Documents & Reports
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Assessing the Effects of Natural Resources on Long-Term Growth : An Extension of the World Bank Long Term Growth Model (English)
This paper extends the World Bank's Long-Term Growth Model (LTGM) with the addition of a natural resource sector to analyze how long-run growth evolves in resource-rich countries and the growth impacts...
Document Type: Policy Research Working Paper Report No.: WPS9965 Document Date: March 14, 2022 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Loayza,Norman V.,Galego Mendes,Arthur,Mendez Ramos,Fabian,Pennings,Steven Michael
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Development Digest : Navigating the New Normal (English)
Malaysia is no stranger to external shocks affecting its macroeconomy. Over the past two decades, it was buffeted by the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis (AFC), the 2001 global slowdown after 9/11, and the...
Document Type: Working Paper Report No.: 148238 Document Date: April 1, 2020 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Schmillen,Achim Daniel,Abdul Aziz,Ahmad Hafiz Bin,Maluda,Alyssia Thien Nga,Abdur Rahman,Amanina Binti,Myers,Bernard,David,Clarissa Crisostomo,Mendez Ramos,Fabian,Abraham,Facundo,Raad,Firas,Tessada,Jose,Foong,Joshua Chee Yan,Simler,Kenneth,Chuah,Lay Lian,Bandaogo,Mahama Abdel Samir Sidbewende,Dorfman,Mark Charles,Lee,Min Hui,Osman,Mohamed Rozani Bin Mohamed,Amin,Mohammad,Loayza,Norman V.,Record,Richard James Lowden,Schmukler,Sergio L.,Kuriakose,Smita,Yi,Soonhwa,Eknath,Varun,Kwakwa,Victoria,Loh,Wei San,Soh,Yew Chong,Binti Ali Ahmad,Zainab
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Sudden Influxes of Resource Wealth to the Economy : Avoiding "Dutch Disease" (English)
Dutch Disease is a condition in which a sudden increase of resource wealth from an extractive sector (such as oil, gas, coal, or mining) undermines other areas of the economy (such as agriculture, manufacturing...
Document Type: Brief Report No.: 147609 Document Date: April 1, 2020 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Mendez Ramos,Fabian
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Uncertainty in Ex-Ante Poverty and Income Distribution : Insights from Output Growth and Natural Resource Country Typologies (English)
This paper studies future poverty, inequality, and shared prosperity outcomes using a panel data set with 150 countries over 1980-2014. The findings suggest that global extreme poverty will decrease in...
Document Type: Policy Research Working Paper Report No.: WPS8841 Document Date: May 2, 2019 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Mendez Ramos,Fabian
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Development Digest : Maximizing Knowledge for Development (English)
The World Bank Group (WBG) is strengthening its partnerships with upper-middle-income countries and high-income countries to leverage private and public finance, and to create knowledge and new solutions...
Document Type: Working Paper Report No.: 125247 Document Date: April 1, 2018 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Alawode,Abayomi A.,Ouazad,Amine,Arshad,Ashraf Bin,Ruggeri Laderchi,Caterina,Sitorus,Djauhari,Georgieva,Dorina Peteva,Mendez Ramos,Fabian,Govindasamy,Jeevakumar,De Luna-Martínez,José,Kelm,Kathrine M.,Sondergaard,Lars M.,Tan,Mei Ling,Amin,Mohammad,Loayza,Norman V.,Canuto,Otaviano,Record,Richard James Lowden,Ranciere,Romain,Wahba,Sameh,Schmukler,Sergio L.,Bell,Simon,Shetty,Sudhir,Kwakwa,Victoria
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Global trade : slowdown, factors, and policies (English)
Growth in global trade has been slow since 2012. While global trade downturns are not unprecedented, the observed change in the relationship of trade to GDP poses the question whether the trade slowdown...
Document Type: Brief Report No.: 123899 Document Date: February 1, 2018 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Georgieva,Dorina Peteva,Loayza,Norman V.,Mendez Ramos,Fabian
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Variance and Skewness in Density Predictions : A World GDP Growth Forecast Assessment (English)
The paper introduces a Bayesian cross-entropy forecast (BCEF) procedure to assess the variance and skewness in density forecasting. The methodology decomposes the variance and skewness of the predictive...
Document Type: Policy Research Working Paper Report No.: WPS8165 Document Date: August 14, 2017 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Mendez Ramos,Fabian
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Measurement and patterns of world agribusiness trade (English)
This brief highlights the importance of the agribusiness sector as a pillar for development. It provides a framework to measure internationally traded agribusiness and discusses some patterns of world...
Document Type: Brief Report No.: 112195 Document Date: January 1, 2017 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Mendez Ramos,Fabian,Paustian,Nina
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Should we fear foreign exchange depreciation? (English)
Moderate and gradual changes of the real exchange rate are beneficial for the economy to help it attain domestic and external equilibrium. They should not be feared. However, large and sharp devaluations...
Document Type: Brief Report No.: 109374 Document Date: October 1, 2016 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Loayza,Norman V.,Mendez Ramos,Fabian
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Estimating parameters and structural change in CGE models using a Bayesian cross-entropy estimation approach (English)
This paper uses a three-step Bayesian cross-entropy estimation approach in an environment of noisy and scarce data to estimate behavioral parameters for a computable general equilibrium model. The estimation...
Document Type: Policy Research Working Paper Report No.: WPS7174 Document Date: January 1, 2015 Disclosure Status: Disclosed Author: Go,Delfin Sia,Lofgren,Hans Lennart,Mendez Ramos,Fabian,Robinson,Sherman