Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Russian Federation | Environment & Natural Resources Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2014 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 30-Jun-2017 | ISR28957 | Implementing Agencies: RosHydromet, Government of the Russian Federation Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:17-Sep-2013 Effectiveness Date:08-May-2014 Planned Mid Term Review Date:05-Dec-2016 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:07-Dec-2016 Original Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective of the proposed Second National Hydromet System Modernization Project (RU-Hydromet-2) is to further enhance the national capacity to deliver reliable and timely weather, hydrological and climate information to the Russian public and economic sector and enhance Russia's capacity to integrate into the global system of meteorological services. As a result of the projectRoshydromet will further modernize its services and improve the accuracy of information necessary to protect society and economy from a wide range of hydrometeorological and climate related hazards. The project will also support Russia's public institutions to make informed economic decisions related to climate information (both negative and positive impacts) based on comprehensive climate models and assessment capacity. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component A. Strengthening Information Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure and systems delivering weather, climate and hyd rological data and information:(Cost $45.40 M) Component B. Modernization of observation networks:(Cost $73.60 M) Component C. Institutional and regulatory strengthening, improvement of service delivery to clients and better preparedness for emer gencies:(Cost $13.95 M) Component D: Project Management:(Cost $6.55 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 6/30/2017 Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions There is evident progress on the project implementation over the past six months. The contract for High Performance Computer (HPC) was signed and is under implementation. Several significant packages are under review. The project is still behind schedule due to the delay with the component on hydrology, namely with the package on “Modernization of the hydrological network in the Volga River basin, and development of hydrological forecasting technologies", which is of strategic importance for reaching the project objectives. The next World Bank mission will take place in the fall of 2017 when project implementation progress will be re-assessed. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Substantial  Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Increased lead times of basic weather forecasts for major Russian administrative centers with reliability over 70% (Hours, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 120.00 120.00 120.00 168.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 6/30/2017 Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Comments There is no progress on this indicator, as it is entirely linked to the operationalization of the HPC, supercomputer. While the contract for the supercomputer has been signed and is under implementation, the full deployment will not be completed until 2018. Major progress on this indicator is expected in the second half of 2018. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased reliability of forecasts of seasonal water inflow to reservoirs in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 75.00 78.00 78.00 85.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments Progress on this indicator is lagging behind, since the package on modernization of the hydrological network in the Volga River basin, and development of hydrological forecasting technologies has not commenced yet. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased number of RHM sectoral data users (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 105.00 116.00 120.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments On track to reach the target. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased satisfaction of users with RHM services (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 65.00 71.00 75.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 6/30/2017 Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Comments On track. First assessment has been completed in May 2017. Overall Comments With the exception of the second indicator, all the other indicators are on track or expected to get on track shortly. Indicator 2, which is largely linked to the modernization of hydrological network for Volga River basin has not seen major progress yet. The activities on this package are expected to commence during second half of 2017, but substantial progress will not be recorded until the equipment and software are deployed. Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  A.1 Accuracy of warnings on natural hazards (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 88.00 89.00 91.00 92.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track and 92% end target is expected to be achieved by the end of the project. PHINDIRITBL  A.2 Increased level of spatial resolution of weather forecasts with the lead time of up to three days (for large cities) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 10.00 10.00 7.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments Spatial resolution is currently 7 km for Moscow and 13 km in other big cities of Russia. Once supercomputer is deployed the target will be met. 6/30/2017 Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  A.3 Number of oblast and territorial Roshydromet Centers providing remote client access to archived data (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 7.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments Delivery of equipment has been completed in 2016 (package A.2.a), and software deployment has also commenced and is on track. PHINDIRITBL  A.4 Number of Roshydromet centers providing operational access to observational data and products for internal and external RHM clients (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 10.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  B.1 Increased number of automated observation sites in pilot regions of the North-West of Russia (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 83.00 83.00 83.00 90.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track to be met. Contract B.1.a has been awarded and is under implementation. 6/30/2017 Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  B.2 Availability of modern devices for measurement of soil moisture and heat regime of agricultural lands in the pilot regions (North Caucasus, West Siberia) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments This has been delayed slightly, but the contract is under implementation and target will be met. PHINDIRITBL  B.3 Modernization of upper air observation network (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 64.00 64.00 66.00 87.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track. Contract will be completed in 2017 and the end target is likely to be met ahead of time. PHINDIRITBL  B.4 Reduction of error of water flow data in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 30.00 30.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments No progress yet. Linked to larger Volga package which has not commenced yet. 6/30/2017 Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  B.5 Percentage of the Volga River basin territory corresponding to the minimum required number of hydrological observation sites (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 81.00 81.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments No progress, linked to the larger package for Volga which has not commenced yet. PHINDIRITBL C.4 Accuracy of warnings on hazardous hydrometeorological events delivered to regional authorities and the Ministry of Emergency Situations (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 84.00 84.00 85.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track, target will be met. PHINDIRITBL  C.5 Number of Roshydromet institutions where situation centers are deployed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 25.00 60.00 60.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track. 6/30/2017 Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  C.2 Re-training and professional upgrading of specialists from the Roshydromet’s organizations (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 169.00 1,020.00 1,020.00 3,550.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL C.1 Developed/updated regulatory, organizational and administrative documents aimed at improving the organizational, methodological, financial and economic activities of Roshydromet (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 28-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  C.3 Number of scientists and specialists participating in internships in leading universities and agencies outside Russia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 2.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 05-Dec-2016 27-Jun-2017 31-Oct-2018 Overall Comments End target on this indicator will likely not be met. Due to factors out of control of the project, it proved to be difficult to arrange internships for Russian scientists in other leading agencies and institutions outside of Russia. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective USD 60.00 60.00 0.00 16.07 43.93 27% Key Dates (by loan) 6/30/2017 Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective 17-Sep-2013 17-Jan-2014 08-May-2014 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/30/2017 Page 9 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy