Review and evaluation of historic electricity forecasting experience (1960-1985) (English)

This study focuses on load forecasts as a source of planning uncertainty by identifying the nature and extent of forecast inaccuracy per se rather than by analysis of the causes of uncertainty. It evaluates the historic performance record of electricity sales forecasts in World Bank member countries, based on over 200 separate forecasts (1600 annual) from 45 countries over the period 1960 - 1985. A comparative evaluation of US forecasting experience...
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Sanghvi,Arun P.; Vernstrom,Robert; Besant-Jones,John E..

Review and evaluation of historic electricity forecasting experience (1960-1985) (English). Industry and Energy Department working paper. Energy series paper ; no. 18 Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/190731468767088706

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