The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Tunisia | Education Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 27-Dec-2018 | ISR35194 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research, Ministry of Development, Investment and International Cooperation Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 25-Feb-2016 Effectiveness Date: 30-Nov-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 20-May-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: -- Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2021 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Tertiary Education for Employability Project (TEEP) is to improve the employability of tertiary education graduates and to strengthen the management of higher education. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Improving employability of tertiary education graduates:(Cost $36.00 M) Strengthening the management of higher education:(Cost $34.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project made good progress to achieve its objectives during the last six months. PDO 1 (Share of higher education graduates from co- constructed programs (out of which share of female) that were employed 6 months after graduating) and PDO 2 (Number of tertiary education students who completed PAQ-supported employability programs) will only be measured in year 5, upon completion of the Project. With regard to the improvement of employability of tertiary graduates, the first cohort of 400 students have been enrolled in the co-constructed programs supported by 5 PAQs (PDO 1) and 6100 tertiary students are enrolled in academic programs benefiting from PAQ-supported employability programs (PDO 2). With regard to the strengthening of management of higher education, 54 percent of public universities have a strategic plan (PDO 3). The PDO 3 target is expected to be achieved in 2019 with the launch of the new MEGA-PAQ management capacity that will support the preparation of universities strategic plans. 12/27/2018 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) The overall implementation has accelerated in recent months, but it is not yet sufficient in regard to the project's objectives and disbursement forecast. A total of 56 PAQs (competitive grant schemes to incentivize higher education institutions to better connect with the labor market and increase employability of its graduates) have been awarded since May 2018 bringing the total to 110 PAQs. This number is expected to double by the end of 2019. Progress has been accomplished in many activities, such as the setting up of an online platform for the 4Cs to provide information on job prospects for future tertiary graduates and the enrollment of 12400 students in PAQ-financed courses focusing on transferrable courses (IT, language skills, communication, computer). The intermediate indicator 3 (number of newly introduced programs under PAQ with at least one module on entrepreneurship) and the intermediate indicator 4 (percentage of PAQ projects by young universities) have exceeded their target for 2018, while the intermediate indicator 1 (number of PAC co-constructed awarded) has reached 50 percent of its target for 2018, but a new call for proposal will be launched in December 2018. Priorities for 2019 will see the launch of: (i) the MEGA-PAQ management capacity for the Higher Education Institutions; and (ii) the pilot towards performance-based financing in higher education. Calls for proposal for a repeat of several PAQs windows will take place in 2019. The Project also expects to continue supporting HEI to strengthen quality assurance, better management and improved access information on job prospects and insertion of graduates in the labor market. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool 12/27/2018 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Low Low Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Improve the employability of tertiary education graduates IN00588625 ►Share of higher education graduates from co-constructed programs (out of which share of female) that were employed 6 months after graduating, relative to appropriate comparison (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 20.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 5 competitive grants (PAQ) related to co-construction programs have been awarded this year. Another request for proposal for PAQ Co-constructed will be launched in December 2018. The indicator value will be updated once students graduate from the programs, in Year 4 and 5 (2020 Comments: and 2021) of project implementation phase. The information on the comparison group will be collected from students who graduated in 2018 and 2019 from similar academic programs, which did not include the PAQ co-constructed. IN00588656 ►Number of tertiary education students who completed PAQ-supported employability programs. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 10,000.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 There are 6100 students currently enrolled in academic programs benefiting from PAQ-supported employability programs. This includes 400 students in PAQ co-constructed, 4000 students in specific skills training programs focusing from tertiary to transition-to work and 1700 students in entrepreneurship skills Comments: programs. The indicator value will be updated once students complete the programs. 12/27/2018 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) Strengthen the management of higher education IN00588647 ►Percentage of public universities that have strategic plans. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 8.00 -- 54.00 100.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Seven public universities (UVT, UTM, University of Sousse, University of Monastir, University of Sfax, University of Gabès and University of Kairouan) have a strategic plans approved by the IEAQA (National Authority for Evaluation, Quality Assurance and Accreditation). University of Kairouan and University of Comments: Gabès are among the new universities with a strategic plan. Other universities will develop a strategic plan in 2019 with the support of the MEGA PAG for Management Capacity. