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The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy (English)

This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the "Arab Spring." The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia's economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring.


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    Matta,Samer Naji, Appleton,Simon Mark, Bleaney,Michael Francis

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    Policy Research Working Paper

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    Middle East and North Africa,

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    The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy

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Matta,Samer Naji Appleton,Simon Mark Bleaney,Michael Francis

The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy (English). Policy Research working paper,no. WPS 7856 Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group.