Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2016 | Seq No: 3 | ARCHIVED on 28-Jun-2017 | ISR26293 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Devolution and Planning Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program-for-Results Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Highly Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  --  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions Overall the Program is making good and steady progress toward achieving the PDO. A total of eleven DLRs have been achieved and verified, equivalent to a disbursement value of approximately US$ 18.5 million. An additional two DLRs have been achieved and one DLR has been partially achieved. Verification of these results is in progress. A further three DLRs are almost fully achieved and verification will take place during Q1 of FY18. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P149718 IDA-57170 Effective XDR 35.60 35.60 0.00 13.16 22.44 37% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149718 IDA-57170 Effective 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 10-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2020 -- Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  --  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  --  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  --  Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program  --  --  Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  --  Substantial Fiduciary  --  --  Moderate Environment and Social  --  --  Low Stakeholders  --  --  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  --  Substantial Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLI) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 1.1 was achieved, verified and disbursed against. DLR 1.2 National Accounts source is almost fully achieved (pending Value data incomplete and partly -- is on-line publication of the outdated report) and verification will commence in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 4 DLRs under DLI 1 are: (1.1) Micro and small enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, report produced and available on-line; (1.2) Establishment census conducted, report produced and available on-line; 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) (1.3) Integrated Survey of Services (ISS) conducted, report produced and available on-line; and (1.4) 2018 Survey of Industrial Production (SIP) conducted, report produced and available on-line PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLRs 2.0 and 2.1 were achieved, The first two DLRs (2.0 verified and disbursement and 2.1) have been Labor force, poverty and other against. DLR 2.2 is almost fully achieved as planned and Value key socio-economic data achieved (pending is on-line will be assessed as per outdated publication of the reports) and the verification protocol in the verification process will January 2016 commence in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 2 are: (2.0) Design the 2015/16 Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey (KIHBS) instruments, conduct pilot, and start fieldwork by September 2015; (2.1) KIHBS 2015/16 fieldwork partly conducted and progress report produced and available on-line; (2.2) KIHBS 2015/16 poverty report and labor indicators reports produced and available on-line; (2.3) Kenya Continuous Household Survey (KCHS) 2017 fieldwork conducted and quarterly labor indicators report produced and available on- line; and (2.4) KCHS 2018 fieldwork conducted and County poverty report produced and available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) The first two DLRs (3.0 DLR 3.0 and DLR 3.1 were Insufficient capacity to meet and 3.1) have been achieved, verified and SDDS criteria in all real and achieved as planned and disbursement against. Work on Value external sector data will be assessed as per DLR 3.2 has commenced categories the verification protocol in following the collection of the January 2016 establishment census. Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 3 are: (3.0) Revised National Accounts with base year updated to 2009 produced and published; (3.1) Foreign Investment Survey (FIS) conducted and report produced and available on-line; (3.2) Business register upgraded and updated; (3.3) Rebased Consumer Price Index (CPI) series produced and available on-line; and (3.4) Rebased Producer Price Index (PPI) series produced and available on-line 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Compilation of the first DLR 4.1 was achieved, verified DQAF not compiled for any of DQAF is scheduled to and disbursed against. DLR 4.2 Value the seven macro-economic commence in March 2016 is complete and will be verified in datasets with TA by the Bank and Q1 of FY18. IMF Date 30-Jun-2014 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 4 are: (4.1) DQAF compiled and published for 1 macro-economic dataset; (4.2) DQAF compiled and published for 2 macro-economic datasets; (4.3) DQAF compiled and published for 3 macro-economic datasets; (4.4) DQAF compiled and published for 4 macro-economic datasets; and (4.5) DQAF compiled and published for 5 macro-economic datasets. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 5.0, DLR 5.1 and DLR 5.2 ARC not used and Economic were achieved, verified and Value Surveys not digitized and not -- disbursement against. Work freely available towards achieving DLR 5.3 has commenced and is on track. Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 6 DLRs under DLI 5 are: (5.0) All past Economic Survey Reports digitized and made freely available on-line; (5.1) An ARC covering up 2 data categories of the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) developed and published; (5.2) An ARC covering up 4 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.3) An ARC covering up 6 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.4) An ARC covering up 8 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; and (5.5) An ARC covering up 10 data categories of the SDDS developed and published. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 6.0 and DLR 6.1 were Microdata files not available achieved, verified and Value on-line and not freely -- disbursement against. DLR 6.2 obtainable was achieved and verification is in progress. Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) The 6 DLRs under DLI 6 are: (6.0) Kenya National Data Archive (KeNADA) with microdata from at least 30 surveys launched; (6.1) Revised microdata dissemination policy produced, adopted and published; (6.2) Micro and Small Enterprise (MSE) survey microdata available on-line; (6.3) KIHBS 2015/16 microdata available on-line; (6.4) KCHS 2017 microdata available on-line; and (6.5) KCHS 2018 microdata available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) DLR 7.0 was verified to be partially (25 percent) achieved and full achievement and CRA conducted and endorsed verification by the EACC is Value action plan prepared by KNBS -- expected during FY18. DLR 7.1 and fully implemented was achieved and verification is in progress. Date 30-Dec-2015 -- 28-Jun-2017 Comments The 3 DLRs under DLI 7 are: (7.0) CRA conducted and endorsed action plan prepared by KNBS and implementation completed; (7.1) A FMIS with multi-dimensional chart of accounts and capability to generate key reports designed and operationalized; and (7.2) An ISO 15489 certified RM system established. Results Results Area Intermediate Results Area Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved Management systems strengthened Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value Outdated poverty statistics -- -- All three 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) and household survey data intermediate (2005/06) being used to targets infrom poverty reduction achieved targeting and resource allocations Date 30-Jun-2014 -- -- 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is on track and the first Progress is slightly (2 intermediate target months) off-track. The (Kenya Integrated Kenya Integrated Household Budget Household Budget Survey KIHBS 2015/16 Survey KIHBS 2015/16 partly conducted and was conducted and Poverty statistics are progress report reports on poverty and All five outdated (2005/06) and produced and available labor statistics have intermediate Value there is insufficient online) has been been produced but targets capacity to monitor poverty achieved. these are currently still achieved at least once every 3 years undergoing peer review The progress report is before being made available for download publically available on- from the KNBS website line in Q1 of FY18 http://www.knbs.or.ke (instead of by June 2017 as planned). Date 30-Jun-2014 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is slightly (2 Progress is on track months) off-track. The and the first first intermediate target intermediate target (Foreign Investment (Foreign Investment Survey (FIS) conducted Survey (FIS) and report produced and conducted and report available on-line) was Insufficient capacity to All five produced and available been achieved, but the meet SDDS criteria in all intermediate Value on-line) has been updating of the business real and external sector targets achieved. register is 2 months data categories achieved behind schedule (due to The 2015 FIS report is a delay in the collection available for download and processing of the from the KNBS website establishment census). http://www.knbs.or.ke This will be achieved and back on track in Q1 of FY18. 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Date 30-Jun-2014 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is on track to achieve the first intermediate target Progress is on track and All five Microdata files not (Revised microdata both the June 2016 and intermediate Value available on-line and not dissemination policy June 2017 targets were targets freely obtainable produced, adopted and achieved. achieved published) before June 30, 2016 Date 30-Jun-2014 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress towards the first intermediate target (Micro and small The first intermediate enterprises (MSE) target was achieved survey conducted, (Micro and small report produced and enterprises (MSE) All four National Accounts source available on-line) has survey conducted, report intermediate Value data incomplete and partly been made. produced and available targets outdated on-line) and the second achieved The MSE fieldwork is intermediate target will ongoing and will be be achieved (with a 2 completed by mid-June month delay) in Q1 of 2016; the report will be FY18. produced and available during Q2 of FY17. Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2019 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) PHINDIRITBL  Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 54.00 56.00 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 29-Apr-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Compilation of the first DQAF commenced in Compilation of the first March 2016 with TA by DQAF completed and DQAF compiled DQAF not compiled for any the Bank and IMF. compilation of the and published Value of the seven macro- KNBS will undertake a second DQAF was peer for 5 macro- economic datasets TA mission to Statistics reviewed and is economic SA to finalize the currently being finalized datasets DQAF during July- for publication. August 2016. Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 72.00 72.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 06-Jun-2016 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is ahead of Develop and schedule. The ARC publish an ARC was developed (and is covering 10 available on-line) and Progress is on track and data categories already covers 4 data the intermediate target Value ARC not used of the Special categories of the set for June 2017 was Data SDDS. The achieved. Dissemination intermediate target set Standard for June 2017 has (SDDS) already been achieved. Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2020 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) PHINDIRITBL  Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The CRA was conducted and the endorsed action plan has been assessed by the EACC for compliance in The first target was November 2015. The partially achieved: The report of that CRA was conducted and assessment suggests the recently released the CRA is not yet fully EACC report on the implemented. The status of implementation EACC will conduct their for compliance indicates next assessment that about 25 percent of before the end of the the actions have been calendar year. fully achieved, 40 CRA conducted and percent are partially Both of the 2 Work on the first endorsed action plan achieved, and 35 intermediate Value intermediate target prepared by KNBS and percent are not yet targets (Design and fully implemented achieved. achieved operationalize a FMIS with multi-dimensional The second target was chart of accounts and fully achieved: an FMIS capability to generate with multi-dimensional key reports) is chart of accounts and underway. Progress capability to generate was slower than key reports was anticipated and designed and measures ( additional operationalized. TA was sourced) were taken to speed up implementation. This is expected to be achieved before the end of the calendar year. Date 31-Dec-2015 06-Jun-2016 28-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments 6/28/2017 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 9