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Philippines - Climate analysis and technical assistance for climate modelling (Inglês)

The technical assistance outlined in this report, in parallel with activities undertaken by the Government of the Philippines (GoP), seeks to support the PhilCCAP preparation program by engaging in a risk analysis under current hazard conditions, as well as supporting the generation of future climate scenarios. The work presented in this report results from a scoping study to assess the potential for relating rice-specific climate hazards to rice production. This report details a set of indicators (using standard meteorological measurements) that describe hydro-meteorological hazards that can be related to direct impacts on rice production. The primary objectives of this report are to develop a set of agro-meteorological indicators to quantify and assess the potential impacts of climate hazards on rice production in Region II; calculate trends in these indicators for the period of available data; and develop an approach for generating climate change scenarios relevant for rice production in particular and the water cycle in general. The remainder of this report details the data, models and methods used to achieve these objectives.

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