Documents & Reports
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China Economic Update : Sustaining Growth Through the Recovery and Beyond – Fiscal Policy for Inclusive Growth (English)
Economic activity bounced back in Q1 2023 with the removal of mobility restrictions and a surge in spending on services, but growth momentum has slowed since April. GDP expanded by 4.5 percent y/y in the...
Document Type: Report Report No.: 183583 Document Date: June 1, 2023 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Li,Yusha,Ge,Jun,Mileva,Elitza Alexandrova,Tiwari,Sailesh,Fraccaroli,Nicolo,Stapleton,Katherine Anne,Montalva Talledo,Veronica Sonia,Hill,Samuel Christopher,Li,Jingyu,Zhao,Min,Lugo,Maria Ana,Alawode,Abayomi A.
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China Economic Update : Navigating Uncertainty - China’s Economy in 2023 (English)
Activity in China continues to track the ups and downs of the pandemic - outbreaks and growth slowdowns have been followed by uneven recoveries. After a downturn caused by the Coronavirus disease 2019...
Document Type: Report Report No.: 180356 Document Date: December 1, 2022 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Li,Yusha,Ge,Jun,Wang,Dewen,Mileva,Elitza Alexandrova,Lugo,Maria Ana,Mandeville,Kate,Li,Jingyu,Xu,Zhenyang,Zhu,Linghui,Chatterjee,Shreya,Zhang,Yixing
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China Economic Update : Between Shocks and Stimulus (English)
After a strong start in early 2022, the largest COVID-19 wave in two years and resulting mobility restrictions have disrupted China’s growth normalization. The global environment has also significantly...
Document Type: Economic Updates and Modeling Report No.: 172382 Document Date: June 1, 2022 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Li,Yusha,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Ge,Jun,Alawode,Abayomi A.,Tatucu,Radu,Yan,Yi,Wang,Dewen,Lugo,Maria Ana,Xu,Zhenyang,Kim,Ypsse,Ou,Deyun,Huang,Yang,Xiao,Yuan,Seong,Joonkyung
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中国经济简报：多重冲击与经济刺激 (Chinese)
2022年初中国经济稳健开局，但此后两年来规模最大的新冠疫情以及相应管控扰乱了经济增长的正常化进程。俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后全球经济环境随之恶化。预计2022年实际GDP增速将大幅放缓至4.3%。在国内国外多重阻力下，中国的政策制定者应当谨慎调整其政策。短期内，中国面临着平衡兼顾疫情控制与经济增长的双重挑战。中期而言，需要付诸更多的努力以避免回到借债投资促进增长的老路上。采取果断行动提高消费在经济增长中的作用，解决社会不平等问题，重振创新和提高生产率，将有助于中国走上更加平衡、包容和可持续的增长道路。
Document Type: Economic Updates and Modeling Report No.: 172382 Document Date: June 1, 2022 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Li,Yusha,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Ge,Jun,Tatucu,Radu,Yan,Yi,Wang,Dewen,Lugo,Maria Ana,Xu,Zhenyang,Zhu,Linghui,Kim,Ypsse,Ou,Deyun,Huang,Yang,Xiao,Yuan,Seong,Joonkyung