The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Morocco | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Global Practice | Requesting Unit: MNC01 | Responsible Unit: SMNUR IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Augustin Maria, Antoine Bavandi Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 08-Aug-2019 | ISR37634 | Created by: Karima Ben Bih on 11-Jun-2019 | Modified by: Philipp Stefan Petermann on 06-Aug-2019 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The program development objective (PDO) is to improve the institutional framework to finance disaster risk reduction activities and strengthen financial resilience to natural disasters for targeted populations in the Program Area. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions A Mid-Term Review (MTR) was carried out in June 2019. The MTR confirmed that, despite some delays, the Program is on track to achieve all results before the Program's closing date on December 31, 2021. It also confirmed that the Project Development Objective remains relevant and achievable. The implementation of the operation is advancing well. In all three sub-programs of the Program, significant progress is being made, including in terms of advancing institutional reforms to improve the effectiveness of Morocco’s risk management architecture through the development of a national disaster risk management strategy (expected to be adopted in the second half of 2019), reforming Morocco’s Fonds de Lutte contre les Effets des Catastrophes Naturelles (FLCN), and implementing a comprehensive disaster risk insurance and finance program. Four successful calls for proposals for risk reduction and prevention projects co-financed by the FLCN have been launched since the beginning of the operation and significant FLCN funding continues to be allocated in this regard. Furthermore, implementation decrees have been approved to support the implementation of the disaster risk insurance law n°110-14, and a comprehensive financing strategy for the Fonds de Solidarité contre les Evénements Catastrophiques (FSEC) is being prepared. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 133.13 66.87 67% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective 20-Apr-2016 26-Jul-2016 16-Nov-2016 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2021 8/8/2019 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Program Action Plan Action Description Develop an M&E system for the management of the FLCN. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-Nov-2017 In Progress Completion An M&E system for the FLCN is created. Measurement M&E system developed and trainings with project sponsors organized. System operationalization expected for end of Comments 2019. Create an interactive website of the FLCN that (i) provides public access to information, (ii) handles grievances, and Action Description (iii) reports on the M&E system. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-May-2018 In Progress Completion The interactive website of the FLCN is created. Measurement While the website is online, some functionalities still need further development, such as ensuring that the M&E Comments system is fully automated. This step is expected for end of 2019. Include in the FA between MoI/MEF and the implementing agencies of eligible subproject of the FLCN, provisions to Action Description make available technical, environmental, social and fiduciary expertise. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Other Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion The FA included provision for adequate capacity of FLCN subproject proposals. Measurement Comments FAs reviewed and provisions have been included. Action Description Prepare and implement a capacity building plan including on technical, social, environmental and fiduciary aspects. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Submission and implementation of annual capacity building plan to strengthen implementation agencies. Measurement Comments FLCN Secretariat submitted the yearly plan for CY2019. 8/8/2019 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Action Description Prepare and implement an action plan for technical and fiduciary audit recommendations made by auditors. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Recommendations made by technical and fiduciary auditors are implemented. Measurement Comments Recommendations of audit report are currently being implemented. Develop probabilistic catastrophe risk models for (i) evaluation and assessment of risks (MoI), and (ii) catastrophic Action Description risk insurance program as per the draft law (MEF/ACAPS). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-Nov-2020 Not Yet Due Completion The catastrophic risk modeling tools are developed within 36 months and operational within 48 months after the Measurement Effective Date of the Loan Agreement. Catastrophe risk models have been developed, and are already operational. These include hazard mapping, Comments vulnerability models and financial loss/impact evaluation tools. Action Description Develop GRM for the FLCN at the national (website of the FLCN) and local levels. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Due Date 16-May-2018 Completed Systems Completion GRM are in place. Measurement Comments GRM system operational at local and national (FLCN website) levels. Prepare simplified technical guides for FLCN subprojects on: (i) Environmental and Social Management, incl. on Action Description public consultations and resettlement; and (ii) GRM. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Due Date 16-May-2018 Completed Systems Completion Technical guides finalized. Measurement Technical guide for citizen engagement (including public consultations and GRM) as well as environmental and social Comments safeguards have been prepared and distributed. Action Description Alignment with the triennial budget programming updated on a yearly basis for the CAS-FLCN. 8/8/2019 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 01-Jan-2019 In Progress Completion CAS-FLCN amended for the 2019 budget. Measurement Comments Ongoing discussions. Action Description Include in the FA between MoI and project proponents of timeline for project implementation. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion The FA included implementation timelines. Measurement Comments FA reviewed. FAs include implementation timelines. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Substantial Substantial Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 8/8/2019 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) PDO Indicators IN00716744 ►The FLCN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes provisions regarding the The Steering establishment of the committee, the Steering Committee,and National Selection the inclusion of local Commission, the The Steering The FLCN focuses mainly governments Secretariat, and the committee, the National on post disaster event risk (collectivités territoriales) FLCN website are Selection Commission, Value response outside the among the beneficiaries maintained. the Secretariat and the context of a larger DRM of FLCN financing; and FLCN website are strategy. (ii) circulars (Circulaires) A national integrated maintained. regarding the natural DRM strategy establishment of the is adopted by the National Selection Steering Committee. Commission and the Secretariat have been issued by MoI. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). IN00716745 ►Cumulative number of beneficiaries from eligible risk reduction subprojects (% women) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1,338.00 40,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 As anticipated in the PAD, the MTR discussed the revision of PDO Indicator 2. The indicator will be revised to (i) better distinguish between direct and indirect beneficiaries, and (ii) include more realistic results targets Comments based on updated projection regarding the current implementation progress of subprojects. IN00716756 ►Minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injury against catastrophic events (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,850,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00716757 ►Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The implementation legal The implementation FSEC received initial documents referred to in legal documents Value - financial contributions Article 71 of the draft referred to in Article 71 as per the provisions catastrophic risk of the draft catastrophic 8/8/2019 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) insurance law regarding risk insurance law of the catastrophic risk the establishment of the regarding the insurance law. FSEC are prepared by establishment of the the MEF and ACAPS. FSEC are adopted by the Government. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Promoting Institutional Reform and Capacity Building IN00716758 ►Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 62.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00716761 ►Improved risk assessment models developed and operational (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Probabilistic cat risk models for i) evaluation and assessment (MoI), and Value No - - ii) catastrophe risk insurance program as per the draft law (MEF) are operational. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Comments Scaling-Up Disaster Risk Reduction Activities IN00716759 ►Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 310,000,000.00 667,670,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00716762 ►Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible non-structural subprojects (Percentage, Custom) 8/8/2019 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.00 43.50 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00716763 ►Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entities responsible for implementation and partners (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55.00 62.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00716764 ►Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 not expected to be fully achieved; pending validation through IVA. Comments Improving Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance IN00716760 ►Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The draft catastrophic The draft catastrophic risk insurance law is risk insurance law is The implementation transmitted to the transmitted to the legal documents Parliament, and the Parliament, and the referred to in Article 71 implementation legal implementation legal of the draft documents referred to in documents referred to catastrophic risk Article 71 of the draft in Article 71 of the draft Value - insurance law and catastrophic risk catastrophic risk providing for the insurance law and insurance law and effectiveness of the providing for the providing for the insurance scheme, are effectiveness of the effectiveness of the adopted by the insurance scheme, are insurance scheme, are Government. prepared by the MEF and prepared by the MEF ACAPS. and ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2018 Implementation decrees are expected to be adopted by January 1, 2020 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE 8/8/2019 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►DLI 1 1-The FCLN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Process, 35.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes provisions regarding the establishment of the Steering Committee,and the inclusion of local The Steering governments committee, the (collectivités territoriales) National Selection among the beneficiaries Commission, the of FLCN financing; and Secretariat, and the The FLCN focuses mainly The Steering committee, (ii) circulars (Circulaires) FLCN website are on post disaster event risk the National Selection regarding the maintained. Value response outside the Commission, the establishment of the context of a larger DRM Secretariat, and the FLCN National Selection A national strategy website are maintained. Commission and the integrated natural Secretariat have been DRM strategy is issued by MoI. An adopted by the interactive FLCN website Steering Committee. that provides public access to information, handles grievances, and reports on the M&E system, has been created. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). ►DLI 2 2-Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects. (Output, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 310,000,000.00 667,670,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). ►DLI 3 3-Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible non-structural subprojects (Output, 8.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 47.00 43.50 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments 8/8/2019 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►DLI 4 4-Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entitites responsible for implementation and their parteners. (Process, 22.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 55.00 62.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 5 5-Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets. (Output, 39.97, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 not expected to be fully achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 6 6-Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training. (Intermediate Outcome, 10.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 76.00 62.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 7 7-Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework and minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injuries against catastrophic events (Outcome, 34.50, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 The draft catastrophic risk The draft catastrophic insurance law is risk insurance law is transmitted to the transmitted by the Parliament, and the General Secretary of the implementation legal Government documents referred to in (Secrétariat Général du Value - Article 71 of the draft 5.85 million Gouvernement) to the catastrophic risk insurance relevant Ministries, and is law and providing for the adopted by the effectiveness of the Government Cabinet insurance scheme, are (Conseil du prepared by MEF and Gouvernement) ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- Comments CY2018 target is expected to be achieved by Law 110-14 implementation (currently scheduled for January 1, 2020). 8/8/2019 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►DLI 8 8-Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Outcome, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 The implementation legal The implementation legal documents referred to in documents referred to in Article 71 of the draft Article 71 of the draft catastrophic risk catastrophic risk insurance Value - - insurance law regarding law regarding the the establishment of the establishment of the FSEC are prepared by FSEC are adopted by the the MEF and ACAPS Government Date 20-Apr-2016 18-Jan-2019 21-Jun-2019 -- CY2018 target achieved with delay, verified by IVA. Comments 8/8/2019 Page 10 of 10