Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No. 139734-TG INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT GUARANTEE AGENCY PERFORMANCE AND LEARNING REVIEW OF THE COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK FOR THE REPUBLIC OF TOGO FOR THE PERIOD FY17-FY20 January 21, 2020 Cote d’Ivoire, Benin, Guinea and Togo CMU (AFCF2), Africa Region Ghana Sub-Region (CAFW2), Middle East and Sub-Saharan Africa Department The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency Sub-Saharan Africa Department This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank Group authorization. The date of the last Country Partnership Framework is April 20, 2017 FISCAL YEAR January 1 to December 31 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange rate as of December 31, 2019) Currency unit = CFA Franc (FCFA) US$1 = 597 FCFA ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AF Additional Financing ACE Higher Education Center ASA Advisory Services and Analytics BCEAO Central Bank of West African States CPF Country Partnership Framework CPIA Country Policy and Institutional Assessment CwA Compact with Africa DPF Development Policy Financing DPO Development Policy Operations DSA Debt Sustainability Analysis FDI Foreign Direct Investment FNFI National Fund for Financial Inclusion FY Fiscal Year (WB: July 1 – June 30) GEF Global Environment Facility IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ICR Implementation Completion Report ICT Information and Communication Technology IDA International Development Association IDLM Integrated Disaster and Land Management IFC International Finance Corporation IMF International Monetary Fund INDC Intended Nationally Determined Contribution INSEED National Institute for Statistics and for Economic and Demographic Studies IPF Investment Project Financing MGDP Mining Governance and Development Project MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency PASA Agriculture Support Project PASMIN Maternal and Infant Health and Nutrition Project PERI2 Second Education and Institutional Strengthening Project PND National Development Plan OTR Office Togolaise des Recettes (Togolese Revenue Office) PBF Performance Based Financing PEMFAR Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability Review PER Public Expenditure Review PFM Public Financial Management PIU Urban Infrastructure Project PNIASA National Agriculture Program ii PPD Public Private Dialogue PPP Public Private Partnership PSW Private Sector Window PUDC Urgent Program of Community Development REDD Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation REDISSE Regional Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement Project SCAPE Stratégie de Croissance Accélérée et de Promotion de l’Emploi (Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Job Creation) SCD Systematic Country Diagnostic SME Small and Medium Enterprises SNPT Société Nationale des Phosphates du Togo (Togo National Entity of Phosphates) SP-EAU Togo’s Assets Management Company for Urban Water and Sanitation SUF Scale-Up Facility TA Technical Assistance TF Trust Funds TdE Togolaise des Eaux (Togo’s Water Utility) TVET Technical and Vocational Education and Training UN United Nations UNICEF The United Nations Children’s Emergency Fund WAAPP West Africa Agricultural Productivity WACA Regional West Africa Coastal Areas WAEMU West Africa Economic and Monetary Union WBG World Bank Group IBRD IFC MIGA Vice President: Hafez M. H. Ghanem Sergio Pimenta S. Vijay Ayer Director: Coralie Gevers Aliou Maiga Merli Baroudi Task Team Leader: Hawa Cisse Wague Ronke Ogunsulire Luisa Teixeira Felino Ndeye Magatte F. Seck iii Table of Contents I. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 1 II. MAIN CHANGES IN COUNTRY CONTEXT ......................................................................... 1 A. Political context .......................................................................................................................... 1 B. Changes in Key Macroeconomic and Debt Developments......................................................... 2 C. Changes in Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity................................................................ 4 D. New or Emerging Country/Development Issues......................................................................... 5 III. SUMMARY OF PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION ................................................................ 6 A. Overview of the lending and non-lending portfolio.................................................................... 6 B. Partnerships ................................................................................................................................. 7 C. Progress towards Achieving CPF objectives .............................................................................. 8 IV. EMERGING LESSONS ........................................................................................................... 10 V. ADJUSTMENTS TO COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK ..................................... 11 VI. RISKS TO CPF PROGRAM .................................................................................................... 14 Annex 1: Updated CPF Results Matrix................................................................................................. 16 Annex 2: Matrix of Key Changes to Original CPF Results Matrix ...................................................... 25 Annex 3: Matrix summarizing progress toward FY17-FY20 CPF Objectives ..................................... 28 Annex 4: Country Consultations for the FY17-20 PLR........................................................................ 39 Annex 5: Togo Selected Economic Indicators ...................................................................................... 40 Annex 6: Geography of Welfare ........................................................................................................... 41 Annex 7: Evolution of Portfolio............................................................................................................ 42 Annex 8: World Bank Financing National (IDA) - US$ million .......................................................... 45 Annex 9: World Bank Active Portfolio – ASA .................................................................................... 46 Annex 10: World Bank Active Financing (as of December 31st, 2019) ............................................... 47 Annex 11: IFC Investment Portfolio ($US million, as of December 31st 2019) ................................... 48 Annex 12: IFC Advisory Services ........................................................................................................ 49 Annex 13: Country Map ....................................................................................................................... 50 Figure 1: Key Economic Indicators ................................................................................................................ 3 Figure 2: Indicative Lending Program for FY20-FY22 (USD million) ............................................................ 13 Figure 3: Standardized Operations Risk Rating Tool for Togo .................................................................... 15 iv I. INTRODUCTION 1. The Togo Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for FY17-20, discussed by Executive Directors on April 20, 2017, was the first WBG country strategy for Togo since 1995. The CPF marked the end of a period of isolation and donor disengagement from Togo during more than a decade of political turmoil and economic mismanagement. The Framework set out a plan that supported the Government’s ambitious program in three focus areas: i) private sector performance and job creation; ii) inclusive public service delivery focused on human capital development; and iii) environmental sustainability and resilience. It integrated the IDA18 special themes of climate change, gender, fragility, jobs and economic transformation, and governance and institutions across the three focus areas. World Bank Group (WBG) resources available to finance the CPF program doubled as a result of the increased poverty orientation of the performance-based allocation available under IDA18, as well as the use of the Regional Program. 2. The CPF’s objectives and areas of focus remain relevant and well-aligned with the Government’s 2018-22 National Development Plan (NDP), though some actions require more time to achieve the desired outcomes. Half of the CPF objectives are on track, with some exceptional examples of progress such as Togo’s rapid move up the Doing Business Index. However, in some other cases, due to difficulties in the operating and governance environment including an increase in socio-political tensions during the second half of 2017, WBG support has faced delays and delivery is behind schedule. This is true for the energy, ICT and logistics sectors as well as social protection. In each case more time is needed to achieve the important results included in the CPF. There are changes in activities to strengthen the management of natural resources and associated indicators have been revised accordingly. Basic service provision at local level is also off track due to implementation delays. 3. This PLR proposes extending the CPF period by two years, through FY22, to achieve key targets and synchronize it with the NDP duration. This will also provide additional time to address a few of the underlying constraints that caused delays in implementation. The proposed adjustments align the strategy with IDA19 special themes 1. Strategic and operational adjustments during this period will include: (i) further consolidation of the portfolio with average project size rising from US$20 million in FY17 to US$49 million by FY22 2; (ii) greater support for structural reforms through increased use of DPOs; iii) greater use of digitization throughout the program; iv) an increased focus on social inclusion, human capital development and women’s empowerment; and v) improved use of resources including increased partnerships with other donors and a continuous and consistent application of the principles of Maximizing Finance for Development (MFD) in selected sectors. II. MAIN CHANGES IN COUNTRY CONTEXT A. Political context 4. The first year of the FY17-20 CPF implementation was marked by socio-political turbulence. Massive anti-government protests launched by the opposition party, the Parti National Panafricain (PNP) in August 2017 intensified over the course of 2018 during the legislative election process. These demonstrations led by a coalition of 14 (C14) opposition parties mobilized people in all regions of the country, transcending social classes. Beyond direct political claims, this political and social turmoil reveals a strong demand for openness, voice and inclusion, especially from urban youth - affected by high 1 IDA19 has five (5) special themes: climate change; fragility, conflict and vulnerability; gender and development; governance and institution; jobs and economic transformation. 2 Annex 1 provides detail on the portfolio consolidation. 1 unemployment and underemployment - who are highly connected through social networks and aware of other youth movements in neighboring countries. 5. A new Constitution has strengthened the position of the incumbent President. Legislative elections in December 2018, boycotted by the main opposition parties, resulted in a new National Assembly largely dominated by the ruling party, the Union for the Republic (UPR), and its allies. The Assembly approved a new Constitution in May 2019 that caps the presidential mandate to two five-year terms without a retroactive clause. As a result, President Faure Gnassingbe, who has been in power since 2005, is eligible to stand for the next two elections, in 2020 and 2025. The opposition C14 has rejected these constitutional changes and demanded the reinstatement of the 1992 Constitution with a retroactive clause as agreed in the 2006 Global Political Agreement. Recent disagreements among C14 members have led to a number of high-profile splits and membership has fallen to seven. The success of the ruling party in local elections held in June 2019 consolidated its dominant position, but major political issues remain unsettled. Presidential elections are planned in February 2020, which could lead to further delays in portfolio implementation. It may also be difficult for the Government to maintain fiscal discipline and engage in bold structural reforms prior to elections. 6. The country increasingly faces external security threats on its eastern and northern borders. Until recently, terrorist groups were mostly confined to Mali, northern Burkina Faso and western Niger. However, these groups have gained ground in Burkina Faso. Terrorist attacks in Burkina Faso, close to the border with Benin, Togo and Niger, increased in 2018. These included the attack at a police station in Komin-Yanga near the border with Togo. As well as posing a threat to the internal stability of Togo and its neighbors, establishing a presence in one or more of the coastal states bordering Burkina Faso would allow militant groups linked with al-Qaida and the Islamic State to gain access to major ports, providing trafficking routes for weapons and drugs with wider implications for the whole region. In November 2018, the Government of Burkina Faso launched an operation against jihadists. This was a joint operation supported by forces from Togo, Ghana and Benin to restore security on Burkina Faso’s eastern border. Progress, however, is expected to be slow and the Togolese Government will likely have to contend with heightened insecurity on its northern border for some time to come. The World Bank Group (WBG) will continue to focus on prevention by supporting interventions to reduce poverty and improve the wellbeing of marginalized and vulnerable populations. Accelerating the implementation and scaling up of social protection operations through the provision of basic infrastructure at community levels, encouraging employment for vulnerable youth and financial support to poor households, would all help tackle the roots of fragility in the domestic Togolese context. B. Changes in Key Macroeconomic and Debt Developments 7. The CPF program coincided with fiscal management and business climate reforms that have helped maintain relatively robust growth despite lingering political and social tensions. The Government has followed through on its fiscal objectives: it implemented bold measures to correct fiscal slippages that occurred in 2012-16, leading to a decline in the fiscal deficit from 9.5 percent of GDP in 2016 to 0.8 percent in 2018 and a slight improvement in debt metrics. Fiscal reforms to enhance tax revenue mobilization, strengthen public investment and reduce debt vulnerabilities have formed the core of the program supported by an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) with the IMF and IDA-funded Development Policy Operations (DPO). 