved management/creation 0 0 5 33 4 40 1 4 10 17 of social security system, pension plans, etc. SOCIAL SECfOR STRATEGIES ASIA % LAC % EMENA % AFRICA % TOTAL % Long-term strategies: Human resource development programs a) Through public expenditure 0 0 0 0 1 to 3 11 4 7 restructuring or investment planning b) Through SDA or complemen­ 0 0 1 7 0 0 11 41 12 21 tary Bank projects I;; Source: World Bank Reports ANNEX 1. DESCRIPTION OF SELECTED WORLD BANK ADJUSTMENT LENDING OPERATIONS: JAMAICA <1981-1991) A. Structural Adjustment Loans I & II (1982. 1983) (Loan amounts: US$76.2 million equivalent; $60.2 million) Ob1 ectives: To address economic problems concerning (a) difficult BOPs situation; (b) inadequate public savings; (c) sluggish performance of industrial and agricultural sectors; and (d) an overregulated economy. Adjustment measures: 1. BOPs management -- e.g., increased efficiency of import licensing system and in allocation of foreign exchange; create incentives for direct foreign investment; develop schemes to attract migrants' savings. 2. Agricultural land use policies -- e.g., program to sell or lease government­ owned lands to secure farmers' tenurial status and serve as an incentive to invest in soil conservation measures; establish a land classification program to determine the optimal uses of land or induce adoption of appropriate crops and thereby correct for the underutilization of privately-owned farmlands; devise low-cost strategies to control erosion of hillside farms; implementation of soil conservation program (terracing and maintenance works in hillsides); improved efficiency of irrigation water use and management. 3. Agricultural institutional reforms: reduced role of external marketing organizations (EMOs) -- e.g., termination of monopsony and monopoly powers in the marketing of key export crops (coffee, cocoa, citrus and pimento), in regulation of farmgate prices and distribution of farm inputs; promote private sector participation in external marketing of export crops; improved rural credit services; development of Agricultural Credit Bank into a viable financial institution; etc. 4. Industrial sector policies: an amendment of the law to limit fuelwood gathering and grazing rights to those who live within the forests; (b) develop forest grass lands to increase their carrying capacity ten-fold; (c) protect and monitor the natural regeneration. of a designated 3,000 ha per year of forest; and (d) use of mechanical planting in reforestation projects for better growth rates. Environmental Com'Donent: Public sector investment strategies with obvious implications for natural resource use are listed below. 1. In livestock -- development of forage resources nationwide; extension services to cover the integration of livestock with cereal production (complementarities such as the systematic use of crop by-products as feed). 2. In forestry -- increase budgetary allocations to arrest the loss of forest cover and develop forestry's productive potential to reduce imports (e.g., 95% of industrial wood requirements are imported); rehabilitate existing forests; establish nurseries; reforestation programs; wood energy conservation planl etc. 3. In fruit trees -- establishment of pasture within the framework of a balanced system of livestock and fruit trees; maintenance ,of ·existing plantations. 4. In fisheries development of a masterplan for fisheries management. 5. In irrigation -- rehabilitation and maintenance of existing irrigation infrastructure; investments for increased efficiency in water use. In sum, the Agricultural Sector Adjustment Loan was comprised of environmental objectives that were related to soil water conservation preservation of forest resources, and improved management 0 natura resources. It also included a social component in terms of the emphasis given to labor­ intensive investments in the public sector, as a means to address the unemployment problem. Employment generation as a social consideration in the adjustment programs is incorporated further within the industrial adjustment policies put together with respect to the next loan. B. The Industrial and Trade Policy Adiustment Loan (S150 million equivalent) was approved by the Bank in 1987, to assist the Government in its industrial restructuring program as another way to deal with its macroeconomic problema. Important sectoral issues included capital intensity in industries (due to generous investment incentives accorded to the manufacturing subsector, low interest rates, and rapid increases in wages); limited export potential of manufacturing (only phosphate and textile industries were major exporters); and extreme dependence of manufacturing on imports -- all of which had affected the BOPs situation adversely. The Loan was designed to support the Government's Medium-Term Industrial and Trade Policy Adjustment Program (MITAP) for the 1986-91 period, with the following obj ectives: (a) to stimulate the growth of manufacturing production -­ e.g., through increased private sector role in investments; (b) to stimulate exports of manufactured products, other than fertilizers -- e.g., through simplification of import/export procedures; liberalization of banking activites; etc.; and (c) to create productive employment in manufacturing industries. Social ob1ectives and issues raised: Employment generation was a high priority in the country's development plan, on account of its relatively high unemployment and underemployment problems. (About 14% of the labor force was unemployed, and labor force was growing at a rate of 3.3% yearly.) In 1983, the Tunisian Government and the Bank undertook a joint study of industrial employment which identified action programs for dealing with the unemployment problems. These action programs included the reallocation of public investments toward labor­ intensive projects (undertaken in the Agricultural Sector Adjustment Loan), and reform of the system of factor renumeration, as well as that of industrial promotion and incentives framework -- both were dealt with in this Industrial and Trade Policy Adjustment Loan. Consequently, this Loan incorporated a reformed incentives framework favoring labor-intensive policies and a modified wage policy that would promote industrial employment. Program strategies included the following: (a) wage restraints in the short run and,in the longer term, review of labor and employment legislation to ensure flexibility to promote employment; (b) industrial wage adjustments to be based on changes in productivity and financial condition of enterprises; and (c) in the short run, to prevent further increases in the already high social security contributions by employers; in the longer term, review the structure of various employment benefits and realign benefits with expected revenues. C. In 1988, the Bank approved the Structural Ad1ustment Loan for Tunisia in the amount of US$150 million equivalent. The objective of the Loan was to assist the Government in implementing policy changes that would permit Tunisia to achieve sustained economic growth and provide opportunities for employment creation. The adjustment program under this Loan covered the follOWing main areas: - Liberalization of external trade, particularly the reduction of import restrictions, and decontrol of prices. - Reforms in the financial system -- e.g. ,improved efficiency of financial intermediation; interest rate adjustments; exchange risk management. - Improvements in the system of direct and indirect taxation -- e.g., changes in consumption taxes; introduction of value added tax; new law on direct taxes. No environmental ob1ective. D. The Second Agricultural Sector Adjustment Loan ($84 million equivalent) was approved in 1989 to allow the Government to continue the agricultural reforms ~t started under ASAL 1. Among other things, ASAL II would focus on: (a) d[ignment of producer prices with international prices; (b) phased elimination of input subsidies -- e.g., irrigation water, fertilizer, animal feeds, herbicides, and credit; (c) reduction of consumer subsidies; and (d) reduction of lending subsidies to the agricultural sector. Environmental components are as follows: 1. Natural resource management issues raised in ASAL I. 2. The Government, under ASAL I, conducted a review of legislation governing pesticide/herbicide use and handling. The revised legislation baa been finalized, and its enactment would be supported under ASAL II. This Loan thus incorporated training and extension programs for the safe use, storage and handling of these agricultural chemicals. l. Irrigation development -- e.g., extension services concerning on-farm investments to increase water use efficiency and for flood control. No direct social goals. f j l