Skip to Main Navigation

Energy demand in the developing countries : prospects for the future (English)

In recent years, energy consumption has increased rapidly in the developing countries. Their share in global energy consumption (outside of the USSR and Eastern Europe) has increased from 20 percent in 1970 to 33 percent in 1988. It is anticipated that these energy consumption trends will continue. Given their growing role in the global energy markets, the main motivation of this study was to highlight the key factors that have contributed to the historical increases in energy consumption in the developing countries as well as to project the changes likely to occur in the future. The results of the study indicate that increased levels of motor vehicle use and urbanization are the main factors contributing to increases in energy consumption in the developing countries. These factors, as well as rising incomes and shifts away from the use of traditional fuels, will continue to support increases in commercial energy use over the long term. As a result of fuel substitution, the pattern of fuel use will change during the 1990s. Gas is likely to become a more popular fuel, encouraged by changes in pricing and exploration. The share of coal in total primary energy is expected to fall significantly. Hydro use and oil consumption are expected to more than double by the year 2010. It is estimated that the total energy savings, due to improved efficiency and substitution, will be on the order of 23 percent of total energy use and 33 percent of oil use by the year 2010.

Details

  • Author

    Imran, Mudassar Barnes, Philip

  • Document Date

    1990/08/31

  • Document Type

    Commodity Working Paper

  • Report Number

    SCP23

  • Volume No

    1

  • Total Volume(s)

    1

  • Disclosure Date

    2010/07/12

  • Disclosure Status

    Disclosed

  • Doc Name

    Energy demand in the developing countries : prospects for the future

  • Keywords

    level of car ownership;increase in energy consumption;per capita income level;growth in coal consumption;improvement in fuel efficiency;efficiency of energy use;early stage of development;vehicle ownership per capita;motor vehicle manufacturers association;low per capita income;growth in energy use;total energy consumption;commercial energy use;energy consumption growth;total energy use;energy need;traditional fuel use;rate of growth;global energy market;consumption of energy;centrally planned economy;final energy demand;level of motorization;global energy consumption;rural electrification scheme;source of energy;commercial energy intensity;international oil price;household energy consumption;Electricity;poor road condition;level of consumption;price of energy;per capita basis;average energy intensity;degree of confidence;high fuel consumption;total vehicle fleet;growth in trade;consumption of fuel;road transport market;poor fuel quality;ethanol from sugarcane;movement of good;market for energy;oil demand growth;commercial energy consumption;amount of oil;natural gas grid;foreign exchange control;private car ownership;consumption per household;high oil price;primary energy consumption;energy pricing policy;energy savings potential;factor of production;development of technology;efficient energy use;barrel of oil;change in policies;Access to Electricity;form of electricity;availability of fuel;proportion of income;reduction in subsidies;manufacturing work force;electricity and gas;consumption per capita;gas and electricity;balance of payment;high energy consumption;demand for energy;supply of energy;middle-income developing countries;energy intensities;space heating;oil consumption;industrial country;household income;efficient fuels;road vehicle;air travel;fuel mix;vehicle population;fuel substitution;sectoral analysis;environmental concern;water heating;Learning and Innovation Credit;oil product;household use;industrial sector;diesel use;household formation;increased income;commercial fuel;urban household;rural area;energy source;efficiency improvement;Public Transport;iron ore;Industrialized countries;car industry;agricultural waste;energy policies;increasing share;commercial sector;government plan;exploration policy;Gas Distribution;local pollution;cottage industry;consumption increase;analytical techniques;oil import;econometric model;gas system;oil need;average consumption;heavy industry;international standard;grid system;Power Generation;electricity connection;Global Warming;air traffic;international initiative;future demand;air conditioner;private initiative;industrial plant;gas resource;diesel prices;alcohol production;car sale;coal use;extensive use;hydro construction;capital shortage;household equipment;environmental problem;generating capacity;Natural Resources;fuel conservation;low-income family;technological improvement;energy-intensive manufacturing;oil reserve;oil importer;supply response;illegal export;price policy;energy input;country survey;high-technology industry;industry structure;Price Subsidies;production technique;heavy reliance;taxation policy;fuel price;market force;paved road;electric appliance;single market;steam coal;sugar industry;urban population;efficient stove;irrigation pump;crop drying;absolute amount;smaller households;farm vehicle;poor household;total fuel;manufacturing process;modest increase;domestic sources;construction industry;gas source;ammonia plant;efficiency gain;industrial activity;primary commodity;rural income;small-scale enterprise;severe problems;efficient equipment;oil industry;supply shortages;industrial purpose;increasing growth;total consumption;gas demand;future trends;labor-intensive agricultural;domestic demand;high-income household;income rise;national income;future consumption;modern life;rural ones;industrial material;economic research;northern hemisphere;slum area;government building;copyright notice;energy development;car manufacturing;international transfer

Downloads

COMPLETE REPORT

Official version of document (may contain signatures, etc)

  • Official PDF
  • TXT*
  • Total Downloads** :
  • Download Stats
  • *The text version is uncorrected OCR text and is included solely to benefit users with slow connectivity.

Citation

Imran, Mudassar Barnes, Philip

Energy demand in the developing countries : prospects for the future (English). World Bank staff commodity paper ; no. SCP 23 Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/643201468183866423/Energy-demand-in-the-developing-countries-prospects-for-the-future