Afghanistan will experience a major security and development transition over the next three years. At the Kabul and Lisbon Conferences in 2010, the North Atlantic treaty organization and the Afghan government agreed that full responsibility for security would be handed over to the Afghan National Security Forces by the end of 2014. The country now faces the prospects of a drawdown of most international military forces over the coming several years, and an expected accompanying decline in civilian aid as international attention shifts elsewhere and aid budgets in many organization for economic cooperation and development countries come under increasing fiscal pressure. The decline in external assistance will have widespread ramifications for Afghanistan's political and economic landscape well beyond 2014. Ensuring the delivery of services to the Afghan people requires delegating more responsibilities to the provincial level. Only a tiny fraction of the Operation and Maintenance (O&M) budget gets outside the line ministries in Kabul. An important priority moving forward will be enhancing the capacity of provincial offices to participate in budget formulation and key spending ministries to execute their budgets subnationally. Without this, the government may find absorbing a greater proportion of aid on budget and delivering results to its people difficult.
Detalhes
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Autor
Beath,Andrew, Byrd,William, Hogg,Richard Spencer, Nassif,Claudia, Gomez Osorio,Camilo
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Data do documento
2013/02/28
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TIpo de documento
Publicação
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No. do relatório
75848
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Nº do volume
1
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Total Volume(s)
1
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País
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Região
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Data de divulgação
2013/03/06
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Disclosure Status
Disclosed
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Nome do documento
Afghanistan in transition : looking beyond 2014
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Palavras-chave
hipc initiative;average per capita income;public financial management system;per capita food consumption;total factor productivity growth;domestic revenue;aid per capita;international military force;value added tax;gross national income;international donor community;real estate market;civil service capacity;responsibility for security;total government spending;general equilibrium model;civilian wage bill;household survey data;government wage bill;bilateral development agencies;effect of aid;wages and salary;privileges and immunity;senior civil service;foreign direct investment;civil service pay;agricultural productivity increase;security and development;Rule of Law;real estate price;national power utility;security cost;gradual decline;aid inflow;aid effectiveness;real gdp;investment climate;political stability;security spending;
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