8. The economy has grown at an average annual rate of 4.7 percent since 2017. After a year of faster than expected growth in 2016, annual economic growth slowed to 4.4 percent in 2017 amidst 2 political tensions and substantial fiscal consolidation. The economy regained momentum in 2018-19 supported by good performance in export-oriented sectors (phosphate extraction, coffee and cocoa, and cotton production), as well as strong activity in the tertiary sector (including at the port and airport). 9. The fiscal balance improved significantly in 2017 and 2018, driven by substantial cuts in public spending. Total revenue expanded by 2.1 percentage points of GDP relative to 2017 and was in line with projections. This was partly driven by exceptional revenue (about 1.5 percent of GDP), including ad hoc collections of disputed tax arrears. Although overall spending increased relative to 2017, it remained significantly below projections, particularly for spending on foreign-financed investment. As a result, the domestic primary balance—which is the fiscal aggregate under the control of the Government—improved by 1.6 percentage points of GDP from 2017 to 2018. The overall primary balance and the overall balance outperformed targets by large margins. Togo reached the WAEMU fiscal deficit criterion—not exceeding 3 percent of GDP—in 2017 and 2018, two years ahead of the timeline agreed in the context of their ECF program with the IMF. Figure 1: Key Economic Indicators 2016 2017 2018p 2019p 2020p 2021p 2022p 2023p 2024p Real GDP growth (percent) 5.6 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 Inflation (percent) 0.9 -0.2 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Fiscal balance, commitment basis, -9.5 -0.3 -0.8 -2.9 -1.9 -1.5 -1.5 -1.2 -1.2 including grants (percent of GDP) Current account deficit (percent of -9.8 -2.0 -4.9 -5.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.2 -5.3 -5.1 GDP) Public debt (percent of GDP) 81.4 75.5 76.2 73.1 68.9 64.7 60.8 57.0 53.3 Memo: Real GDP growth (percent) 5.0 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.6 na na na na as expected at time of CPF Source: World Bank and IMF (October 2019 IMF Fifth Review under the ECF) 10. The improved fiscal position and actions to prevent further arrears accumulation have translated into a slowly improving debt position. Public debt almost doubled in 2016 to 81.4 percent of GDP as a result of public infrastructure investments, which were largely financed domestically, in many cases via extra-budgetary “pre-financing” arrangements with high interest rates and short maturities. Public debt declined to 76 percent of GDP in 2018, with debt service representing 52 percent of Government revenues. Togo is assessed to be at a moderate risk of external debt distress and high risk of overall public debt distress. 3 To reduce these risks, in particular the rollover risks of short-term and expensive domestic debt, the Government is considering substituting part of domestic debt with Euro- denominated external debt of longer maturity at a lower interest rate. Moreover, the Government made efforts to accelerate arrears clearance resulting in a reduction to the arrears stock from 4.6 percent of GDP at end-2016 to 1.2 percent of GDP at end-2018. Actions have been taken to synchronize the commitment, procurement and cash plans to prevent new arrears accumulation. 11. Government reforms to boost private sector development contributed to maintaining relatively solid growth. Togo has been recognized as a top reformer in both World Bank Group 2019 and 2020 Doing Business reports, gaining cumulatively 59 places in two years to rank 97th out of 190 economies in 2020 DB. This improvement was supported by the WBG and was mainly driven by reforms in starting a business, 3 July 2019. Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis. 3 accessing credit, registering property, accessing electricity, and dealing with construction permits. Consequently, after two years of stagnation, domestic private investment has begun to pick up and is expected to reach 23.4 percent of GDP by 2022 — up from 20 percent in 2018. Building on this strong performance will be a priority during the extended CPF period. 12. The growth outlook is positive over the medium term, although it remains contingent on political stability. GDP growth is projected to increase gradually to 5.5 percent by the end of the extended CPF period, i.e. 2022, driven by sustained growth in the agricultural sector (including improved efficiency in the cotton sector) and a pick up in the tertiary sector (logistics and transport). Though fiscal consolidation is set to continue, the fiscal deficit is projected to widen to 2.9 percent of GDP in 2019, in part due to increased spending related to elections and security expenditure. Tax administration and tax policy measures, combined with measures to clear existing arrears and prevent further accumulation, will help the country comply with the WAEMU target of 3 percent of GDP in 2019. Total public debt is expected to decline gradually to 61 percent of GDP by 2022. C. Changes in Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity 13. The extreme poverty rate (US$1.90 per day at 2011 purchasing power parity) is estimated to have declined to 46.4 percent in 2018 (from 49.2 percent in 2015) and is projected to fall to 45 percent by 2020. Poverty reduction reflects a strong performance in agriculture, greater employment opportunities in semi-urban areas, and community development programs implemented since 2017. However, Togo’s ranking in the Human Development Index is poor at 167th out of 189 countries (the bottom 10 percent) in 2019. Over the longer term, Togo’s real GDP per capita of US$606 in 2017 is still lower than its 1980 peak of US$683. 14. Poverty is concentrated in rural areas. According to a recent World Bank study on the regional distribution of poverty in Togo 4 (see Annex 6: poverty map), out of 36 prefectures in Togo, one fourth (nine prefectures) report a per capita consumption higher than the national average, indicating significant geographic disparities. The poorest regions tend to be remote areas, while the leading regions are either ultra-urban or in rural locations with large-scale farming operations. Poverty incidence varies across regions, from 15 percent in the top three prefectures (Golfe, Lacs, and Lomé) to above 90 percent in the bottom three (Tandjoaré, Akebou, and Doufelgou). The majority of the poor live in (ultra) remote rural areas. Better access to services (electricity, improved toilets and piped water) is noted for ultra-dense urban and urban areas, while mobile phone use is evenly distributed in urban and rural zones. Service coverage is worse in the poorest areas, mostly rural and remote rural areas. 15. The persistence of inequalities is the result of several factors that were highlighted in the Systematic Country Diagnostic in 2016 5 and that remain relevant today. Despite some progress, the control of the Government on both the public administration and state-owned enterprises remains a key economic driver of fragility. Togo continues to suffer from weak institutions and deficiencies in the management of public resources. Similarly, inequitable distribution of resources threatens the sustainability of Togo’s growth. Prevention measures will include reinforcing social inclusion mechanisms by supporting the Government’s human development and social protection interventions. 4 World Bank, 2017, The Geography of Welfare in Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, and Togo. 5 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/179631474899157168/pdf/Togo-SCD-Final-2016-09222016.pdf 4 16. With a gender inequality index 6 of 0.57 in 2017, Togo ranks 140th out of 189 countries. Weak access to higher education, limited access to both assets and economic leadership, as well as limited employment opportunities in the formal sector constitute the key gender-related constraints. Girls benefit from fewer years of schooling compared to boys (8.6 vs. 9.5 years). There are positive developments on health outcomes, however progress is slow and insufficient. Maternal mortality ratio improved from 410 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2012 to about 396 in 2017 (below the Sub-Saharan Africa’s average of 534) and the national fertility rate stood at 4.2 children per woman with a relatively high national early pregnancy of 17 percent in 2017. 17. Togo’s Human Capital Index (HCI) indicates that its human capital outcomes remain weak.7 A child born in Togo in 2017 will be 41 percent as productive when they grow up as they could be with full education and health. In terms of health outcomes, the Togo HCI indicates that a child’s probability of surviving to the age of five is 93 percent; the probability of a 15-year-old surviving to the age of 60 is 76 percent; and there is a 28 percent probability that a five-year-old child will be stunted. In terms of education, a child can expect to complete 9.1 years of schooling; however, if learning outcomes are taken into consideration, this would be equal to 5.6 years. Although Togo’s overall HCI is slightly higher than the average for its region and income group, significant improvements are needed if Togo is to achieve its aspirations for future competitiveness and for long-term inclusive growth. Togo’s commitment to this goal is reflected in its decision to join the Human Capital Project (HCP). Consequently, going forward, the PLR recommends an additional emphasis by the WBG program on education, health and social protection, with a focus on bridging the gender gap. To inform actions on gender issues, the planned gender assessment in the CPF will be completed in FY21 based on new household survey data to be made available in early 2020. D. New or Emerging Country/Development Issues 18. A final version of the NDP was adopted in August 2018. The NDP is structured around three strategic pillars: 1) setting up Togo as a logistics and digital hub of excellence, as well as a business center for innovation and expertise and digital technologies, in the sub-region; 2) developing agricultural processing, manufacturing and extractive industry poles in the country; and 3) consolidating social development and strengthening inclusion mechanisms. The NDP also seeks to enhance competitiveness by reducing the cost of energy and improving the quality of telecommunications and transport services. The promotion of tourism, development of agri-industrial parks, sound management of natural resources and decentralization are also key priorities to foster job creation and sustainable growth. The NDP pillars are well aligned with the WBG’s strategy in Togo. The World Bank’s strategy emphasizes human capital, digital development, climate change and maximizing financing for development; while IFC and MIGA are focused on several aspects around the creation of a regional hub, agribusiness and manufacturing. Leveraging the outcome of consultations held with different stakeholders (annex 4), the PLR strengthens the alignment to the one WBG’s approach in Togo. 6 The Gender Inequality Index, included in the human development indicators, measures inequality in achievement between women and men in three dimensions: reproductive health, empowerment and the labor market. 7 The HCI measures the amount of human capital a child born today can expect to attain by age 18. It demonstrates the productivity of the next working-age generation compared to a benchmark of completed educational attainment and good health. 5 19. The Government intends to mobilize about one-third of the estimated US$8.2 billion needed to finance the 2018-22 NDP from the private sector. To help Togo achieve this ambitious objective, the WBG will continue to use the MFD approach to leverage additional sources of financing for the country. The new DPO Series will build on the 2017-18 operations to help enhance private investment in strategic sectors such energy and ICT. IFC and MIGA will seek to support operations in energy, ICT and agribusiness. III. SUMMARY OF PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION A. Overview of the lending and non-lending portfolio 20. Since FY17, 14 operations have been approved, bringing the total IDA portfolio to US$467.5 million in commitments. The portfolio comprises 16 projects as of end-December 2019, including 9 national projects (US$336 million), 6 Regional projects (US$132 million) and 1 Recipient Executed Trust Funds (US$2.9 million). Most projects planned for FY17 and FY18 have been delivered in a timely fashion, including a series of two budget support operations as indicated in Engagement Scenario 1 of the CPF. The portfolio remains aligned with the priority areas of the CPF, with 32 percent of total commitments related to Focus Area 1, 23 percent to Focus Area 2 and 10 percent to Focus Area 3, while the remaining 35 percent align with the governance cross-cutting theme. 21. The quality of the portfolio has improved with most projects rated Satisfactory (S). There is no problem project in the portfolio. The annualized disbursement ratio was higher than 20 percent in FY17- 19, above the regional average. The main portfolio implementation challenges include slow hiring processes for local experts, limited capacity and introduction of burdensome administrative procedures. The main factors that contributed to maintain a strong disbursement level and improve the quality of the portfolio include: (i) the establishment of a joint Government-Bank Implementation Support Team in charge of closely monitoring the portfolio and ensuring that implementation issues are quickly resolved; (ii) the introduction of quarterly Country Portfolio Performance Reviews also helped strengthen collaboration between project implementation agencies, Government departments in charge of project implementation, and the Bank; and (iii) hands-on support combined with targeted training in fiduciary, safeguards and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) for projects staff. As planned in the CPF, the Bank has initiated a results-based lending approach in Togo with the introduction of disbursement-linked indicators in the Economic Governance Project (P158078). This approach could be further deployed in new operations. As agreed with Government, the Bank provides support to strengthen national institutions (ministries) and increase their role in implementing IDA operations to promote the gradual use of country systems. For instance, the Ministry of Health will implement the new health project and handle all fiduciary responsibilities. 