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East Asia and Pacific Economic Update : Background Paper B.4. Poverty and Social Protection (Inglês)

Poverty in developing East Asian and Pacific could increase for the first time in 20 years: Up to 38 million more people are expected to be pushed into poverty as a result of the pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to reverse the 20-year sustained trend of poverty reduction in the region. Prior to the onset of COVID-19, 14 million people were projected to escape poverty in 2020 based on the lower-middle income class poverty line (US$3.20/day, 2011 PPP). Instead, based on the latest GDP forecast, poverty is likely be 0.9 – 1.0 percentage points higher than it would have been in the absence of the pandemic, translating into between 18 to 21 million more poor people than in the pre-COVID-19 scenario. The differences between pre- and post-COVID-19 estimates are even starker at the higher, upper-middle income class poverty line (US$5.50/day, 2011 PPP). Based on that line, 33 million would have escaped poverty in the pre-COVID-19 scenario but due to the pandemic, poverty is expected to be 1.6 – 1.8 percentage points higher than previously projected. This represents between 33 and 38 million more poor people than expected before the crisis.


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    Leste Asiático e Pacífico,

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    Leste Asiático e Pacífico,

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    East Asia and Pacific Economic Update : Background Paper B.4. Poverty and Social Protection

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