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Overconfident : How Economic and Health Fault Lines Left the Middle East and North Africa Ill-Prepared to Face COVID-19 (English)

This report examines the region’s economic prospects in 2021, forecasting that the recovery will be both tenuous and uneven as per capita GDP level stays below pre-pandemic levels. COVID-19 was a stress-test for the region’s public health systems, which were already overwhelmed even before the pandemic. Indeed, a decade of lackluster economic reforms left a legacy of large public sectors and high public debt that effectively crowded out investments in social services such as public health. This edition points out that the region’s health systems were not only ill-prepared for the pandemic, but suffered from over-confidence, as authorities painted an overly optimistic picture in self-assessments of health system preparedness. Going forward, governments must improve data transparency for public health and undertake reforms to remedy historical underinvestment in public health systems.

Details

  • Author

    Gatti,Roberta V., Lederman,Daniel, Fan,Yuting, Hatefi,Arian, Nguyen, Ha, Sautmann,Anja, Sax,Joseph Martin, Wood,Christina A.

  • Document Date

    2021/10/01

  • Document Type

    Publication

  • Report Number

    164920

  • Volume No

    1

  • Total Volume(s)

    1

  • Country

    Middle East and North Africa,

  • Region

    Middle East and North Africa,

  • Disclosure Date

    2022/03/07

  • Disclosure Status

    Disclosed

  • Doc Name

    Overconfident : How Economic and Health Fault Lines Left the Middle East and North Africa Ill-Prepared to Face COVID-19

  • Keywords

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Citation

Gatti,Roberta V. Lederman,Daniel Fan,Yuting Hatefi,Arian Nguyen, Ha Sautmann,Anja Sax,Joseph Martin Wood,Christina A.

Overconfident : How Economic and Health Fault Lines Left the Middle East and North Africa Ill-Prepared to Face COVID-19 (English). MENA Economic Update, October 2021 Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/890331633670289901/Overconfident-How-Economic-and-Health-Fault-Lines-Left-the-Middle-East-and-North-Africa-Ill-Prepared-to-Face-COVID-19