22. The commitments for projects currently in IFC’s portfolio in Togo total approximately US$330 million. The portfolio includes projects in ports, power, healthcare, financial institutions and SME development. IFC’s advisory services portfolio is almost US$7 million including activities in trade facilitation, ICT, investment climate reforms, energy and SME development. During the CPF period, IFC provided about US$50 million to support SME access to finance through partnerships with local banks, including approximately US$40 million in short-term financing/guarantees through its Global Trade Finance Program (GTFP) to support trade in several sectors, including for critical imports such as medication, food and building materials. IFC also provided approximately US$11 million in two risk-sharing facilities (RSF) in commercial banks to facilitate SME access to finance. 6 23. The IDA18 Private Sector Window (PSW) was used by IFC for three transactions in Togo during the CPF period. It was also used to resource an investment in the regional mortgage refinancing company Caisse Régionale de Refinancement Hypothécaire de l’UEMOA (CRRH-UEMOA), which serves the eight West African Economic Monetary Union (WAEMU) member states, including Togo, with the purpose of increasing housing finance and deepening local capital markets. IFC also drew on the PSW to support a US$7.5-million investment by a private equity fund focused on SME development in West Africa, including Togo. Finally, the PSW provided a first-loss tranche in a commercial bank to encourage the bank to lend to SMEs in underserved sectors. 24. IFC’s portfolio is in good standing but it faces a number of challenges to increasing its activities in Togo. Several sectors remain closed to significant or any private sector participation, due to the need for reform and reorganization to encourage private sector interest. In addition, IFC faces the challenge of identifying project sponsors with the required operational, governance, environmental and social standards, as well as investments of the appropriate scale. IFC worked closely with the government to prepare a matrix of reforms necessary to attract the private sector and therefore increase IFC’s investments in Togo. 25. MIGA is continuing to develop opportunities for investment in the energy sector, including possible support for one of the first power IPPs in Togo. There is also interest in MIGA’s political risk insurance product for projects in the renewable energy sector, particularly solar and wind. MIGA may draw on the PSW, via the MIGA Guarantee Facility, to support these projects. B. Partnerships 26. Togo joined the G20 Compact with Africa (CwA) in March 2018. The CwA’s objective is to improve the framework and conditions in Togo to attract more private investment into the country. Since joining the program, Togo continues to implement reforms, particularly with fiscal adjustment, public finance management and improving the business environment. This reflects the commitment of the Togolese authorities to implement reforms that are conducive to private sector development. With the support of development partners, including the WBG and the IMF, the Government is making progress in the macroeconomic and business climate reforms agreed to under the CwA framework. For example, to strengthen public investment efficiency, the Government published a manual of procedures to scrutinize and prioritize public investment proposals. To improve the business environment, it also abolished registration fees for new businesses and established a one-stop shop for the settlement of fees for public services. The CwA should continue to serve as a catalyst for reforms and increase the attractiveness of Togo for investors. 27. Progress has been made since FY17 to reinforce and broaden partnerships in each of the focus areas. The CPF highlighted the importance of partnerships and coordination with other donors as a critical means of increasing the efficiency of aid. The African Development Bank (AfDB), European Union (EU), IMF and the WBG have created a strong platform to reinforce collaboration in the areas of public finance management. In addition, several development partners are co-financing WBG-supported programs in Togo, including the World Bank’s Economic Governance Project (P158078), as well as Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth (P157036) and Global Partnership for Education (GPE- P146294), and IFC’s Togo Investment Climate Technical Assistance Project (602205). The WBG is also an active member of several sectoral working groups in Togo. 7 C. Progress towards Achieving CPF objectives 28. Four out of eight objectives are on track. Another two are partially on track: Objective 1.3 (Strengthen Energy, ICT and Logistics); and Objective 2.3 Strengthen Social Safety Nets for the Most Vulnerable. Two objectives are off track: Objective 3.1 (Strengthen the Management of Natural Resources), and Objective 2.2 (Strengthen Basic Services at Local Level) is not validated and will be substantially restructured because there has been no WBG activity in support of the objective targets as currently formulated. 29. Objective 1.1, ‘Strengthen Fiscal Policy and Debt Management’, is on track. World Bank support has helped strengthen Togo’s overall institutional, regulatory and administrative capacity as well as its public investment capabilities. The Bank has also helped the Government develop a Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy which was appended to the 2019 budget. These reforms – combined with a strong fiscal consolidation – have led to a narrowing of the fiscal deficit and a reduction in the debt-to-GDP ratio from 81.1 percent of GDP in 2016 to an estimated 76.2 percent in 2018 (against a 2020 target of 65 percent). Togo is now the only country of the WAEMU zone to have respected the 3 percent of GDP fiscal deficit ceiling these past two years. 30. Objective 1.2, ‘Improve Business Environment and Employment Opportunities’, is on track. With WBG support, including IFC’s Togo Investment Climate Technical Assistance Project, Togo gained 19 and 40 places in the 2019 and 2020 Doing Business rankings, respectively. Togo attained Top Reformer status in two consecutive years with its DB score increasing from 48.6 to 55.2 in 2019 and 62.3 in 2020 (against a DB21 target of 55.00). Efforts to boost agricultural incomes are also on track and reached 22 percent of average income among direct beneficiaries of Agricultural Sector Support (P118045) as of June 2019 against a target of 25 percent (2020). However, improving employment options for young people is only partially on track because of delays in the implementation of the IDA-funded Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth Project (P157036). 31. Objective 1.3, ‘Strengthen Energy, ICT and Logistics Service’, is partially on track. An expansion and improvement of electricity services with WBG support has been delayed. The rehabilitation of Lomé’s distribution network will soon be launched, which will contribute to new or improved electricity services by the end of the extended CPF period. The World Bank’s analytical and advisory services supported the preparation of an energy sector strategy while the DPO series has supported implementation. IFC supported government in the preparation of an energy strategy for universal electrification by 2030 using mostly the private sector and signed a Scaling Solar mandate with the Government for up to 90 MW of solar power, in keeping with the MFD approach. With World Bank support, international wholesale bandwidth prices have fallen from 113 euros per mbps to under 86 euros (against a 2020 target of 50). The WBG also supported improvements in the efficiency of logistics services in the country: a target to reduce the transit time from the Port of Lomé to the Cinkanse border with Burkina Faso has yet to show progress. However, it will likely be achieved with an extension under the PLR. 32. Objective 2.1, ‘Strengthen Health Services’, is on track. The WBG has supported the provision of nutrition and malaria services for children under five years of age and pregnant women in the Plateaux and Centrale regions. In addition, under a community Performance-Based Financing (PBF) pilot, malnutrition and malaria screenings at the community level and utilization of health services at health centers have increased in target villages. The number of births assisted by a midwife or qualified nurse as a share of the total number of expected births has increased from 56.6 percent in 2017 to 60.2 percent in 2018 and is expected to reach the CPF target of 70 percent by 2020. 8 33. Objective 2.2, ‘Strengthen Basic Services at Local Level’, is off track due to delays in the implementation of the “infrastructure” component of the Social Safety Nets project (P157038). Using a community-driven development (CDD) approach, in which beneficiary communities are expected to select, plan and implement 200 subprojects, the main objective of this component is to support the rehabilitation and construction of basic infrastructure in poor communities. Implementation delays relate to the slow execution of the CDD approach due mainly to weak capacity. Therefore, there has been no rehabilitation and/or construction of infrastructures to date, and there has also been no increase in satisfaction at local levels with basic service provision in priority sectors in targeted areas. 34. Objective 2.3, ‘Strengthen Social Safety Net for the Most Vulnerable’, is on track. As of June 2019, the Social Safety Nets project (P157038) had made cash transfers to 16,800 households in Togo. The number of households receiving transfers reached more than 35,000 by the end of 2019. The number of children receiving free school lunches under the project has already increased to nearly 52,000, well above the CPF 2020 target of 38,000 students. The school feeding program within the existing project will be expanded to allow a smooth transition to being fully funded by the Government. The recent adoption of legislation to make school feeding a basic right to children enrolled in public schools, and the identification of innovative domestic financing sources, will contribute to its sustainability. 35. Objective 3.1, ‘Strengthen the Management of Productive Natural Resources’, is off track. Planned additional financing to support an extension of the IDA Integrated Disaster Land Management (IDLM) project, was not available. Consequently, there has been no increase in land area under Sustainable Landscape Management practices or of forest area under Management Plans. Both indicators are therefore expected to be dropped and replaced with alternative measures of WBG support. 36. Objective 3.2, ‘Strengthen Resilience and Adaptation’, is partially on track. Significant progress has been made in designing a socially and environmentally-sound strategy to reduce emissions from deforestation and forest degradation through the REDD+ Readiness Preparation Project (P149942). Under the project, large swatches of land and forest will be subject to sustainable landscape management and climate-resilient agricultural practices. However, WBG support to reduce the share of households in coastal areas at risk of flooding and erosion has only just started and hence results are only likely under an extended CPF timeframe. World Bank support has enabled the preparation of the Government’s Blue Economy Strategic Framework and its integration into the National Development Plan. Plans for implementation of the Framework are on track. 37. Climate change considerations have been increasingly integrated into WBG operations in Togo given the country’s vulnerability to climate change. As of December 2018, 29 percent of Togo’s World Bank portfolio qualified for climate co-benefits, more than doubling since FY18, and considerably above the regional target of 22 percent. This reflects higher contributions by WBG projects to climate mitigation actions. 38. Progress toward integrating gender into the WBG’s portfolio in Togo is most notable in terms of access to maternal health care, and access to primary and tertiary (STEM) education. Among operations that are still at an early stage, the Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth project (P157036) has adopted gender innovations, with the training curricula being informed by the Bank’s Africa Gender Innovation Lab research on the greater effectiveness of personal initiative training versus traditional management training for boosting women entrepreneurs’ profits. Overall, there is a need to step up the extent to which projects are integrating gender from analysis, to implementation and M&E. This is reflected in the low proportion of projects achieving the gender tag (12.5 percent), against a Bank- 9 wide target of 55 percent. This will be a focus of future engagement. 39. Cross-cutting theme: governance. Institutions in Togo are weak, requiring greater human and financial resources to improve their capacity and performance to protect public assets and improve service delivery in key sectors. The DPO series and the Economic Governance Project (P158978) have helped the Government improve the transparency of the budget. Assets and liability management have been enhanced, debt management functions (centralized under one entity) have been reinforced and the predictability and control of revenue collections and budget execution have been improved. Progress has also been made in improving the business environment, as evidenced by both 2019 and 2020 Doing Business reports. IV. EMERGING LESSONS 40. Two years of implementation of the CPF have yielded lessons that will help guide the CPF for the remaining period of its implementation: 41. While the CPF is likely “to avoid an overly ambitious and underperforming program through selectivity and sequencing”, the current WBG portfolio appears to be spread too thinly covering too many sectors and all regions. This has resulted in several small projects with limited direct impact. Actions should be taken to consolidate the portfolio around a few priority areas with greater partnership. 