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Adult mortality and consumption growth in the age of HIV/AIDS (Inglês)

The authors use a 13-year panel of individuals in Tanzania to assess how adult mortality shocks affect both short and long-run consumption growth of surviving household members. Using unique data which tracks individuals from 1991 to 2004, they examine consumption growth, controlling for a set of initial community, household and individual characteristics. The effect is identified using the sample of households in 2004 which grew out of baseline households. The authors find robust evidence that an affected household will see consumption drop 7 percent within the first five years after the adult death. With high growth in the sample over this time period, this creates a 19 percentage point growth gap with the average household. There is some evidence of persistent effects of these shocks for up to 13 years, but these effects are imprecisely estimated and not significantly different from zero. The impact of female adult death is found to be particularly severe.

Detalhes

  • Autor

    Beegle, Kathleen, De Weerdt, Joachim, Dercon, Stefan

  • Data do documento

    2006/12/01

  • TIpo de documento

    Documento de trabalho sobre pesquisa de políticas

  • No. do relatório

    WPS4082

  • Nº do volume

    1

  • Total Volume(s)

    1

  • País

    Tanzânia,

  • Região

    África,

  • Data de divulgação

    2010/07/01

  • Disclosure Status

    Disclosed

  • Nome do documento

    Adult mortality and consumption growth in the age of HIV/AIDS

  • Palavras-chave

    adult mortality;adult death;consumption growth;crop shock;financial assistance for households;Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome;macroeconomic effect of aid;implications for poverty reduction;household fixed effect;years of schooling;parent and children;per capita consumption;level of consumption;impact of aid;loss of asset;source income;source of income;primarily due;death of child;average exchange rate;average price level;price of output;incidence of hiv;terms of consumption;human capital formation;human capital accumulation;idiosyncratic income shock;cope with drought;lack of persistence;impact of shock;mortality of man;longitudinal household survey;per capita income;united nations secretariat;cost of illness;coffee price;health care provision;per capita term;loss of earnings;household and individual;average treatment effect;poor household;household consumption;aids epidemic;baseline data;negative effect;household interview;prime age;treatment group;agricultural shock;blood relatives;income growth;consumption change;living condition;household questionnaire;household characteristic;chronically ill;extended family;biological child;point estimate;baseline survey;casual observer;regression results;interaction effect;coping strategy;longitudinal data;survey instrument;farm household;average household;rainfall data;aids morbidity;income effect;panel data;adverse weather;standard error;economic shock;

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