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The Potential Impact of COVID-19 on GDP and Trade : A Preliminary Assessment (English)

The virus that triggered a localized shock in China is now delivering a significant global shock. This study simulates the potential impact of COVID-19 on gross domestic product and trade, using a standard global computable general equilibrium model. It models the shock as underutilization of labor and capital, an increase in international trade costs, a drop in travel services, and a redirection of demand away from activities that require proximity...
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Maliszewska,Maryla; Mattoo,Aaditya; Van Der Mensbrugghe,Dominique.

The Potential Impact of COVID-19 on GDP and Trade : A Preliminary Assessment (English). COVID-19 (Coronavirus)|Policy Research working paper|no. WPS 9211 Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/295991586526445673

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