42. Pursuing reforms to maintain a strong track record of fiscal and debt management, and continuous improvement in the business environment, would contribute to attracting more private investment for the NDP. To that end, there is a need to continue supporting Government reforms through programmatic DPO series, the implementation of IFC reform matrix and technical assistance. Reinforcing capacity within public administration is key in a weak institutional context like Togo. However, technical assistance projects should be carefully designed to allow for successful execution. Similarly, each new project must incorporate capacity-building within public administration and institutional strengthening to encourage effective organizational change. 43. To be effective, the CDD approach should be well designed and ready for execution to avoid implementation delays. As highlighted in the CPF, the continuous involvement of communities in project design and implementation helps maximize project reach. Involving local communities in the procurement of small-scale contracts resulted in greater competition and lower costs in the Togo Community Development and Safety Nets Project (closed in FY18). Nevertheless, very limited progress on the implementation of the infrastructure component of the ongoing Social Safety Nets Project points toward the need for carefully designing projects and ensuring their readiness before approval. 44. To contribute to the Government’s objective of achieving sustained and inclusive growth, actions should be taken to more systematically address disparities in gender outcomes. Completing the planned gender assessment would provide useful information to take appropriate actions to bridge the gender gap. Tackling the gender challenges throughout the program could raise living standards and outcomes across the country. Required actions include a need: (i) to focus more on women’s productivity in their existing agricultural sectors rather than a focus on getting women farmers into more profitable export crops that are traditionally dominated by men; (ii) increasing focus on gender in the land tenure system through reform; and (iii) greater focus on secondary education to tackle the widest gender gaps. 10 45. Thorough supervision of projects, on-the-ground expertise and focused collaboration with Government and other stakeholders are key to increasing the absorption capacity and achieve results. The organization of quarterly portfolio performance reviews (CPPR) and the establishment of a joint Government-Bank Implementation Support Team (IST) in 2018 in charge of closely monitoring the portfolio and ensuring that implementation issues are quickly resolved, contributed to increasing the disbursement rate and improving portfolio quality. In June 2019, the Bank and the Government signed a memorandum of understanding to remove the double review which should result in reduced delays in the procurement process. Further reduction in the time it takes to complete the public procurement process is expected following the implementation of decree No2018/PR. The decree raises thresholds for procuring public contracts, includes the adoption and implementation of a code of ethics governing the public procurement process and a decree to strengthen regulations governing the supervision of large infrastructure projects and the implementation of public projects delegated to third parties. The presence of in-country Task Team Leaders and opening of an IFC office in Lomé facilitate effective responses to an evolving political economy and occasional setbacks in the design and implementation of the WBG- supported program. V. ADJUSTMENTS TO COUNTRY PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK 46. The PLR extends the CPF period by two years, until FY22. This extension synchronizes CPF implementation with the 2018-22 NDP. The national development strategy, which is grounded in the country’s most urgent development priorities, is expected to remain relevant after the 2020 presidential elections. Although many WBG-supported activities and investments have not yet achieved the expected results, they are likely to reach their targets during the extended period. The proposed adjustments to the main focus areas as well as governance as transversal theme make the extended strategy aligned with IDA19 special themes. 47. The adjustment aims at: (i) consolidating future projects (beginning in FY20) into larger operations to increase efficiency by the end of the extended CPF period, with a continuous focus to supporting the government reform plan through DPOs (assuming the macroeconomic framework is deemed adequate) and a maximum of two new national investment projects per year; (ii) scaling up successful operations with a focus on increased digitalization in new operations, better coverage of gender issues throughout the program and human capital development; and (iii) broadening financing options with the application of MFD in energy, ICT, and infrastructure. The use of regional projects to address cross-country issues will continue via corridor development, financial sector regulation and adherence to WAEMU criteria. 48. The PLR also proposes to tackle the gender challenges more systematically throughout the program to narrow the gender gap. The World Bank’s existing Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth Project (P157036) promotes women's economic empowerment with an objective to have a minimum of 50 percent female beneficiaries. The Africa Higher Education Centers of Excellence Project (P126974) places an emphasis on women with enrollment increasing from a baseline of 311 to 4,028 females for Masters, PhD and short-term courses. The Social Safety Net Program will be revised to increase its potential to boost girls’ school attendance through the school feeding program and cash transfers. Women's empowerment and demographic dividend coverage will be strengthened in new operations, specifically secondary education, health and agriculture. Moreover, gender will be integrated in monitoring and evaluation, both at the project level and at the level of the PLR results matrix, to capture gender-specific issues beyond women’s basic participation. The upcoming gender assessment (FY21) will 11 inform future interventions and policy dialogue. IFC plans to focus on activities that will also support women entrepreneurs. 49. Based on the orientation in the country’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC), the PLR proposes to further leverage opportunities to optimize climate co-benefits across the portfolio to mitigate the country’s vulnerability to climate change. Building on recent progress made, existing and new projects provide higher contributions to climate mitigation actions, including better land-use practices, technical loss reduction in the power sector and the integration of climate adaptation measures into the design of infrastructure operations. The optimization of climate co-benefits will ensure that regional targets continue to be met. 50. Focus Area 1 (Private Sector Performance and Job Creation) and the cross-cutting theme of Governance continue to be priorities and they are well aligned with IDA19 special themes of “governance and institutions and jobs and economic transformation” As noted above, Togo has shown improvement in the area of private sector development. The Bank and IFC will continue to support further improvement of the country’s business environment. IFC has opened a liaison office in Lomé to further strenghten its support. Ongoing Bank operations in the areas of trade and competitiveness, vulnerable youth, regional communications and energy will be adjusted to reflect emerging needs and accelerate implementation. The World Bank and IFC will continue to invest in strengthening regional linkages between Lomé, Niamey and Ouagadougou. In the area of governance, the WBG will increase its support for digitalization of the public administration based on the outcome of the country’s digital economy diagnostic, which holds the key to further transformation of public service delivery and reinforcement of the social contract. The Bank will also prepare a new DPO series to: (i) enhance tax revenue mobilization and improve public investment efficiency and debt management; and (ii) support governance and structural reforms in selected sectors. 51. In Focus Area 2 (Inclusive Public Service Delivery – Human Capital), there will be an increased emphasis on improving human capital, including a focus on gender. This focus area is aligned with IDA19 special themes of “gender and development and FCV”. As discussed above, Togo’s HCI score shows a wide gap between the potential and current levels of productivity of young people. The World Bank will prioritize measures to close this gap. This will include greater investments in, and use of, digitalization in education and health, while reinforcing the implementation of the ongoing social safety nets program. Togo has joined the Human Capital Project, which reflects the Government’s interest in accelerating plans to meet human capital targets, and programmatic adjustments to the CPF include additional planned investments in health and education (primary and secondary). The new education operation will focus on quality of learning, girls’ education and school resilience. The World Bank will help strengthen Togo’s higher education capacity as part of a regional effort to establish centers of excellence. Adjusting the ongoing social safety nets operations and speeding up their execution will be key in reducing poverty, increasing social cohesion, and preventing a potential expansion of insecurity in border areas. In addition, Togo will join the second phase of the West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration and Inclusion program planned for FY20. IFC will continue to seek opportunities for private provision of health services (such as its investment in a local private clinic through a private equity fund). 52. In Focus Area 3 (Environmental Sustainability and Resilience), the PLR proposes to continue supporting the Government’s efforts to protect the environment in line with IDA19 theme special theme of “climate change”. The objective is to accelerate the implementation of the ongoing West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience project (P162337) to protect vulnerable populations from coastal erosion. The existing additional financing to the REDD+ Readiness Preparation Project – (P149942) will enable Togo to 12 finalize its National REDD+ Strategy as planned in the country’s INDC, as well as conduct the second national forest inventory and develop a National Forest Monitoring System (NFMS). A grant from Climate Risk Early Warning Systems (CREWS), meanwhile, will provide technical assistance and support capacity- building activities. Figure 2: Indicative Lending Program for FY20-FY22 (USD million) 8 Planned Projects FY20 FY21 FY22 Statistics- Data 4 Fact based Society (Regional) 30 Fiscal Reform Infrastructure DPO 150 Fiscal Reform Infrastructure DPO 50 Governance E-Government + private sector development 70 AF West Africa Communication Infrastructure (WARCIP) 10 Lome-Ouagadougou-Niamey Corridors (Regional) 75 Energy Access Project (Regional) 60 Focus area 1 Agriculture modernization (Regional) 150 Health System Strengthening 20 eID - WURI Phase 2 (Regional) 30 ACE for Development Impact 2 (Regional) 18 Focus area 2 Education 50 IDA National 186 165 120 IDA Regional 52 90 100 Total IDA 238 255 220 Note: Operations and amounts are indicative. Actual national IDA allocations (PBA) are determined annually and depend on: (i) total IDA resources available; (ii) the number of IDA-eligible countries; (iii) the country’s performance rating, GNI per capita, and population; and (iv) the performance and other allocation parameters for other IDA borrowers. 53. Proposed revisions to the results framework aim: (i) to ensure targets are realistic within the extension period and (ii) to capture outcomes of ongoing projects which were not fully reflected in the CPF. To compensate for the lack of gender-specific activities or targets in the results framework, the PLR proposes to add new gender-specific indicators related to energy, education and social protection. The PLR will also pilot the use of Intermittent Beneficiary Monitoring (IBM), to be used to monitor beneficiary satisfaction in specific projects. Changes to the results matrix are summarized below: • Focus Area 1: A supplementary indicator is added under Objective 1.3 (Strengthen Energy, ICT and Logistics services). Some existing targets were extended to reflect additional potential progress, such as further reduction in the debt-to-GDP ratio (Indicator 1.1.1) and further progress in the Doing Business Index (Indicator 1.2.1). • Focus Area 2: two new indicators were included under Objective 2.1 (Strengthen Health Services) reflecting improved quality of care (Indicator 2.1.2) and pregnant women receiving ante-natal care (Indicator 2.1.3). One indicator is added under Objective 2.2 (Strengthen Basic Services at the Local Level), along with an additional indicator under Objective 2.3 (Strengthen Social Safety Nets for the Most Vulnerable). • Focus Area 3: rationalization of indicators to better support Strengthening Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Change (Objective 3.1) and Improving Natural Resource Management (Objective 3.2). 8 IFC and MIGA programs during the extended period will be determined by private sector demand. 13 54. The PLR proposes to adjust the ASA program to align it with the updated lending program and prepare for the new CPF. The focus is to be selective by covering only priority areas related to: (i) reinforcing the dialogue with all stakeholders through the regular publication of Economic Updates; (ii) supporting the design and operationalization of the DE4A for Togo by undertaking a digital economy country diagnostic; (iii) advancing governance via a Public Expenditure Review including an assessment of state-owned enterprises; and (iv) completing a poverty assessment (including a gender assessment). A private sector diagnostic, an update to the Togo Resilience and Risk Assessment (RRA) and a second- generation SCD will also be prepared ahead of the CPF. VI. RISKS TO CPF PROGRAM 55. The CPF noted significant sources of risk to implementing the WBG program, including fiduciary, institutional capacity and macroeconomic instability and substantial political risks. These risks, mainly related to a challenging political economy, were anticipated in 2017 and remain largely the same. Therefore, the PLR maintains the overall risk rating as Substantial (see Figure 3). Mitigation measures include responsive project design, intensive and agile supervision of projects and focused collaboration with Government and other stakeholders. 