The authors use a Ricardian model to test the relationship between annual net revenues and climate across Israeli farms. They find that it is important to include the amount of irrigation water available to each farm in order to measure the response of farms to climate. With irrigation water omitted, the model predicts that climate change is strictly beneficial. But with water included, the model predicts that only modest climate changes are beneficial, while drastic climate change in the long run will be harmful. Using the Atmospheric Oceanic Global Circulation Models scenarios, the authors show that farm net revenue is expected to increase by 16 percent in 2020, while in 2100 farm net revenue is expected to drop by 60-390 percent varying between the different scenarios. Although Israel has a relatively warm climate, a mild increase in temperature is beneficial due to the ability to supply international markets with farm products early in the season. The findings lead to the conclusion that securing water rights to the farmers and international trade agreements can be important policy measures to help farmers adapt to climate change.
Detalhes
-
Autor
Fleischer,Aliza, Lichtman, Ivgenia, Mendelsohn,Robert
-
Data do documento
2007/02/01
-
TIpo de documento
Documento de trabalho sobre pesquisa de políticas
-
No. do relatório
WPS4135
-
Nº do volume
1
-
Total Volume(s)
1
-
País
-
Região
-
Data de divulgação
2010/07/01
-
Disclosure Status
Disclosed
-
Nome do documento
Climate change, irrigation, and Israeli agriculture : will warming be harmful ?
-
Palavras-chave
water quota;irrigation water;farmer;regression model;Agriculture;economic impact of climate change;Adaptation to Climate Change;marginal effect;farm profits;increase in temperature;climate condition;average annual temperature;average annual precipitation;annual water consumption;variation in climate;climate change scenario;secure water right;international trade agreement;Supply of Water;block rate pricing;climate change impact;annual average temperature;system of production;information on climate;Water and Land;investment in technology;aggregate water supply;investment in capital;change in precipitation;future climate change;size of farm;efficient water use;transient climate change;climate scenario;rural village;climatic zone;agricultural economics;meteorological stations;profit function;soil type;climatic change;climate sensitivity;field crop;agricultural sector;exogenous variable;international market;
- Exibir mais
Downloads
COMPLETAR RELATÓRIO
Versão oficial do documento (pode conter assinaturas, etc.)
- PDF oficial
- TXT*
- Total Downloads** :
- Download Stats
-
*A versão do texto é um OCR incorreto e está incluído unicamente em benefício de usuários com conectividade lenta.