Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) AFRICA | Kenya | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2009 | Seq No: 17 | ARCHIVED on 21-Jun-2017 | ISR28380 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of East African Community,Labour and Social Protection, Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Republic of Kenya, UK Department of International Development (DfiD)British High Commission, United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:31-Mar-2009 Effectiveness Date:03-Jul-2009 Planned Mid Term Review Date:30-Mar-2012 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:12-Mar-2012 Original Closing Date:31-Dec-2013 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2016 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To increase social safety net access for extremely poor OVC households and to build the capacity of the government to more effectively deliver the National Safety Net Program. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Policy Development and Institutional Strengthening:(Cost $15.20 M) Program Implementation in Selected Sub-Counties:(Cost $51.20 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions 6/21/2017 Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) The Government of Kenya has continued to make important progress in the implementation of the Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (CT-OVC) Program, including commitment of taking over the financing of the remaining CT-OVC households which are currently funded by the UK Department for International Development (DfID). This means that from around October 2017, cash transfer to beneficiaries under the CT-OVC program will be fully financed by the Government. This is an important achievement and key indication of strong commitment and ownership by the Government to the National Safety Net Program as a whole and to the CT-OVC program more specifically. The Government has also further strengthened program delivery and managed to make transfer payments to beneficiaries on time for three consecutive cycles. Moreover, the Government has progressed with the consolidation of the three of the four cash transfer programs under the National Safety Net Program (CT-OVC, Older Person’s Cash Transfer and Cash Transfer for People with Severe Disabilities) under the recently established Social Assistance Unit (SAU) in the Ministry of East African Community, Labour and Social Protection (MEACL&SP). The SAU has succeeded in establishing, setting up, and staffing of the SAU; drafting a consolidated operations manual for all three SAU programs, preparing consolidated work plans, budget, performance targets, as well as a communication strategy. SAU has also made progress in developing the design for a consolidated program management information system and harmonized the transfer and monitoring of payments. Lastly, the MEACL&SP has begun to address the fiduciary challenges of the program and prepared an FM action plan, including critical FM actions to strengthen the fiduciary system of the program. Continued attention and efforts will be needed to ensure that the program continues to make payments of the cash transfer on time. Close monitoring of the FM action plan will also be needed. Further technical assistance will also be needed to support: (i) the finalization of the harmonized targeting tool for all programs under the National Safety Net Program; (ii) the implementation of the consolidated management information system; and (iii) the preparation of a beneficiary outreach strategy and implementation of the existing communication strategy to increase awareness of the program. The Government has also decided to discontinue the CT-OVC Co-Responsibilities Pilot which formed part of the CT-OVC program. This decision was made due to operational challenges, but households will still be encouraged to send their children to school and ensure immunization and attendance of regular health check-ups for young children. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Substantial  Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators 6/21/2017 Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) PHINDPDOTBL  Additional number of OVC beneficiary households receiving cash transfers (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30,000.00 255,000.00 350,702 365,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 30-Jun-2016 13-Jun-2017 30-Dec-2018 PHINDPDOTBL  Percent of all NSNP payments disbursed to payment service providers on time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 26.00 12.00 87.00 70.00 Date 30-Oct-2013 30-Jun-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 PHINDPDOTBL  Percent of NSNP Beneficiaries who conform to the program targeting criteria (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 0.00 60.80 85.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 29-Jul-2016 29-Jul-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments This indicator has proven difficult to measure due to three key reasons: (i) the massive expansion of the NSNP took place before the baseline survey of the Program Implementation and Beneficiary Satisfaction Survey (PIBS) (the survey measuring the indicator) was conducted; (ii) the conformity to targeting criteria measured by the PIBS baseline proved much higher than contemplated originally and significant improvements are therefore not expected since Government has not confirmed funding for any other massive nationwide expansion during the life of the Program. The second PIBS survey will still attempt to measure something around targeting conformity, but it will not be completely comparable with the baseline and the end target of 85 percent is very unlikely to be achieved. PHINDPDOTBL  Proportion of OVC in beneficiary households aged 6-17 years who have completed or are enrolled in basic