56. All categories remain the same except for the risk to sector strategies and policies, which has been reduced, from Substantial to Moderate. The improvement reflects progress in the implementation of reforms in key sectors combined with the finalization of a new national strategy (2018-22 NDP) and introduction of program budgeting. 57. Political risks remain substantial. Although the incidence of mass opposition demonstrations has receded this year, the political and governance risk is heightened as the country prepares for presidential elections in 2020. These risks are compounded by rising external security threats on the country’s eastern and northern borders. In addition to a regional approach to insecurity, mitigation measures will include citizen engagement and supporting the Government to reinforce social inclusiveness. 58. Macroeconomic risk remains substantial despite the positive outlook. Two years of fiscal consolidation led to a decrease in public debt to about 76 percent of GDP in 2018. However, fiscal space remains tight because of elevated debt service representing 52 percent of Government revenue. Close monitoring, a new DPO series, and the renewal of an IMF-supported economic and financial program will contribute to gradually improving revenue performance and enhanced fiscal sustainability. 59. Institutional risks remain substantial despite an improvement in Togo’s CPIA score to 3.2 in 2018 from 3.0 in 2016. This performance was mainly supported by progress on stabilizing the macroeconomic framework and improving the business climate. Institutional risks remain substantial because of weak public institutions and limited human resources capacity. The Bank will continue to strengthen key institutions engaged in implementing IDA-funded programs and strengthen country systems. 60. Fiduciary risks remain substantial. Weaknesses persist in expenditure and cash management. The fiduciary risk is mitigated through a dedicated account and other bank operations by using and strengthening the country systems for staffing, budgeting, accounting, financial control and disbursement. The closer day-to-day collaboration with Implementation Support Team and IMF technical assistance in this area also helps mitigate these risks. 14 Figure 3: Standardized Operations Risk Rating Tool for Togo Risk Categories CPF Rating PLR Rating Political and governance Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Sector strategies and policies Substantial Moderate Technical design of project or program Moderate Moderate Institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Environment and social Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial 15 Annex 1: Updated CPF Results Matrix CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program Focus Area 1: Private Sector Performance and Job Creation Objective 1.1: Strengthen Fiscal Policy and Debt Management Country goals: Indicator 1.1.1: Improved Debt-to-GDP Supplementary Progress Indicator First Fiscal Management and Energy Fiscal Reform Infrastructure ratio 1.1.1.1: Strengthen debt Reform DPF - P169867 (FY20) DPO (FY21) Baseline: 77.4 percent (2016) management through World Bank- Target 65 percent (2021) IMF joint TA to develop a medium- E-Government & private sector term debt management strategy in development project (FY21) the context of the debt management Facility (FY17) – (see Knowledge: Annex 3) Public Expenditures Review (FY20)- P171688 Economic Updates (FY20)- P171689 Objective 1.2: Improve Business Environment and Employment Opportunities Indicator 1.2.1: Improved private Supplementary Progress Indicator Financial services sector regulatory performance, as 1.2.1.1: Ministerial orders (arêtes) IFC measured by Togo’s Doing Business adopted for decree on Construction • Risk Sharing Facility at two banks E-Government & Private Sector “Distance to Frontier” score Permits – (see Annex 3) (FY18): Banque Atlantique and Development Project (FY21) Baseline: 48.57 (DB17) Bank of Africa Target: 65.00 (DB22) • Global Trade Finance Program (FY17-18) • Advisory services to agribusiness 16 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program Indicator 1.2.2: Improved Supplementary Progress Indicator Knowledge services employment options for Togolese 1.2.2.1: Beneficiaries of labor Ongoing youth, as measured by the number market programs, including women • Source of growth study of youths trained and Baseline: 0 (2017) (P164774) launching/expanding Target: 14,000 (2020) (inc.7,000 microenterprises women) (2021) • Doing Business (yearly) Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 10,000 (2022) Supplementary Progress Indicator Ongoing Program 1.2.2.2: Number of young people preparing simple business plans • Employment opportunities for Baseline: 0 (2017) vulnerable youth P157036 (FY17) Target: 12,500 (2021) Indicator 1.2.3: Improved agricultural Supplementary Progress Indicator Ongoing Agriculture Modernization incomes, as measured by average 1.2.3.1: Strengthen MoA fiduciary • AF for West Africa Productivity (FY22) increase in income among direct and Implementation capacity and Program (WAAPP, P122065) Togo beneficiaries of PASA engagement of civil society – (see (FY17) Baseline: 0 percent (2016) Annex 3) • AF for Agriculture Sector Support Target: 25 percent (2020) (PASA, P118045) (FY17) 1.2.3.2 PASA and WAAPP Steering Committee membership includes CSO representatives, who participate in decisions on project implementation and in supervision missions – (see Annex 3) 1.2.3.3 Improved agricultural productivity and value added in key commodities, as measured by : 17 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program a. Increase in soybeans processed (tons) from 0 (2017) to 3,000 (2020) b. Increase in coffee output from 17,000 (2017) to 18,000 (2020) c. Farm output subject to value addition increases from 18,000 (2017) to 25,000 (2020) (See Annex 3) Objective 1.3: Strengthen Energy, ICT and Logistics Service Indicator 1.3.1: Expanded and Financial Services (Operations) Regional Electricity Access improved electricity services in Lomé, Supplementary Progress Indicator Project Phase 2 -P170599 as measured by: 1.3.1.1 Ongoing (FY21) a. Increased number of people Master plan prepared for the • Energy Sector Support Project provided with new or improved generation, transmission and (P160377) (FY18) electricity services distribution and the strengthening • P160708 Regional Off Grid Baseline: 392,000 (22 percent of Lomé) of the planning capacities of the Electrification (FY20) (2018) Ministry of Energy and CEET IFC Target: 432,000 (25 percent of Lomé) (2022) Supplementary Progress Indicator Ongoing 1.3.1.2 Scaling Solar Program b. Additional power produced as a Tariff study conducted to establish • Logistics – Togo study on direct result of IFC support, measured appropriate tariff and subsidy to requirements to become a by the additional energy achieved financial equilibrium in regional logistics hub capacity expected to be produced energy sector. • Trade Facilitation (MWh/year) Baseline: 205 (2016) Supplementary Progress Indicator Target: 255 (2022) 1.3.1.3 CEET performance contract reviewed and management improvement plan implemented. Progress: Partially on track 18 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program Supplementary Progress Indicator • WARCIP P123093 (FY13) AF West Africa Communication 1.3.1.4 Infrastructure - P169945 (FY20) Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the Energy Knowledge: Sector project: • Trade and Logistics Service Togo Digital Economy for Africa Baseline: 8,260 (2018) Competitiveness Project P158982 (DE4A) Country Diagnostic - Target: 8,900(2021) (FY17) P170440 Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.1.5 Number of women provided with new or improved electricity connections Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 20.000 (2021) Indicator 1.3.2: Reduced Supplementary Progress Indicator telecommunications services costs, 1.3.3.1: Telecommunication Sector as measured by: The International restructured (2021) wholesale capacity bandwidth price in euro/Mbps/month Supplementary Progress Indicator Baseline: 113 (2016) 1.3.2.2: Carrier hotel completed Target: 50 (2021) /operational (2021) Indicator 1.3.3: Improved transport Supplementary Progress Indicator Lomé -Ouagadougou- Niamey efficiency, as measured by: 1.3.3.1: Average port dwell time Regional Corridors - P168386 a. Median transit time from Port of Baseline 8.9 days (2016); Target 7 (FY21) Lomé to Cinkassé border with days (2021) Burkina Faso Baseline: 8 days (2016) Supplementary Progress Indicator Target: 6 days (2022) – Status is 8 days 1.3.3.2: Number of logistics 19 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program in 2018 businesses compliant with reformed b. Number of containers handled legal and regulatory environment (M TEU containers) Baseline: 0 (2016); Target: 10 (2021) Baseline: 0.5 (2016) Target: 1 (2022) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.3.3: Number of companies officially registered as part of Trusted traders’ program Baseline: 0 (2016); Target: 10 (2021) Focus Area 2: Inclusive Public Service Delivery Objective 2.1: Strengthen Health Services Indicator 2.1.1: Improved maternal Supplemental Progress Indicator Financial services (Operations) health care, as measured by the 2.1.1.1: Pregnant women receiving Ongoing number of births assisted by a antenatal care during a visit to a • Maternal and Infantile Health and midwife or qualified nurse as a health care provider: Baseline Nutrition Services (P143843) share of total number of expected 143,460 (September 2016); Target (FY14) births 230,000 (2018) • Regional Disease Surveillance Baseline: 56 percent (2017) 9 Systems Enhancement (REDISSE, Target: 70 percent (2020) Supplemental Progress Indicator P159040) (FY17) 2.1.1.2: percent of infants 5 months and younger who are exclusively breastfed in Plateaux and Centrale regions IFC Baseline 58 percent (2016), Target • Clinic Biasa, Funded by Africa 65 percent (2018) Health Funds (1,7 USD million) Supplemental Progress Indicator Knowledge Services 2.1.1.3: percent of households with Ongoing children under age 2 that have been • Supporting a unified social 9 The baseline data has been updated (56.6 percent) based on most recent data published by the Government. 20 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program visited by CHW to support feeding Registry for Integrated social practices in Plateaux and Centrales protection system – P166630 Baseline 35 percent (2016) Target 60 percent (2018) Objective 2.2: Strengthen Basic Services at the Local Level Indicator 2.2.1: Improved Supplementary progress indicator • Safety Nets and Basics Services educational infrastructure at the 2.2.1.1: Number of additional P157038 (FY17) local level, as measured by classrooms built or rehabilitated at number of students enrolled in the primary level resulting from • Safety Nets and Basics Services rehabilitated or constructed project interventions P157038 (FY17) schools under BSSN project Baseline: 0 (2017) • Infrastructure and Urban Dev Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 480 (2021) Project (PIDU) - P161772 (FY19) Target: 21,400 (2022) 2.2.2. Number of people in rural Supplementary progress indicator areas provided with access to 2.2.2.1: Improved community water improved water sources under points constructed or rehabilitated BSSN project under the project Baseline: 0 (2017) Baseline: 0 (2017); Target: 64 (2021) Target: 41,200 (2022) • Global Partnership for Education Indicator 2.2.3 School uniforms program – (P146294) (FY15) distributed to girls in 4 deprived Prefectures Baseline: 0 (2015) Milestone: 54,636 (2018) Target: 165,000 (2019) Indicator 2.2.4 Improved satisfaction Supplementary progress indicator • Safety Nets and Basics Services with social services at the local level as 2.2.4.1 Improved capacity to obtain P157038 (FY17) measured by the percentage of citizen feedback on key services • Infrastructure and Urban Dev citizens satisfied with quality of and 21 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program access to basic services in priority Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes Project (PIDU) - P161772 (FY19) sectors (2021) Baseline: 45 percent (2017) Target: 55 percent (2022) Objective 2.3: Strengthen Social Safety Nets for the Most Vulnerable Country goals: Indicator 2.3.1: Increased number of Supplementary progress indicator Financial services (Operations) ID4D – WURI Phase 2 – households receiving cash transfers 2.3.1.1: Targeting mechanisms Ongoing P169594 (FY20) Baseline: 0 (2017) developed to identify poorest • Safety Nets and Basics Services Target: 40,000 (2022) households P157038 (FY17) Baseline: No (2017) • Employment opportunities for Target: Yes (2021) vulnerable youth P157036 (FY17) Supplementary progress indicator 2.3.1.2: National cross-program social registry launched Baseline: No (2017) Target: Yes (2021) • Safety Nets and Basics Services Indicator 2.3.2: Number of Female P157038 (FY17) beneficiaries of safety nets programs Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 3,.000 (2022) Indicator 2.3.3: Increased number Supplementary progress indicator • Safety Nets and Basics Services of school children receiving free 2.3.3.1: Schools benefitting from P157038 (FY17) school lunches school feeding program (of which Baseline: 0 (2017) those in the poorest 20 percent of Target: 38,000 (2020) 10 cantons in their region) Achieved and retained for evaluation Baseline: 0 (2017) in CLR. Target: 160 (2020) 10 The target number is 38,000 students instead of 380,000 as mistakenly indicated in the CPF document. 22 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program Focus Area 3: Environmental Sustainability and Resilience Objective 3.1: Strengthen Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Change Indicator 3.1.1: Percentage of Supplementary progress indicator Financial services (Operations) households in targeted coastal 3.1.1.1: Action Plan for the Ongoing areas at reduced risk of flooding development and adaptation to • West Africa Coastal Areas (WACA) and erosion (inland and coastal) climate change of Togo’s coastal TA (P168908) FY16; Baseline: 10 percent (2017) areas finalized and adopted • WACA Regional Inv Project Target: 30 percent (2022) Baseline: No (2016) P162337(FY18) Target: Yes (2018) • P166987 – TF0A7342-GFDRR See also Annex 3 Pipeline Indicator 3.1.2: REDD+ Strategy Supplementary progress indicator • GCF Trust Fund validated with key stakeholders and 3.1.1.2: Modular multi-risk early under implementation warning systems (EWS) managed by Financial services (Operations) Baseline: No (2017) the National Platform for Disaster Ongoing Target: Yes (2022) Risk reduction • WACA Regional Inv Project Baseline: 1 Module (Floods) (2017); P162337(FY18) Target: 2 Modules (Floods and • P166987 – TF0A7342-GFDRR Erosion) (2021) Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.1.3: Grey, green and/or hybrid infrastructure in place to decrease shoreline erosion and reduce coastal risks Baseline: 3 (TBC) (2016); Target: 4 (2021) Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.1.4: Number of rehabilitation and protection interventions 23 CPF Objectives Supplementary Progress Indicators WBG ongoing program WBG planned Program (drainage canals, riverbank protection) implemented Baseline: 26 (2017); Target: 50 (2021) Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.1.5: Number of meteorological and hydrological stations equipped Baseline: 19 (2017); Target: 35 (2021) Objective 3.2: Improve Natural Resources Management Country goals: Indicator 3.2.1: Priority actions of Blue Financial services (Operations) Economy Strategic Framework Ongoing integrated in National Development • WACA Regional Inv Project Plan P162337(FY18) Baseline: No (2017) Target: Yes (2022) Indicator 3.2.2: Priority actions of Blue Economy Strategic Framework implemented Baseline: No (2017) Target: Yes (2022) 24 Annex 2: Matrix of Key Changes to Original CPF Results Matrix Number of Updated CPF Results Matrix Comments original indicator Focus Area 1: Private Sector Performance and Job Creation 1.1.1 New target and target date Further progress on debt reduction possible with IMF and WB support. (FY21) 1.1.1.1 No Change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 1.2.1 New target and change of Further progress possible with ongoing WBG support to Togo and extension of target date to (FY22) the CPF period. 1.2.1.1 No Change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved. 1.2.2. Target date changed to 2022 Progress will be on track, it requires more time. 1.2.2.1 Target date changed to 2021 Supplementary target still relevant, target date changed to 2021. 1.2.2.2 Target date changed to 2021 Supplementary target still relevant, target date changed to 2021. 1.2.3. No change Progress on track, still relevant 1.2.3.1 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved. 1.2.3.2 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 1.2.3.3 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 1.3.1 Target date extended to FY22 Extra time needed due to delay in Energy Sector Support (FY18). One for (a); no change for (b) supplementary progress indicator 1.3.1.1. No change Supplementary target still relevant 1.3.1.2 No change Supplementary target still relevant 1.3.1.3 No change Supplementary target still relevant 1.3.1.4 Target date extended to FY21 Supplementary target still relevant. Retained with target date extended to FY21 New: 1.3.1.5 Number of women provided with new or improved electricity connections" 1.3.2 Target date changed to 2021 Still relevant, target date change to (FY21). 1.3.2.1 Target date changed to 2021 Still relevant, target date changed to (FY21) 1.3.2.2 Target date changed to 2021 Still relevant, target date changed to (FY21) 1.3.3 Target date extended to FY22 Still relevant target date changed to (FY22) 1.3.3.1 Target date extended to FY21 Supplementary target still relevant, target date changed to (FY21). 1.3.3.2 Target date extended to FY21 Supplementary target still relevant, target date changed to (FY21) 1.3.3.3 Target date extended to FY21 Supplementary target still relevant, target date changed to (FY21) 25 Number of Updated CPF Results Matrix Comments original indicator Focus Area 2: Inclusive Public Service Delivery 2.1.1 No change Indicator still relevant 2.1.1.1 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 2.1.1.2 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 2.1.1.3 Dropped No WBG support for this indicator. New indicator 2.1.2 Indicator related to the new health project in pipeline 2.2.1 Indicator disaggregated into 2 Part (a) indicators 2.2.1.1 No change Supplementary target still relevant, target changed to 2021 2.2.2 Indicator reorder and Inbd 2.2.1 Part (b) disaggregated into 2 indicators 2.2.1.2 Now 2.2.1.1 with target date Supplementary target still relevant, target changed to 2021 extended to FY21 2.2.3 New indicator 2.2.2 Changes in indicator orders, "School uniforms distributed to girls in 4 deprived Prefectures" 2.2.2 Now 2.2.4 Indicator re-ordered for internal coherence, target date changed to 2022 2.2.2.1 Now 2.24.1 Indicator re-ordered for internal coherence, target date changed to 2021 Objective 2.2 Change of numbering Objective 2.2: Strengthening Social Safety nets for the Most Vulnerable, became Objective 2.3 2.2.1 Change from 2.2.1 to 2.3.1 Still relevant, change in the numbering from 2.2.1 to 2.3.1, target date changed to 2022 2.3.1.1 Change in numbering and target Supplementary target still relevant, target changed to 2021, change numbering date extended to 2021 2.3.1.2 Change in numbering and target Supplementary target still relevant, target changed to 2021, change numbering date extended to 2021 New indicator 2.3.2 Previous 2.3.2 now 2.3.3. New indicator: "Number of Female beneficiaries of safety nets programs" 2.2.2 Change from 2.2.2 to 2.3.3 Change in the numbering from 2.2.2 to 2.3.3-Achieved 2.3.1.1 Change in numbering Change in the numbering from 2.2.2.1 to 2.3.1.1-Achieved 26 Number of Updated CPF Results Matrix Comments original indicator Focus Area 3: Environmental Sustainability and Resilience 3.1 Objective split in two objectives Objective 3.1: Strengthen Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Change and renamed Objective 3.2: Improve Natural Resources Management 3.1.1 Dropped Replaced by 3.1.2, target date changed to 2022 3.1.1.1 Dropped No WBG support hence dropped 3.1.1.2 Dropped No WBG support hence dropped 3.1.2 Dropped No WBG support hence dropped 3.1.2 New indicator 3.1.2 REDD+ strategy validated with key stakeholders and under implementation 3.2.1 New 3.1.1 with FY22 target date 3.2.1.1 New 3.1.1.1 Supplementary progress indicator: achieved 3.2.1.2 to 3.2.1.5 New 3.1.1.2 to 3.1.1.5 Moved to be adjacent with new 3.1.1 and 3.1.2, target date changed to (FY21) 3.2.2 Split into new 3.2.1 and 3.2.2 3.2.1: Priority actions of Blue Economy Strategic Framework integrated in National Development Plan Split into new 3.2.1 and 3.2.2 3.2.2: Priority actions of Blue Economy Strategic Framework implemented 3.2.2.1 No change Supplementary progress indicator: achieved. 27 Annex 3: Matrix summarizing progress toward FY17-FY20 CPF Objectives Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Focus Area 1: Private Sector Performance and Job Creation Objective 1.1: Strengthen Fiscal Policy and Debt Objective 1.1: on track Completed operations Management P159844 Fiscal reform Credit (FY18) Indicator 1.1.1: Improved Debt-to-GDP ratio Indicator 1.1.1: on track. Debt-to- P166739 Second fiscal management Baseline: 77.4 percent (2016) GDP ratio in 2018 = 76.2 percent. & Infrastructures (FY19) Target: 65 percent (2020) Supplementary progress Indicator 1.1.1.1 Progress: achieved. A strategy was Ongoing operations Strengthened debt management through World Bank- produced and attached to the 2019 IMF joint TA to develop a medium-term debt Budget. ASA management strategy in the context of the Debt PEMFAR Management Facility (FY17) Long- and medium-term debt management Tax reform study Financial Sector Evaluation Objective 1.2: Improve Business Environment and Objective 1.2: on track Completed Operations Employment Opportunities P122065 AF Agricultural Productivity Program (WAAPP) (FY17) Indicator 1.2.1: Improved Private Sector regulatory Indicator 1.2.1: achieved. The latest P164774 Source of growth and performance, as measured by Togo’s Doing Business (2020 Doing Business) Index value is competitiveness (FY21) ‘’Distance to Frontier’’ score 62.3. Baseline: 48.57 (DB2017) Target: 55.00 (DB2020) Ongoing Operation Doing Business (IFC and IDA) Supplementary progress Indicator 1.2.1.1 Progress: achieved P118045 AF Agricultural Sector Ministerial orders (arrêtés) adopted for decree on Support Project (PASA) (FY11) construction permit 28 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status P157036 Employment opportunities Indicator 1.2.2: Improved employment options for Indicator 1.2.2: partially on track. for Vulnerable Youth (FY17) Togolese youth, as measured by number of youths Reason: delayed start of trained and launching/expanding microenterprises Employment Opportunities for Baseline: 0 (2017) Vulnerable Youth (FY17). Some Completed ASA Target: 10,000 (2020) progress made: the project is active P163693 Tax reform study in 72 of 200 target villages. 5,032 P165026 Land policy review youths have been trained and are participating in High-Intensity Work, of which 58 percent are women. Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.2.2.1: Progress: on track. Despite delays, Beneficiaries of labor market programs, including women labor market programs are expected Baseline: 0 (2017) in 100 villages benefiting 7000 Target: 14,000 (inc.7,000 women) (2020) people by the end of 2019. Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.2.2.2 Progress: partially on track. Number of young people preparing simple business plans Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 12,500 (2020) Indicator 1.2.3 Improved agricultural incomes, as Indicator 1.2.3: on track. Agricultural measured by average increase in income among direct incomes had increased by 22 percent beneficiaries of PASA as of June 2019 Baseline: 0 percent (2016) Target 25 percent (2020) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.2.3.1: Progress: achieved Strengthened MoA fiduciary and Implementation capacity and engagement of civil society 29 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.2.3.2: Progress: achieved. PASA and WAAPP Steering committee membership includes CSO representatives, who participate in decision-making on project implementation and in supervision missions Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.2.3.3: Progress: achieved: Soybeans value Improved agricultural productivity and value added in key = 3.51 (June 2019); coffee value = commodities: 18.75; farm output subject to value a) Increase in soybeans processed (tons) addition increases value = 31,798 Baseline: 0 (2017) & Target: 3,000 (2020) (June 2019). Progress: achieved. Value is 3,506 as of June 2019 b) Increase in coffee output Baseline: 7,000 (2017) Target: 18,000 (2020) Progress: achieved. Value is 18,746 as June 2019 c) Farm output subject to value addition increases Baseline: 18,100 (2017) Target: 25,000 (2020) Objective 1.3: Strengthen Energy, ICT and Logistics Objective 1.3: partially on track Completed Operations Service Ongoing Operations Indicator 1.3.1: Expanded and improved electricity Indicator 1.3.1: partially on track. P160377 Energy Sector Support services in Lomé, as measured by: Energy Sector Support (FY18) only (FY18) a. Increased number of people provided with new or became effective in March 2018. The improved electricity services main contracts are about to be P123093 West Africa Regional Baseline: 392,000 (22 percent of Lomé) (2018) signed and the work will be launched Communications and Information Target: 432,000 (25 percent of Lomé) (2020) in the first quarter of 2020 Project (WARCIP) (FY13) b. Additional power produced as a direct result of IFC support, measured by the additional energy capacity expected to be produced (MWh/year) 30 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Baseline: 205 (2016) & Target: 255 (2020) P158982 Trade and Logistics Services Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.1.1: Progress: on track Competitiveness (FY17) Master plan prepared for the generation, transmission and distribution and the strengthening of the planning IFC capacities of the Ministry of Energy and CEET Contour Global Thermal Generation Plant (100 MW) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.1.2 Progress: on track Global Trade Finance Program Tariff study conducted to establish appropriate tariff and (GTFP) subsidy to achieved financial equilibrium in energy sector. Lome Container terminal I (LCT) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.1.3 Progress: on track. Trade Facilitation CEET performance contract reviewed and management improvement plan implemented. Progress: Partially on track Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.1.4 Progress: partially on track. Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the Requires additional time to 2021. Energy Sector Baseline: 8,260 (2018) Target: 8,900 (2020) Indicator 1.3.2: Reduced telecommunications services Indicator 1.3.2: partially on track. costs, as measured by: The international wholesale Costs had fallen to 85.85 by capacity band with price in euro/Mbps/month December 2018. Baseline: 113 (2016) Target: 1 (2020) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.2.1: Progress: on track. Telecommunication Sector restructured Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.2.2: Progress: on track. Expected 2020. 31 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Carrier hotel completed /operational Indicator 1.3.3. Improved transport efficiency, as Indicator 1.3.3: partially on track. measured by: The median transit time from Lomé a) Median transit time from port of Lomé to Cinkansé to Cinsanké has not changed. border with Burkina Faso However, the number of containers Baseline: 8 days (2016) handled has increased to 0.88 as of Target: 6 days (2020) 2018. b) Number of containers handled (MTEU containers) Baseline: 0.5 (2016) Target: 1 (2020) Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.3.1: Progress: partially on track. No Average port dwell time change yet, indicator is achievable Baseline 8.9 days (2016); Target 7 days (2020) by 2021. Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.3.2: Number of logistics businesses compliant with reformed Progress: partially on track legal and regulatory environment No change yet, indicator is Baseline: 0 (2016); Target: 10 (2020) achievable by 2021. Supplementary Progress Indicator 1.3.3.3: Number of companies officially registered as part of Progress: partially on track Trusted Traders’ program No change yet, indicator is Baseline: 0 (2016); Target: 10 (2020) achievable by 2021. Focus Area 2: Inclusive Public Service Delivery Objective 2.1: Strengthen Health Services Objective 2.1: on track Ongoing operations Indicator 2.1.1: Improved maternal health care, as Indicator 2.1.1: on track. Value at P143843 Maternal and Child Health measured by the number of births assisted by a midwife 60.6 percent as of January 28, 2019 and Nutrition Services Support or qualified nurse as a share of total number of expected (MoH). (FY14) births 32 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Baseline: 56.6 percent (2017) P159040 Regional Disease Target: 70 percent (2020) Surveillance Systems enhancement Supplementary Progress Indicator 2.1.1.1: Progress: achieved. Value in 2018 = (REDISSE) (FY17) Pregnant women receiving antenatal care during a visit to 300,603. a health care provider IFC Baseline: 143,460 (Sept 2016); Target: 230,000 (2018) Clinique BIASA Supplementary Progress Indicator 2.1.1.2: Progress: achieved. Value in 2018 = percent of infant 5 months and younger who are 65.6 percent. exclusively breastfed in Plateaux and Centrale regions Baseline: 58 percent (2016); Target: 65 percent (2018) Supplementary Progress Indicator 2.1.1.3: Progress: achieved. Value in 2018 = percent of households with children under age 2 that 86.3 percent. have been visited by CHW to support feeding practices in Plateaux and Centrales Baseline: 0 (2016); Target: 75 percent (2018) Supplementary Progress Indicator 2.1.1.4: Progress: not validated. There is no Capacity Building for CAMEG (pharmaceuticals direct WBG support for this purchasing center) indicator. Baseline: No (2016); Target: Yes (2018) Objective 2.2: Strengthen Basic Services at the Local Objective 2.2: off track Ongoing Operations Level Indicator 2.2.1: Improved Infrastructure services Indicator 2.2.1: partially on track. P157037 Safety Nets & Basic available at the local level, as measured by 200 micro-projects identified (76 Services (FY17) a. Students enrolled in rehabilitated or constructed school buildings, 31 health facilities, P161772 Infrastructure & Urban schools under BSSN project Baseline: 0 (2017) 53 water points and 40 other Development (FY19) Target: 21,400 (2020) infrastructure) plus 240 classrooms b. Number of people in rural areas provided with access build under GPE (FY17). P146294 Global Program for to improved water sources under BSSN project Environmental and Social screening Education (GPE) (FY16) Baseline: 0 (2017) 33 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Target: 41,200 (2020) ongoing. Work will start after the Delivered ASA: ID management screenings. system assessment Supplementary progress indicator 2.2.1.1: Progress: partially on track. 240 Number of additional classrooms built or rehabilitated at classrooms have been built under Ongoing ASA the primary level resulting from project interventions the GPE (FY16) project. Supporting a Unified Social Registry Baseline: 0 (2017); Target: 480 (2020) Construction/ rehabilitation under the Infrastructure and Urban Water and Sanitation sector Development Project (FY19) not yet diagnostic started. Governance and Decentralized Supplementary progress indicator 2.2.1.2: Progress: partially on track Services Delivery Improved community water points constructed or rehabilitated under the project Baseline: 0 (2017); Target: 64 (2020) Indicator 2.2.2 Improved satisfaction with social services Progress: off track due to at the local level as measured by the percentage of implementation delays. citizens satisfied with quality of and access to basic services in priority sectors Baseline: 45 percent (2017) Target: 55 percent (2020) Supplementary progress indicator 2.2.2.1 Improved Progress: partially on track. Delay in capacity to obtain citizen feedback on key services project implementation. Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes (2020) Objective 2.3 Strengthen Social Safety Nets for the Most Objective 2.3: on track Ongoing Operations Vulnerable P157037 Safety Nets & Basic Indicator 2.3.1: Increased number of households Indicator 2.3.1: partially on track. Services (FY17) receiving cash transfers Value is 16,800 as of June 30, 2019 P157036 Employment opportunities Baseline: 0 (2017) for Vulnerable Youth (FY17) Target: 40,000 (2020) 34 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Delivered ASA: ID management system assessment Supplementary progress indicator 2.3.1.1: Progress: achieved. Targeting mechanisms developed to identify poorest Ongoing ASA households Supporting a Unified Social Registry Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes (2019) Supplementary progress indicator 2.3.1.2: Progress: on track National cross-program social registry launched Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes (2019) Indicator 2.3.2 Increased number of school children Progress: achieved. Value is 52,000 receiving free school lunches as of February 2019 Baseline: 0 (2017) Target: 38,000 (2020) Supplementary progress indicator 2.3.2.1: Progress: achieved. Value is 161 as Schools benefitting from school feeding program (of of February 2019. which those in the poorest 20 percent of cantons in their region) Baseline: 0 (2017); Target: 160 (2020) Focus Area 3: Environmental Sustainability and Resilience Objective 3.1 Strengthen the Management of Objective 3.1: not validated. New Ongoing Operation Productive Natural resources indicators developed in Annex 1. P149942 REDD+ (FY15) Indicator 3.1.1 Additional land area with sustainable Progress: not validated. No WBG landscape management (SLM) practice and/or climate- activity. To be dropped. resilient agricultural practices in areas targeted by PGICT Delivered ASA project Baseline: 1,200 (2017) Target: 2,000 (2020) 35 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.1.1: Progress: not validated. No WBG Number of CDD initiatives applying SLM tools and activity. approaches Baseline: 75 (2017); Target: 200 (2020) Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.1.2: Progress: not validated. No WBG Area covered by monitoring system for land use activity. vegetation cover and related carbon accumulation estimate Baseline: 350,000 ha (2017); Target: 500,000 ha (2020) Progress: Not validated Indicator 3.1.2: Forest area brought under management Progress: not validated. No WBG plans (community and Private forest) activity. To be dropped. Baseline: 6,050 hectares (2017) Target: 10,000 hectares (2020) Supplementary progress indicator 3.1.2.1: Progress: on track REDD+ strategy finalized and under implementation Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes (2020) Objective 3.2: Strengthen Resilience and Adaptation to Objective 3.2: on track Ongoing Operation Climate Change P162337 West Africa Coastal Area Indicator 3.2.1 Percentage of households in targeted Progress: partially on track. World Resilience WACA (FY18) coastal areas at reduced risk of flooding and erosion Bank support has only just started. GEF Water resources Management (inland and coastal) Greater progress is expected in 2021 of Mono River and Chenal de Gbaga Baseline: 10 percent (2017) (FY18) Target: 30 percent (2020) Delivered ASA West Africa Coastal Area TA 36 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.1.1: Progress: achieved Blue Economy Strategy Policy Note Action Plan for the development and adaptation to climate change of Togo’s coastal areas finalized and adopted Baseline: No (2016) Target: Yes (2018) Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.1.2: Progress: partially on track. Activity Modular multi-risk early warning systems (EWS) managed under development. by the National Platform for Disaster Risk reduction Baseline: 1 Module (Floods) (2017); Target: 2 Modules (Floods and Erosion) (2021) Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.1.3: Progress: partially on track. Delays Grey, green and/or hybrid infrastructure in place to caused by need for establishment of decrease shoreline erosion and reduce coastal risks common procurement approaches in Baseline: 3 (TBC) (2016); Target: 4 (2020) Togo and Benin. Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.1.4: Progress: partially on track. World Number of rehabilitation and protection interventions Bank support has only just started. (drainage canals, riverbank protection, etc) implemented Baseline: 26 (2017); Target: 50 (2020) Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.1.5: Progress: partially on track. Target Number of meteorological and hydrological stations will not be reached without equipped additional World Bank support. Baseline: 19 (2017); Target: 35 (2020) Indicator 3.2.2: Priority actions of Blue Economy Progress: on track. Activity is being Strategic Framework integrated in National Development supported under the West Africa Plan and under implementation Coastal Area TA (FY18) 37 Objectives and indicators Progress WBG Program Status Supplementary progress indicator 3.2.2.1: Progress: achieved Blue Economy Strategic Framework finalized and adopted Baseline: No (2017); Target: Yes (2018) 38 Annex 4: Country Consultations for the FY17-20 PLR The World Bank Group held three-day consultations in Lomé, Togo (March 18-20, 2019), with the country’s main stakeholders for the Performance and Learning Review (PLR), a mid-term review of the 2017-20 Country Partnership Framework (CPF). The purpose of the consultations was to assess the evolution and achievements of the portfolio, and the WBG’s proposed adjustments to the program in light of changes to the country context and the 2018-22 National Development Plan (NDP). The consultations benefited from the strong presence and engagement of all stakeholders, including the majority of the Cabinet (led by the Minister for Development Planning and Cooperation), all donors and more than 50 representatives from the private sector and CSOs. In total, more than 100 people attended. The discussion centered around the key messages that will be laid out in the PLR, including the country’s improved economic context following fiscal consolidation and business climate reforms, the introduction of a larger portfolio in the country following two successful DPFs and achievements in education, health and agriculture. The main recommendations of the Consultations are: - The consolidation of the country’s program, with a greater focus on human capital and productive sectors, and to avail new financing windows, such as the PSW and SUF - To extend the CPF period to align with the Government’s new NDP and allow more time for results to emerge - Increase the Bank’s support for inclusive public services - Build public sector capacity to administer and execute projects in Togo with a strengthening of governance measures in the program - stronger collaboration with all Donors for a better mapping of the country’s needs and more effective distribution of donor resources - More incentive measures for private sector competitiveness and stronger IFC support - The World Bank should play the role of a trusted interlocutor in the dialogue with Civil Society, Private Sector and the Government. 39 Annex 5: Togo Selected Economic Indicators 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Est. Proj. Annual percentage change, unless otherwise indicated National Accounts and Prices GDP at constant prices 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.5 Exports (in CFA) -3.7 -0.4 11.1 8.1 10.6 11.1 Imports (in CFA) -18.6 7.6 9.3 9.2 7.4 8.7 GDP deflator 0.8 1.7 2.1 2.8 2.9 2.9 Consumer prices (average) -0.2 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 Selected Monetary Accounts Credit to nonGovernment sector1 1.7 3.1 3.9 8.2 8.2 8.1 Broad money (M2) 10 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.3 9.3 Interest rate 2.5 2.5 2.5 Percent of GDP, unless otherwise indicated Fiscal Accounts Total revenue and grants 21.4 23.9 24.0 23.7 23.9 24.2 Total expenditure and net lending 21.6 24.7 26.9 25.6 25.5 25.6 Overall budget balance -0.3 -0.8 -2.9 -1.9 -1.5 -1.5 Basic fiscal balance2 0.8 2.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.9 Total public debt 76.0 76.2 73.1 68.9 64.7 60.8 External Sector Current account balance -2.0 -4.9 -5.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.2 Foreign direct investment (-=inflow) -2.5 -2.5 -2.7 -3.0 -3.2 -3.5 BCEAO gross reserves (in months of 4.1 4.5 imports) Terms of trade (deterioration=-) 25.4 -5.9 0.0 1.6 1.0 3.2 LCU per US dollar (avg.) 580.9 555.2 External public debt 20.1 20.5 22.2 21.9 21.5 21.1 Nominal GDP (CFA Billions) 2,789 2,975 3,199 3,469 3,767 4,089 Source: National Authorities and World Bank and IMF estimates as of September 12, 2019. 1 As a percent of the broad money stock at the beginning of the period. 2 Revenue minus expenditure excluding interest on external debt and foreign-financed investment 40 Annex 6: Geography of Welfare Out of 36 prefectures in Togo, one fourth (9 prefectures) The poorest regions tend to be remote areas, while the leading report a per capita consumption higher than the national regions are either ultra-urban or in rural locations with large- average, indicating significant geographic disparities. scale farming operations. Leading and lagging regions Per capita consumption and population density Poverty incidence varies dramatically across regions, Better access to services (electricity, improved toilets and piped from 15 percent in the top three prefectures (Golfe, water) is noted for ultra-dense urban and urban areas, while Lacs, and Lomé) to above 90 percent in the bottom three mobile phone use is evenly distributed. Service coverage is (Tandjoaré, Akebou, and Doufelgou). The majority of much worse in the poorest i.e., rural and remote rural areas. the poor live in (ultra) remote rural areas. Poverty incidence by administrative unit Access to services Source: World Bank, 2017, The Geography of Welfare in Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, and Togo. 41 Annex 7: Evolution of Portfolio 20# projects (US$mns) 16 15 49 15 14 14 13 13 11 8 9 33 10 10 9 5 5 6 7 21 22 23 6 20 5 5 4 0 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 Regional (lhs, US$mns) National (lhs, US$mns) Total (lhs, # projects) Avg Project Size (rhs, US$mns) Source: World Bank 42 FY P ID Project Name Board Closing Project DO IP Net Total Dis Average Approval Date Age Comm ($ ($ m) Project FY m) Size FY17 1 P158982 Trade and Logistic Services Competitivenes FY17 6/30 0.1 S S 18.0 - 2 P118045 Agriculture Sector Support FY17 6/15 0.2 S S 29.0 8.5 3 P157038 Safety Nets and Basic Services FY17 6/30 0.3 S S 29.0 - 4 P157036 Employment Opportunities for Vuln Youth FY17 6/30 0.3 S S 15.0 - 5 P159040 Regional Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 0.3 S S 21.0 - 6 P126974 Africa Higher Education Centers of Excellence Project FY15 9/30 3.2 S S 8.0 1.5 7 P149277 Mining Governance and Dev Project FY16 12/31 1.7 S MS 15.0 2.0 8 P146294 Global Partnership for Education FY15 9/30 2 MS MS 27.8 11.0 9 P149942 REDD+ Readiness Preparation FY15 10/31 2 NA NA 3.8 1.2 10 P143843 Maternal and Child Health Nutrition FY14 10/31 3.4 MS MS 14.0 7.2 11 P127200 Community dev and Safetynets FY14 7/31 5.2 S S 26.1 24.8 12 P123093 West Africa Regional Communication Infrastructure Project WARCIP FY14 11/30 4.1 MU MU 30.0 3.4 13 P122065 AF West Africa Agricultural Productivity Program APL (WAAPP-1C) FY12 12/31 5.2 S S 22.0 10.4 Total Projects : 13 projects ( 9 National and 4 Regional) 2.2 258.7 70.1 19.9 FY18 1 P158078 Economic Governance FY18 10/31 1.3 S S 15.0 1.2 2 P160377 Energy Sector Support FY18 11/30 1.1 S S 35.0 1.5 3 P162337 West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience Invest FY18 8/31 1.1 S S 45.0 - 4 P158982 Trade and Logistic Services Competitivenes FY17 6/30 1.1 S MS 18.0 1.4 5 P118045 Agriculture Sector Support FY17 6/15 1.2 S MS 29.5 11.2 6 P157038 Safety Nets and Basic Services FY17 12/31 1.3 S S 29.0 5.2 7 P157036 Employment Opportunities for Vuln Youth FY17 12/31 1.3 S S 15.0 1.2 8 P159040 Reg Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 1.3 S S 21.0 2.7 9 P126974 Africa Higher Education Centers of Excellence Project FY15 9/30 3.2 S S 8.0 3.4 10 P149277 Mining Governance and Dev Project FY16 12/31 2.7 MS MU 15.0 3.3 11 P146294 Global Partnership for Education FY15 9/30 3 MS MS 27.8 19.1 12 P149942 REDD+ Readiness Preparation FY15 10/31 3 NA NA 3.8 2.5 13 P143843 Maternal and Child Health Nutrition FY14 10/31 4.4 MU MS 14.0 10.4 14 P123093 West Africa Regional Communication Infrastructure Project WARCIP FY14 11/30 5.1 MS S 30.0 4.5 15 P122065 AF West Africa Agricultural Productivity Program APL (WAAPP-1C) FY12 12/31 6.3 S S 10.0 2.7 Total Projects : 15 (10 National, 5 Regional) 2.5 316.1 70.0 21.1 FY19 1 P161772 Infrastructure and Urban Development FY19 12/31 0.5 S S 30.0 2.6 2 P158078 Economic Governance FY18 10/31 1.7 S S 15.0 3.5 3 P160377 Energy Sector Support FY18 11/30 1.5 S S 35.0 2.5 4 P162337 West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience Invest FY18 8/31 1.2 S S 45.0 3.7 5 P158982 Trade and Logistic Services Competitivenes FY17 6/30 2.2 S MS 18.0 2.2 6 P118045 Agriculture Sector Support FY17 6/15 8.2 S MS 28.9 17.3 7 P157038 Safety Nets and Basic Services FY17 12/31 2.3 S MS 29.0 9.6 8 P157036 Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth FY17 12/31 2.3 S MS 15.0 2.2 9 P159040 Reg Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 2.3 MS MS 21.0 4.5 10 P126974 Africa Higher Education Centers of Excellence Project FY15 9/30 4.2 S S 8.0 5.6 11 P149277 Mining Governance and Dev Project FY16 12/31 3.7 MS MS 15.0 6.5 12 P146294 Global Partnership for Education FY15 9/30 4.5 MS S 27.8 26.1 13 P149942 REDD+ Readiness Preparation FY15 6/30 4 NA NA 3.8 3.5 14 P143843 Maternal and Child Health Nutrition FY14 10/31 5.4 MS S 14.0 12.0 15 P123093 West Africa Regional Communication Infrastructure Project WARCIP FY14 5/31 6.1 MS S 30.0 7.8 16 P122065 AF West Africa Agricultural Productivity Program APL (WAAPP-1C) FY12 12/31 7.3 S MS 10.0 6.2 Total Projects : 16 (11 National and 5 Regional) 3.3 345.5 115.8 21.6 43 FY P ID Project Name Board Closing Project DO IP Net Total Dis Average Approval Date Age Comm ($ ($ m) Project FY m) Size FY20 1 P161772 Infrastructure and Urban Development FY19 12/31 1 S S 30.0 2.7 2 P158078 Economic Governance FY18 10/31 2.7 S S 15.0 3.7 3 P160377 Energy Sector Support FY18 11/30 2.5 S S 35.0 5.7 4 P162337 West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience Invest FY18 8/31 2.3 S S 45.0 3.7 5 P158982 Trade and Logistic Services Competitivenes FY17 6/30 3.2 S MS 18.0 2.9 6 P157038 Safety Nets and Basic Services FY17 6/30 3.3 S MS 29.0 10.6 7 P157036 Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth FY17 6/30 3.3 S MS 15.0 5.7 8 P159040 Reg Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 4.3 MS MS 21.0 4.6 9 P126974 Africa Higher Education Centers of Excellence Project FY15 9/30 4.2 S S 8.0 5.6 10 P149277 Mining Governance and Dev Project FY16 12/31 4.7 MS MS 15.0 6.9 11 P123093 AF WARCIP FY20 10.0 12 P166135 Data for a Fact based Society (Regional) FY20 30.0 13 P169064 ACE FOR Development Impact 2 (Regional) FY20 18.0 14 P169594 ID4D WURI Phase II FY20 30.0 Total : 15 Projet (8 National and 7 Regional ) 3.1 319.0 52.1 22.8 FY21 1 P161772 Infrastructure and Urban Development FY19 12/31 2 S S 30.0 2.70 2 P158078 Economic Governance FY18 10/31 3.7 S S 15.0 3.70 3 P160377 Energy Sector Support FY18 11/30 3.5 S S 35.0 5.70 4 P162337 West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience Invest FY18 8/31 2.3 S S 45.0 3.70 5 P158982 Trade and Logistic Services Competitivenes FY17 6/30 4.2 S MS 18.0 2.90 6 P159040 Reg Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 4.3 MS MS 21.0 4.60 7 P157038 Safety Nets and Basic Services FY17 6/30 3.3 S MS 29.0 10.6 8 P157036 Employment Opportunities for Vulnerable Youth FY17 6/30 3.3 S MS 15.0 5.7 9 P149277 Mining Governance and Dev Project FY16 12/31 4.7 MS MS 15.0 6.9 10 P166135 Data for a Fact based Society (Regional) FY20 30.0 12 P169594 ID4D WURI Phase II (Regional) FY20 30.0 11 P164886 Health Strengthening System FY21 20.0 13 Education FY21 50.0 14 Lome-Ouagadougou-Niamey Corridors (Regional) FY21 75.0 15 Energy Access (Regional) FY21 60.0 Total Projects : 15 (9 National and 6 regional Projects) 3.5 488.0 46.5 32.5 FY22 1 P161772 Infrastructure and Urban Development FY19 12/31 2 S S 30.0 2.7 2 P158078 Economic Governance FY18 10/31 3.7 S S 15.0 3.7 3 P160377 Energy Sector Support FY18 11/30 3.5 S S 35.0 5.7 4 P162337 West Africa Coastal Areas Resilience Invest FY18 8/31 2.3 S S 45.0 3.7 5 P159040 Reg Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement FY17 8/31 4.3 MS MS 21.0 4.6 6 P166135 Data for a Fact based Society (Regional) FY20 30.0 7 P169594 ID4D WURI Phase II (Regional) FY20 30.0 8 P164886 Health Strengthening System FY21 20.0 9 e-Govenment + Private Sector Development FY22 70.0 10 Education FY21 50.0 11 Lome-Ouagadougou-Niamey Corridors (Regional) FY21 75.0 12 Energy Access (Regional) FY21 60.0 13 Agriculture Modernization FY22 150.0 Total Projects : 13 projects (7 nationals and 6 Regional) 3.2 631.0 20.4 48.5 44 Annex 8: World Bank Financing National (IDA) - US$ million FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Total Total under Status Delivered preparation Focus Area 1: Private Sector Performance and Job Creation Agricultural Sector 20 20 Implementation Support AF West Africa 10 10 Implementation Agricultural Productivity Program AF Trade and 18 18 Implementation Competitiveness Energy Sector Support 35 35 Implementation West Africa Regional 10 10 Preparation Communication Infrast AF Focus Area 2: Inclusive Public Service Delivery Safety nets and Basic 29 29 Implementation Services project Employment 15 15 Implementation Opportunities for Vuln Youth Regional Disease 7 7 Implementation Surveillance System Enhancement Infrastructure & Urban 30 30 Implementation Development ACE for Development 6 6 Preparation – Phase 2 WURI – Phase 2 10 10 Preparation Focus Area 3: Environmental sustainability and Resilience West Africa Coastal 15 15 Implementation Area Resilience Cross Cutting Theme: Governance Economic Governance 15 15 Implementation DPO 1 52 52 Closed DPO2 40 40 Implementation DPO New Series 150 150 Preparation Regional statistics 10 10 Preparation Development Total 99 117 70 206 286 206 45 Annex 9: World Bank Active Portfolio – ASA Proposed in the CPF (2017-2020) Actual (As of October 2019) Planned in the PLR (FY20- FY22) Focus Area 1: private Sector performance and Job creation Promoting PPS Not Done Tax Framework Study Tax Reform Study Medium-term debt management Long- and Medium-Term debt strategy management Land Policy Assessment Land Policy Study Financial Sector Assessment Financial Sector Evaluation Sources of Growth and Competitiveness Source of Core Growth & Competitiveness (Ongoing) – FY20 Digital Economy for Africa Country Diagnostic DE4A – FY20 Focus Area 2: Inclusive Public Service Delivery Post Basic and Vocational Education Dropped Assessment Impact of Energy Policy Reform Not Done Programmatic Poverty and Gender Not done Poverty assessment (including Assessment gender) – FY21 Identification and Targeting for Social ID management systems Supporting a Unified Social Services assessment registry (Ongoing) – FY20 Service Delivery Indicators Review of Governance and Strategic Water Diagnostic Decentralization Service Delivery (New) FY20 JSDF-Access to Basic Services Through Citizen Engagement Focus Area 3: Environmental Sustainability and Resilience West Africa Coastal Areas TA West Africa Coastal Areas TA Blue Economy Strategic Framework Blue Economy Strategy Policy Note TA for Blue Economy Policy Implementation Cross Cutting Themes – Governance Programmatic Public Expenditure Public Expenditures review review (new) – FY20 Economic updates (New) – FY20 Risk and Resilience Assessment – RRA- FY21 Systematic Country Diagnostic – SCD FY21 46 Annex 10: World Bank Active Financing (as of December 31st, 2019) Nr Project ID Project Name Loan/TF Approved Disbursed DO IP Approval Closing Date Amount (percent) Date (US$ million) National 1 P160377 Energy Sect IDA61680 35.0 21.9 S S 12/20/2017 11/30/2022 Support 2 P149277 Mining Dev IDA57350 15.0 49.5 MS MS 11/15/2015 12/31/2020 3 P118045 Agric Sect IDAH6640 28.90 77.0 S S 04/12/2011 06/15/2020 Support 4 P158982 Trade & IDA60310 18.0 22.4 MU MU 05/04/2017 06/30/2022 Compet 5 P158078 Economic IDAD2340 15.0 33.2 S S 10/03/2017 10/31/2022 Gov 6 P157036 Vuln Youth IDAD1730 15.0 45.2 MS MS 03/21/2017 12/31/2020 Employment 7 P157038 Safety Nets IDAD1740 29.0 50.1 MS MS 03/21/2017 12/31/2020 8 P161772 Infrast & IDA62980 30.0 12.0 MS MS 07/17/2018 12/31/2023 Urban Dev 9 P169867 First DPF IDAD5420 150 100 12/16/2019 12/31/2020 2019 IDA65220 Trust Funds 10 P149942 REDD+ TF A8880 2.9 11.9 10/23/2018 06/30/2020 Regional 11 P169064 Second ACE IDA65120 12.0 0.0 11/26/2019 06/30/2024 Dev Impact P169064 Second ACE IDAD5360 6.0 0.0 11/26/2019 06/30/2024 Dev Impact 12 P162337 WACA IDA62130 30.0 8.3 S MS 04/09/2018 12/31/2023 P162337 WACA IDAD2860 15.0 5.4 S MS 04/09/2018 12/31/2023 13 P159040 REDISSE IDA59670 14.0 25.6 MS MS 03/01/2017 08/31/2023 P159040 REDISSE IDAD1700 7.0 25.1 MS MS 03/01/2017 08/31/2023 14 P122065 WAAPP-1C IDA59550 10.0 90.7 S MS 02/03/2017 12/31/2019 15 P126974 ACE IDA54240 8.0 83.0 S S 04/15/2014 03/31/2020 16 P123093 WARCIP IDA52530 30.0 30.1 MS MS 05/30/2013 05/31/2020 IDA $467.9 million TRUST FUNDS $2.9 million 47 Annex 11: IFC Investment Portfolio ($US million, as of December 31st 2019) Committed Client Sector Description Amt ($m) INFRASTRUCTURE Lomé Container State-of-the-art transshipment container handling terminal at the Port 104 Terminal I port of Lomé. Lomé Container Terminal I Port As above. Mobilization from 5 lenders. 160 Mobilization Lomé Container Port Expansion of container terminal. 11 Terminal II Contour Global Power Equity investment to support regional power producer. 14 Togo IPP Sub-total 289 MANUFACTURING, AGRIBUSINESS & SERVICES Clinique Biasa Health Modern clinic. Equity through a fund. 1 Sub-total 1 FINANCIAL MARKETS Banque RSF Risk sharing facility to support SMEs. 6 Atlantique Bank of Africa RSF Risk sharing facility to support SMEs. 5 Ecobank Togo RSF Risk sharing facility to support SMEs. 4 Part of IFC and AMC’s $150m Tier II capital investment in Ecobank *Ecobank Togo Equity 7 Transnational. Orabank Togo Trade Trade line which supported ~50m of trade. 8 OraGroup Equity Equity through a fund. 6 *Caisse Régionale de Part of US$52 million package for mortgage refinancing for 8 Equity ~3 Réfinancement countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union. Hypothecaire Investisseurs et US$7.5 million financing for PE fund focused on SME development Equity ~1 Partenaires in West Africa, including Togo Sub-total 40 Total 330 48 Annex 12: IFC Advisory Services Amt Expected Project Name Project Description Status ($m) End Date Support the improvement in the flow of commercial goods both within the West African *West Africa region and with international trading partners Trade ~3 Active FY20 through trade facilitation measures. (Note: Logistics replaced Togo Trade Facilitation Project (terminated in 2018)) Assessment of the broadband market in Togo, namely, current market analysis, competitive environment and regulatory considerations to Togo Digital understand the dynamics of the sector and 0.03 Active FY20 Infrastructure identify the gaps, infrastructure and regulatory wise, that should be addressed to improve broadband access/penetration in the country. Support Government on the implementation of key Doing Business reforms, including decreasing time and cost for construction permitting; training of national and local officials on new decrees and regulations; increasing the efficiency of administrative procedures for registering Investment property and managing property-related 1 Active FY21 Climate Togo information; decreasing time and cost for enforcing contracts; increasing the quality of service provided by, and encouraging users to register their businesses with the Centre de Formalite des Entreprises (CFE); and supporting knowledge sharing of experiences within WAEMU. Implementation a “one stop shop” program to help Government mobilize privately-funded grid- connected solar projects at competitive tariffs that can be operational within two years of Scaling Solar engaging the IFC team. Program will bring 2.5 Active FY22 together several World Bank Group services under a single engagement, delivered as a simple package to ensure speed, certainty and low tariffs. Capacity building to promising SMEs to help *Local them attain a standard that would allow Champions 0.1 Active FY22 investment from IFC and other financial Project institutions/ Total 6.63 *Regional projects 49 Annex 13: Country Map 50