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Croatia - Macro monitoring report Q3 2015 (Inglês)

After six years of recession, Croatia returned to growth in early 2015 supported by external demand and personal consumption. These two factors on the demand side and a slow construction recovery on the supply side are likely to support the 2015 growth outlook, with growth projected at 0.5 percent. Lower oil and food prices, a personal income tax cut, and the gradual improvement in the labor market are boosting disposable incomes and private consumption. Although the current account balance improved in early 2015, on the back of transfers from the EU and retained profits, external vulnerabilities remain high as foreign debt reached a ten-year high, led by government borrowing. Fiscal vulnerabilities deepened in 2014 with the deficit at 5.7 percent of GDP and public debt at 86 percent of GDP in March 2015. The economy requires robust structural reforms to secure macro stability, underpin employment and reduce poverty.

Detalhes

  • Data do documento

    2015/07/01

  • TIpo de documento

    Informativo

  • No. do relatório

    98803

  • Nº do volume

    1

  • Total Volume(s)

    1

  • País

    Croácia,

  • Região

    Europa e Ásia Central,

  • Data de divulgação

    2015/08/11

  • Disclosure Status

    Disclosed

  • Nome do documento

    Croatia - Macro monitoring report Q3 2015

  • Palavras-chave

    public sector wage bill;human development index ranking;personal income tax cut;current account balance;total external debt;Private Sector Growth;current account deficit;private consumption growth;financial market volatility;volatile capital flows;roads and highway;efficiency and quality;register unemployment rate;labor market policy;social security benefit;machinery and equipment;private sector wage;national poverty line;consumer price;retail trade;poverty headcount;food price;high frequency;state agency;government issue;import growth;consumer confidence;public debt;Personal Bankruptcy;transport equipment;real wage;electric car;tourist season;put pressure;increased rate;domestic debt;Exchange Rates;administrative datum;rate of employment;export good;downside risk;life expectancy;corrective action;multilateral debt;net inflows;merchandise export;export growth;low rate;total debt;bankruptcy framework;governance framework;trade deficit;deflationary pressures;rolling basis;financial service;Real estate;bond issue;fiscal deficit;fiscal risk;government borrowing;building permit;construction work;foreign debt;external demand;personal consumption;supply side;disposable income;external vulnerability;macro stability;employment subsidy;real gdp;high unemployment;high employment;sustainable fiscal;Fiscal Reform;investment credit;risk premium;short-term credit;fiscal vulnerability;government deficit;Property tax;management board;early retirement;deficit financing;consumer loan;local bond;domestic bond;corporate sector;parliamentary election;housing loan;merchandise import;excessive deficit;

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