education (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 78.00 No data No data 95.00 6/21/2017 Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Date 27-Feb-2009 29-Jul-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments The end-line survey for the CT-OVC impact evaluation has been delayed. The Ministry has however finalized engagement of a new firm to undertake the end-line, expected to be finalized by June, 2018. PHINDPDOTBL  Project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 150,000.00 1,275,000.00 1,754,000.00 1,825,000.00 Date 08-Oct-2009 30-Jun-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 PHINDPDOTBL  of which female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000.00 6,375,000.00 876,750.00 912,500.00 Date 08-Oct-2009 30-Jun-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Overall Comments The previous number on female beneficiaries was erroneously inserted as 6,375,000. It should have been 637,500 instead. Also, the numbers for female beneficiaries are estimates. Overall for the program 79% of the head of the household or caregiver for the CT-OVC program are female. Intermediate Results Indicators 6/21/2017 Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) PHINDIRITBL  Social Protection strategy and policy framework established (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Social Social Protection strategy Protection Value Not yet Not yet in draft form Strategy adopted Date 31-Mar-2009 29-Jul-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments The State Department for Social Protection is in the process of preparing a new social protection strategy, expected to be finalized in 2018. PHINDIRITBL  Percentage of NSNP beneficiaries who know program objectives and entitlements (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 37.00 No data 55.90 60.00 Date 28-Feb-2013 29-Jul-2016 29-Jul-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments The first PIBS survey has been finalized and confirmed that 55.9 percent of beneficiaries know program objectives and entitlements. PHINDIRITBL  Percent of NSNP progress reports produced by the MIS, according to agreed reporting standards (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N/A 0.00 100.00 100.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 29-Jul-2016 29-Jul-2016 31-Dec-2018 6/21/2017 Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) PHINDIRITBL  Proportion of OVC living in beneficiary households 0-17 years holding birth certificates (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 No data 40.00 60.00 Date 27-Feb-2009 29-Jul-2016 29-Jul-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments The CT-OVC IE baseline established that 40 percent of OVC held birth certificates. End-line survey is expected to be finalized in 2018. Original estimated baseline was 19 percent, but due to the higher than expected baseline, the new target is now 60 percent (instead of the previous 30 percent) PHINDIRITBL  Proportion of OVC in beneficiary households aged 0-5 years fully immunized (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 51.40 No data 51.40 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 29-Jul-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments Baseline for CT-OVC IE was lower than expected (original baseline was 66 percent), but target remains the same. PHINDIRITBL  Percent of NSNP beneficiaries for whom payments are made electronically through payment services providers using two factor authentication (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 100.00 87.00 75.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 29-Jul-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments CT-OVC had 75% of households paid electronically using 2 factor authentication, with 25% using one factor authentication. This 25% of households paid with one factor authentication are part of the upscale households enrolled and paid in October 2016. In future they are however expected to be paid using two-factor authentication. 6/21/2017 Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) PHINDIRITBL  Percent of NSNP beneficiaries who can name two means of making a complaint (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 8.80 8.80 8.80 47.00 Date 31-May-2013 30-May-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments The baseline for this indicator was much lower than expected (original baseline was 15 percent, but actual baseline was 8.8 percent. The second PIBS survey is not yet ready, but expected to be finalized early 2018. The end target of 47 percent is however unlikely to be achieved with the baseline being so low. PHINDIRITBL  Percent of OVC payments disbursed to payment service providers on time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 12.00 33.00 87.00 70.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Jun-2016 13-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments The end target was revised to 70 percent and the Ministry just achieved 87 percent of payments made on time. Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P111545 IDA-45530 Closed USD 50.00 48.55 1.45 49.24 0.00 101% P111545 IDA-53120 Closed USD 10.00 9.95 0.05 9.40 0.00 94% P111545 TF-97272 Effective USD 79.28 79.28 0.00 67.81 11.47 86% 6/21/2017 Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P111545 IDA-45530 Closed 31-Mar-2009 08-May-2009 03-Jul-2009 31-Dec-2013 31-Dec-2015 P111545 IDA-53120 Closed 31-Oct-2013 05-Dec-2013 04-Mar-2014 31-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2016 P111545 TF-97272 Effective 08-Jul-2010 20-Jul-2010 20-Jul-2010 31-Dec-2013 31-Oct-2018 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 01-Nov-2016 Related Project(s) P146161-Additional Financing for Cash Transfers for Orphans and Vulnerable Children 6/21/2017 Page 8 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy