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Updating poverty estimates at frequent intervals in the absence of consumption data : methods and illustration with reference to a middle-income country (English)

Obtaining consistent estimates on poverty over time as well as monitoring poverty trends on a timely basis is a priority concern for policy makers. However, these objectives are not readily achieved in practice when household consumption data are neither frequently collected, nor constructed using consistent and transparent criteria. This paper develops a formal framework for survey-to-survey poverty imputation in an attempt to overcome these obstacles, and to elevate the discussion of these methods beyond the largely ad-hoc efforts in the existing literature. The framework introduced here imposes few restrictive assumptions, works with simple variance formulas, provides guidance on the selection of control variables for model building, and can be generally applied to imputation either from one survey to another survey with the same design, or to another survey with a different design. Empirical results analyzing the Household Expenditure and Income Survey and the Unemployment and Employment Survey in Jordan are quite encouraging, with imputation-based poverty estimates closely tracking the direct estimates of poverty.

Details

  • Author

    Dang,Hai-Anh H., Lanjouw,Peter F., Serajuddin,Umar

  • Document Date

    2014/09/01

  • Document Type

    Policy Research Working Paper

  • Report Number

    WPS7043

  • Volume No

    1

  • Total Volume(s)

    1

  • Country

    Jordan,

    World,

  • Region

    Middle East and North Africa,

  • Disclosure Date

    2014/09/01

  • Disclosure Status

    Disclosed

  • Doc Name

    Updating poverty estimates at frequent intervals in the absence of consumption data : methods and illustration with reference to a middle-income country

  • Keywords

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Citation

Dang,Hai-Anh H. Lanjouw,Peter F. Serajuddin,Umar

Updating poverty estimates at frequent intervals in the absence of consumption data : methods and illustration with reference to a middle-income country (English). Policy Research working paper,no. WPS 7043,Paper is funded by the Strategic Research Program (SRP),LSMS Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/885871468038932722/Updating-poverty-estimates-at-frequent-intervals-in-the-absence-of-consumption-data-methods-and-illustration-with-reference-to-a-middle-income-country