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Improving employability of tertiary education graduates IN00588648 ►Number co-constructed programs that have been established under the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 5.00 50.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Five PAQ "co-construction" were awarded in 2018. A new request for proposals will be launched in December 2018. Technical assistance will be provided by the Project to increase the number of proposal Comments: received and approved. IN00588649 ►Share of graduates from co-constructed programs that report being satisfied with their level of employable skills (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 25.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Baseline for this indicator will be updated in Year 3 of project implementation (2019). Measurement of this indicator depends on the number of students completing the academic Comments: programs including a PAQ co-constructed program. IN00588646 ►Number of newly introduced programs under PAQ with at least one module on entrepreneurship (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 22.00 75.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 22 PAQ have been awarded and are implemented so far that include at least one module on Comments: entrepreneurship. 12/27/2018 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) IN00588655 ►Percentage of PAQ projects by young universities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 20.00 20.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 20% of the PAQ grants approved were from the young universities in 2017 and 2018 out of 110 grants this Comments: is equivalent 22 grants. The target was exceeded for the period considered. IN00588653 ►Set up of an online information platform for the dissemination of tracer studies (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target A pilot online platform was set up for the 4Cs, Value No platform -- Platform functioning but this is not the agreed target. Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 There is a functioning online platform to link all the 4Cs (www.4c.tn). This platform provides information on job prospects in the labor market for tertiary education graduates. However. the online platform was supposed to run on www.orientation.tn The Project will review this issue. There has been no progress yet Comments: to conduct tracer studies. Support for these activities will be provided by the MEGA PAQ management capacity for the universities to be launched soon. IN00588651 ►Percentage of university observatories that systematically publish the results of periodic tracer studies on their website (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 80.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 This indicator value will be updated once the platform is in place and functioning (between Year 3 and 4 of project implementation), i.e. (2019/2020). Progress on this intermediate indicator depends on having an Comments: operational online platform and universities having the capacity to carry out tracer studies. IN00588657 ►Share of secondary students (in their final year) that have been informed about higher education opportunities and subsequent labor market outcomes with information generated by tracer studies (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 50.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Not yet applicable. This will be measured when relevant information related to career and median salary Comments: for jobs are published on the online platform to be hosted on www.orientation.tn IN00588652 ►Number of certifications of students in courses focusing on transferrable skills (IT, PM, language skills/communication, etc.) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 21,500.00 12/27/2018 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 12400 students are currently enrolled in training programs supported by PAQ grants providing certifications in courses focusing on transferrable skills. The number of students certified will be collected Comments: in 2019 for each course. Strengthening the management of higher education IN00588658 ►Percentage of universities that have a functioning internal Quality Assurance (QA) unit (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 90.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 Activities related to the establishment of internal QA units in each university are planned to be carried-out in 2019. Comments: All public universities have a Quality Committee functioning, but this is not considered to be a QA unit based on international agreed standards with a budget and appointed permanent staff. IN00588654 ►Establishment of a model, pilot and roadmap towards performance-based financing in higher education (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Pilot evaluated and Concept currently final proposal for Value No model -- being developed. model and roadmap ready Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 The action plan for the development of the performance-based financing (PBF) model has been prepared. Comments: The PBF concept will start being developed in early 2019. IN00588650 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 150,000.00 Date 18-Sep-2015 -- 03-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2021 This indicator value is planned to be updated during Year 3 and 5 (2019 and 2021) of project implementation. Comments: IN00588659 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 75,000.00 Data on Financial Performance 12/27/2018 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Tertiary Education for Employability Project (P151059) Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P151059 IBRD-85900 Effective USD 70.00 70.00 0.00 5.98 64.01 8.5% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P151059 IBRD-85900 Effective 25-Feb-2016 03-Mar-2016 30-Nov-2016 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2021 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 01-May-2018 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/27/2018 Page 7 of 7